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Go Back   Net54baseball.com Forums > Net54baseball Postwar Sportscard Forums > Watercooler Talk- ALL sports talk

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  #1  
Old 10-30-2024, 10:38 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
The results of past coin flips do not affect the odds of the next one. As I understand it, we calculate the odds going forwards.
I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.
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Last edited by D. Bergin; 10-30-2024 at 10:42 AM.
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Old 10-30-2024, 10:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by D. Bergin View Post
I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.
Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.
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Old 10-30-2024, 10:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.
Well, based on past Playoff History, the actual results have been 1 in 40. Maybe that means the Yankees are due to bring those odds back into a realistic figure.

I hope you're right. Following this team all year, they just don't seem built for it.
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Last edited by D. Bergin; 10-30-2024 at 10:59 AM.
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  #4  
Old 10-30-2024, 11:00 AM
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Thanks for trying to keep me optimistic BTW!
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  #5  
Old 10-30-2024, 12:15 PM
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down 3-1 in best of 7 right now yankees are +550 to win the next 3 on hard rock bet..

dolphins 100-1 to win superbowl right now i think are much better odds.
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Old 10-30-2024, 12:23 PM
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Yankees have by far their best starting pitcher going tonight. If they can get this one I think we'll all start feeling those 2004 ALCS vibes
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Old 10-30-2024, 06:51 PM
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Aaron Judge is looking like Aaron Judge again. Very very happy to be proved wrong here.
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Last edited by John1941; 10-30-2024 at 06:51 PM.
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