Recent price action

[Snapolit1]

I do think there has been a combination of fatique and oversaturation. Seems like strong auctions are no longer a rare treat but an everyday fact of life.

Jordan RCs prime example. Was a treat when the first few 9s arrived at auction. 2,500 cards later, not so special.

I also think speculation on stocks, real estate, and all sorts of things have dropped off as the country has opened up a great deal more. All of a sudden going outside and getting away from the computer is looking real attractive.

I'd expect speculation in Jeter cards will take off a ESPN has announced a new 6 part series. I really can't see where a Jeter series will lead to Jordan like hysteria, but I'm sure some people are betting on it.

[Lorewalker]

Originally Posted by Snapolit1

I do think there has been a combination of fatique and oversaturation. Seems like strong auctions are no longer a rare treat but an everyday fact of life.

Jordan RCs prime example. Was a treat when the first few 9s arrived at auction. 2,500 cards later, not so special.

I also think speculation on stocks, real estate, and all sorts of things have dropped off as the country has opened up a great deal more. All of a sudden going outside and getting away from the computer is looking real attractive.

I'd expect speculation in Jeter cards will take off a ESPN has announced a new 6 part series. I really can't see where a Jeter series will lead to Jordan like hysteria, but I'm sure some people are betting on it.

It appears that ebay prices have been hit harder than auction house prices, which seem to have pulled back much less, overall.

I think everyone saw this coming and it'll continue now that COVID is more or less behind us. Many will move on to other interests over the next year or so. People are also going to need more money to pay for all of the essentials that are skyrocketing - rent, gas, food, building supplies, etc. Heck even some printing paper has almost doubled in price.

[Flintboy]

I think the biggest drop will be right after the National. There will be some dealers who bought heavy during the recent high and they will be stuck with some high dollar inventory.

[Yoda]

I wonder how the market is faring for collectors of burnt toast with the face of Jesus on them?

[the-illini]

Originally Posted by Flintboy

I think the biggest drop will be right after the National. There will be some dealers who bought heavy during the recent high and they will be stuck with some high dollar inventory.

Depends on what era(s) their inventory is from IMO. I doubt you see a notable drop in sales/prices for vintage items.

Also think a lot of people are going to be eager shoppers at the first National in 2 years.

[rats60]

Originally Posted by the-illini

Depends on what era(s) their inventory is from IMO. I doubt you see a notable drop in sales/prices for vintage items.

Also think a lot of people are going to be eager shoppers at the first National in 2 years.

Prewar hasn't been dropping and probably won't. Postwar, with higher print runs, has been dropping and probably will drop further.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by rats60

Prewar hasn't been dropping and probably won't. Postwar, with higher print runs, has been dropping and probably will drop further.

Supply and demand prevails over manipulation, as it eventually does always.

[Exhibitman]

Originally Posted by Lorewalker

It appears that ebay prices have been hit harder than auction house prices, which seem to have pulled back much less, overall.

A fellow victim, er, eBay seller PM'd me with an interesting hypothesis. He says his sales dropped off markedly when eBay reconfigured its trading card listings. I have noticed the same thing. It is especially bad with boxing cards. You used to be able to browse the Boxing Cards category, but now every search for boxing brings up every listing with "box" in the title. You can somewhat curtail this by doing "-box" in the search, but I think the confusion is making things harder to find and cutting down sales as a result.

[ASF123]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

A fellow victim, er, eBay seller PM'd me with an interesting hypothesis. He says his sales dropped off markedly when eBay reconfigured its trading card listings. I have noticed the same thing. It is especially bad with boxing cards. You used to be able to browse the Boxing Cards category, but now every search for boxing brings up every listing with "box" in the title. You can somewhat curtail this by doing "-box" in the search, but I think the confusion is making things harder to find and cutting down sales as a result.

I would guess that this is a significant factor. Just from personal experience, I used to have saved searches to browse all new prewar and postwar baseball HOF listings. Now that’s impossible, and I just have single year and/or player searches (which are far from comprehensive, of course). So that’s a lot of listings that are no longer getting my eyeballs. I imagine I’m hardly the only one.

[Bill77]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

A fellow victim, er, eBay seller PM'd me with an interesting hypothesis. He says his sales dropped off markedly when eBay reconfigured its trading card listings. I have noticed the same thing. It is especially bad with boxing cards. You used to be able to browse the Boxing Cards category, but now every search for boxing brings up every listing with "box" in the title. You can somewhat curtail this by doing "-box" in the search, but I think the confusion is making things harder to find and cutting down sales as a result.

Another issue causing a slow down on ebay was the ending of ebay bucks. They have had a couple of 5% bonus bucks so far, but with no bonus bucks for every purchase outside of the bonuses there is no real incentive to buy more.

[Exhibitman]

Meanwhile...I am having a stellar sales weekend on eBay, mostly with boxing cards.

The confusion has worked to my favor on one item. I found a rare premium that got shuffled around a bit and BINed it for ten bucks. Gotta love that.

[Ray Van]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

A fellow victim, er, eBay seller PM'd me with an interesting hypothesis. He says his sales dropped off markedly when eBay reconfigured its trading card listings. I have noticed the same thing. It is especially bad with boxing cards. You used to be able to browse the Boxing Cards category, but now every search for boxing brings up every listing with "box" in the title. You can somewhat curtail this by doing "-box" in the search, but I think the confusion is making things harder to find and cutting down sales as a result.

Agree with these points, as a soccer card collector it's extra tough since most listings end up in the "not specified" category. Would add (and this might only be an issue for me), on the eBay app it no longer reminds me 15 minutes before the end of an auction. Just started about a week ago but I've already missed out on 10+ auctions that I would have bid on. I can't see where in the settings it would have changed. Time to go back to a sniper service I guess.