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Go Back   Net54baseball.com Forums > Net54baseball Postwar Sportscard Forums > Watercooler Talk- ALL sports talk

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  #1  
Old 10-30-2024, 10:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by D. Bergin View Post
Well, it's 4 games in a row in total (not willing to remove that from the odds just because they got one of those out of the way), and as far as I know, the only team that's ever come back from a 3-0 deficit, is that Red Sox team against the Yankees.

I wish I could be more optimistic. Maybe Judge will break out of his slump....but Betts and Ohtani could also start lighting it up at any time.

As a cynical New York fan, I believe they are just one Gleyber Torres single off the wall, that he inexplicably thought was an upper deck Home Run away (or Clay Holmes in a high leverage situation) from blowing this series.

I'm not normally one to nit-pick stuff like this, but feel like I'm the only one who noticed he was barely out of the batters box last night, when his 3 run opposite field HR, landed just over the wall into the 1st row seats......which BTW, is pretty typical Gleyber behavior.

I mean, I don't care if you stop and stare and throw a giant bat flip at a no-doubter 30 rows up.....but Gleyber man...you ain't Barry Bonds or Aaron Judge. You might have a little bit of pop for a 2nd Baseman, but you haven't hit many "no-doubters" in your career.....especially to the opposite field.

The results of past coin flips do not affect the odds of the next one. As I understand it, we calculate the odds going forwards.
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Old 10-30-2024, 10:38 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
The results of past coin flips do not affect the odds of the next one. As I understand it, we calculate the odds going forwards.
I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.
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Last edited by D. Bergin; 10-30-2024 at 10:42 AM.
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  #3  
Old 10-30-2024, 10:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by D. Bergin View Post
I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.
Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.
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Old 10-30-2024, 10:59 AM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.
Well, based on past Playoff History, the actual results have been 1 in 40. Maybe that means the Yankees are due to bring those odds back into a realistic figure.

I hope you're right. Following this team all year, they just don't seem built for it.
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Last edited by D. Bergin; 10-30-2024 at 10:59 AM.
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Old 10-30-2024, 11:00 AM
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Thanks for trying to keep me optimistic BTW!
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  #6  
Old 10-30-2024, 12:15 PM
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down 3-1 in best of 7 right now yankees are +550 to win the next 3 on hard rock bet..

dolphins 100-1 to win superbowl right now i think are much better odds.
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  #7  
Old 10-30-2024, 12:23 PM
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Yankees have by far their best starting pitcher going tonight. If they can get this one I think we'll all start feeling those 2004 ALCS vibes
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