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#51
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I am optimistic we have spring training, but might be delayed. And by pop, yes, I mean higher prices. Do you folks also consider spring to be a robust time for the hobby?
Last edited by Touch'EmAll; 01-19-2022 at 05:02 PM. |
#52
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I think about this every day....
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Thanks for your thoughts, Joe. Love the late 1800’s Boston Beaneaters and the early Boston Red Sox (1903-1918)! Also collecting any and all basketball memorabilia. |
#53
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I think in graded HOF Super Stars we are entering, not there yet but a long period of Stagflation in Prices. How long will it last Idk...it's my belief that Prices will remain high because people paid too much and wont let them go for 20% lower and or cheaper. Auction Houses may dry up people won't come off their prices unless we have a recession which I don't see happening anytime soon. People have a lot of money because the economy is super strong they won't give in easy on lowering their prices or take a big loss. Just me I could be dead wrong. Last edited by Johnny630; 01-19-2022 at 12:47 PM. |
#54
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"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets."--Baron Rothschild
If you believe we are at peak then it is time to sell, bank the cash, and wait for the downturn to get back in.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... |
#55
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Taking a break helps I think. I took a break from collecting sports cards for almost two years (this was when prices really took off) then started collecting again in late 2020. During my break I switched to work on my other collections... action figures... skateboard cards... non-sports cards... etc. Now I dabble a little bit here and there without laser focusing on one thing.
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My collection can be viewed at http://imageevent.com/jeffintoronto Always looking for interesting pre-war baseball & hockey postcards! |
#56
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While it's heartening to see that I'm not the only one concerned about some of this run-up, this is nothing new. I've been a collector for close to 40 years now, and complaints about rising prices in the hobby have existed in some form or another for almost as long as I can remember.
A lot of good advice here. Cast a wider net, re-evaluate if you have strict condition requirements. When I got back into the hobby (this time...) as an adult sometime around 2014, I basically had to rule out most prewar because it had simply gotten too expensive for the amount of resources I wanted to devote to the hobby. I could have a nice but very small prewar collection - or I could have a more extensive collection of postwar stars that were also in nicer shape. Since I tend to gravitate towards postwar anyway, that was an easy decision for me. Just here recently, I've had to backpedal on condition requirements. I remember getting nice, EX-MT-ish examples of cards like a '56 Topps Hank Aaron back 20 or so years ago for what F/P condition copies of that card go for now. So anymore, I try to go for cards that have flaws, but still present well. Recent examples would include a G range '55 Topps Mays, and an SGC 1 Diamond Stars Lefty Grove - a card I had always wanted. These are cards that I wouldn't be able to afford at all if I had insisted on my former condition stringencies. So to me that's an easy decision as well. I will agree that the run-ups on individual cards have in many cases exceeded what I tend to think of as reasonable some time back as well. In the past few years, I've occasionally sold from my collection to put together scratch for a new card. And then a few days later it's like did I really just spend like a grand on a piece of cardboard? Though I could afford it in many cases, that kind of spending in general on hobby luxury is just not where I'm at in my life considering the big picture right now. It's also just stress I don't need. I can see where it would be easy to get frustrated with the process and just quit, but I love cards too much still to do that. I think there's a pretty big middle ground right now between being priced out, and still finding things to enjoy - so that is where I try to play. Maybe I pickup some raw, G-VG condition remaining 50's stars instead of PSA graded EX or better. Maybe I start looking at some Kellogg's and Hostess cards from the 70's that I've always been interested in, instead of having to have graded Topps base cards. Yes, it can be frustrating, but I'm not giving up yet.
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Prewar Cubs. Postwar stars & HOF'ers. Currently working on 1956, '63 and '72 Topps complete sets. Last edited by jchcollins; 01-19-2022 at 01:19 PM. |
#57
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Some big companies missed earnings this week, lots of value evaporating from equity markets past couple days. Crypto been melting down since Oct. Have to believe that card prices will follow. |
#58
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Hey crypto just got endorsed by Google… still not in my wheelhouse- no interest.
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Thanks for your thoughts, Joe. Love the late 1800’s Boston Beaneaters and the early Boston Red Sox (1903-1918)! Also collecting any and all basketball memorabilia. Last edited by Dead-Ball-Hitter; 01-19-2022 at 06:12 PM. |
#59
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Last time around card prices lagged the start of the troubles by about a year and lagged the rebound accordingly.
