Are UZIT cards as scarce as BROAD LEAF 460 cards ?

[tedzan]

Originally Posted by Pat R

Ted, I think Jay touched on this in his post using the pop reports and
confirmed subjects for each back.

I know using the pop reports won't be a completely accurate number because
of the crossovers, crack outs ect... but I think between the two backs they
would be close enough to give a general idea.

Uzit = SGC 119 PSA 143 Total 262 @ 58 subjects = 4.51
Broad Leaf 460 SGC 46 PSA 37 Total 83 @ 28 subjects = 2.96

If you go by these numbers the BL460's would be 41.49% scarcer
than Uzit.

I don't agree with that the "262" number regarding actual UZIT cards. The real number is considerably less than 262, as UZIT's have been re-graded (or crossed-over) often.
If I can account for 2 re-grades in the Pop reports, you can bet that there are many, many more. Pop report data (PSA & SGC) regarding UZIT's is misleading as it lists many
more cards than actually exist in the real world. This kind of data skews any scarcity factor calculation when comparing these two rare backs.

The BROAD LEAF 460 Pop report data is less affected by this overstating problem, since many of the BL 460 cards are unique (1/1). Furthermore, we really do not know how
many BL 460 cards are in circulation, since PSA did not identify BL 460 cards for many years. Therefore, the PSA Pop report data on BL 460 cards is incomplete.

My opinion, after chasing UZIT's & BL 460's (amid many other tough T206 backs) for 35 years, is that these 2 scarce backs are equally rare with BL 460 having a slight edge.


TED Z

T206 Reference
.