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#1
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I think both numbers are way too low.
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#2
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Scot Reader once did an analysis which was based on the estimated population of the rare Demmitt and O'Hara (St.L) polar bear where he extrapolated this estimated population to provide an estimate of 3000-6000 of each subject surviving. This would mean 1.6 to 3.2 million surviving total population.
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