This thread really bugs me, in a good way, because it points out some real issues for dedicated collectors that don't have ready solutions. Either we stop collecting a wide variety of cards we are priced out of or the economy craps the bed. Not pleasant choices either way, frankly. I think I am just going to stay the course with my long-term plans for my collecting and just wait patiently for the right cards to come up at the right prices, and if not, fine. Anyone consider reprints or tribute cards? I knew I wasn't going to pay what it costs to get 1952 Topps stars so I filled in the space in my binder for the Mays with a 1983 Topps reprint. In the 1970s TCMA reprinted a variety of prewar cards. Or collect the various collector issues. They are inexpensive and can be quite fun. I have or am working on 1959 and 1960 Nu-Card, 1960 and 1961 Fleer, 1961 Golden Press, 1974 Fleer Pioneers of Baseball, 1974 Laughlin Old Time Black Stars, the small 1970s TCMA sets, etc.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 01-19-2022 at 06:27 PM. |
#60
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#61
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Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %) Last edited by egri; 01-22-2022 at 05:40 PM. |
#62
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__________________
Successful Deals With: charlietheexterminator, todeen, tonyo, Santo10fan Bocabirdman (5x), 8thEastVB, JCMTiger, Rjackson44 Republicaninmass, 73toppsmann, quinnsryche (2x), Donscards. |
#63
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Love this reference. Well done.
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Successful transactions on Net54 with balltrash, greenmonster66; Peter_Spaeth; robw1959; Stetson_1883; boxcar18; Blackie |
#64
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I’m July 2021 this card, see link below 51 Bowman Mantle PSA 8, sold in Memory Lane For $498,000. 6 months later it’s now up for sale again in Leland’s what will it sell for now?
True collectors don’t do this on big Cards, These people don’t care about the cards they care about making money on fools,its been a big Game. Doing this on high grade eights in Mickey Mantle Rookie‘s 51 Bowman its driven every grade price to the higher level pushing it up in all grades. The money is being made by these guys on the lower grade cards based off the sale and many others like this. The 51 Bowman Mantles in 3’s and 4’s should never sell for $20k like they did last year, it’s been very interesting to watch See pics and Link Below ….investors set the price is this market. How long will the investor stay in the this game ?? https://auction.lelands.com/bids/bidplace?itemid=107698 Last edited by Johnny630; 01-20-2022 at 08:43 AM. |
#65
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Shifted to these for the moment. OT in it being post-war.
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#66
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#67
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No the dealer is basing his price off what the investor is pumping/pushing it for in these auction. The dealer, he is basing his price off auctions realized sales which imo have been manipulated they’re playing musical chairs! We all see it. Last edited by Johnny630; 01-20-2022 at 09:59 AM. |
#68
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whose to say the "dealer/investor" may not be one and the same?
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#69
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Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk |
#70
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That's a great Paige photo, Brian. You're not alone in going towards photos, judging from some of the prices lately.
__________________
Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 01-20-2022 at 11:49 AM. |
#71
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There will always be plenty of stuff for all of us to collect. When I started I was a kid with a paper route, then a teen working in a grocery store, then I took a huge pay cut and became a guy touring with bands nobody had heard of, which gradually turned into gigs that made it possible to have bills to pay, and get paid. That's all pretty blue collar.
Throughout that entire time I collected. Throughout that entire time there were things I couldn't afford (like a $500 Wagner, hahaha). Throughout that entire time it could be argued that "investors" were "ruining the hobby". There was nothing I could do about it then, there is nothing I can do about it now. Only being able to collect stuff you can afford might not be "fair" but to quote a recent president "it is what it is". Doug Last edited by doug.goodman; 01-20-2022 at 12:39 PM. |
#72
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Every thread needs cards ... hot cards: ![]() ![]() ![]() |
#73
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Thank you!
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#74
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His collar is very blue.
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__________________
EBAY STORE: ROOKIE-PARADE |
#75
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Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk
__________________
Barry Larkin, Joey Votto, Tris Speaker, 1930-45 Cincinnati Reds, T206 Cincinnati Successful deals with: Banksfan14, Brianp-beme, Bumpus Jones, Dacubfan (x5), Dstrawberryfan39, Ed_Hutchinson, Fballguy, fusorcruiser (x2), GoCalBears, Gorditadog, Luke, MikeKam, Moosedog, Nineunder71, Powdered H20, PSU, Ronniehatesjazz, Roarfrom34, Sebie43, Seven, and Wondo |
#76
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Another one going to the Next Level Out of my Reach Now
https://www.ebay.com/itm/144369802131 Probably the Second Hardest Regular Issue Topps Willie Mays Card to find in high grade after the 53 Topps |
#77
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#78
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Could be…it’s PSA people don’t care. They pay up for PSA not SGC for postwar vintage.
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#79
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it sounds like you don't care either?
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#80
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It’s not about whether I care or not My point to posting the link of the 58 Mays PSA 8 listing was that here is another card that is gone from me, meaning way too high in price for the condition/grade I collect.
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#81
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I have been playing around the edges. I found a couple of good buys and was able to add a 1952 Bowman near set and 1957 Topps near set and I was able to get at what I perceived to be "old prices" and then filled them in pretty promptly without too much expense.
One of the best sayings I ever heard was "We plan, God laughs." That said my plan is to work until I am 70 so long as I am productive, enjoying it and making positive contributions to my clients. I would the like to spend the next ten years selling my collection. I will probably keep the 1970s stuff because I could stay in the hobby doing Hostess and Milk duds and such. It is also the stuff I collected as a boy so it's not high grade. |
#82
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Right off the bat, if you are blue collar, you shouldn't care about collecting flips, which are pretty much the opposite of blue collar. Can't afford a high number opinion from the opinion sellers? Well boohoo. Doug |
#83
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I suspect it may be Antifa or the Oath Keepers, depending on your political persuasion.
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#84
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If you're "blue collar" and you've been collecting for a long time, then you probably have a large war chest of cards/material to trade. If you're "blue collar" and you haven't been collecting for a long time, then this "hobby" is becoming a bit more challenging to navigate.
A lot of guys on this board probably wouldn't pay the prices being asked today, but they have the ability to trade/sell off material they don't care much about for something they would like to have. This makes the hobby somewhat sustainable for a "blue collar" old time collector. One collectors trash is another collector's treasure. Sometimes it's just finding the right trading partner.
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fr3d c0wl3s - always looking for OJs and other 19th century stuff. PM or email me if you have something cool you're looking to find a new home for. |
#85
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Johnny630 is net54’s resident Chicken Little
That said, the original point is valid, but it applies to all cards and all “collars”. Shit is getting more and more expensive no matter what you collect and most everyone regardless of net worth is struggling to buy, or at least justify buying, the things we used to buy a year+ ago. In late 2019, I started to fear this would happen. So I went out and bought many cards I wanted, fearing that I may get priced out soon. I spent a lot in 2020, and I am thankful I did that bc I am not sure I could, or would want to, buy those cards today. This is not a blue collar problem, it’s a card value problem, and we all feel it. But I don’t think it’s a “problem”- that’s looking at it wrong. But let’s be honest, we should all rejoice in the price increases, as we have all made a lot of money relative to what our collections were worth in 2018. So rather than bitch about what you can’t get, be grateful that you can now sell some cards and pay for a child’s education Last edited by Rhotchkiss; 01-27-2022 at 10:18 AM. Reason: Removed reference to specific cards acquired |
#86
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Haha, yeah right, that will happen. If we can't complain about how poor we are while we are selling $5,000 cards what's left for any of us?
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#87
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Sorry Ryan, I find it a bit rich (pun intended) for someone who has a T206 Wagner, Ruth rookie, T210 Jackson and the others you listed to be telling others here how they should feel about pricing and handling their collections. We live in different collecting worlds--maybe different solar systems. I would rejoice if the bottom fell out of the market and I could afford 2-3 times as many cards that I want than are available to me now. If that means my own collection takes a 75% hit than so be it. For me and others it has never been about the money. Nobody likes to lose it, for sure, but there is much to be said for the sheer joy of owning something you like, as opposed to being worried about how much you can make or stand to lose. So Johnny, hang in there. As others have mentioned, you can pretty much always find something you like to scratch that itch.
__________________
Now watch what you say, or they'll be calling you a radical, a liberal, oh, fanatical, criminal Won't you sign up your name? We'd like to feel you're acceptable, respectable, presentable, a vegetable If we are to have another contest in the near future of our national existence, I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition and ignorance on the other.- Ulysses S. Grant, 18th US President. |
#88
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Johnny, I too have the same '58 Mays PSA 8 in my watchlist. Can't drop that much coin on it nowadays, but used to be in my maybe affordable see a nice one jump on it list. I still have my '58 Aaron in PSA 8 I bought many years ago. Would love to get the Mays counterpart, but sigh. But on the flip side, yes, very thankful the overall market has increased holdings value.
Last edited by Touch'EmAll; 01-27-2022 at 09:59 AM. |
#89
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Todd I respect your point of view and will not address it. However, I want to be very clear that I am 100% a collector and have been one (on and off) for almost 40 years. I do not feel that viewing my collection as an investment, or investing in what I like to collect, are inapposite/incompatible.
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#90
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#91
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__________________
Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 01-29-2022 at 01:49 PM. |
#92
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#93
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Ray, Johnny, count me in too. I run a legit card business and have to report not only my income but also file sales tax returns too. Zero sympathy for people whining about having to pay their share. Taxes are the price we pay for civilization.
__________________
Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... |
#94
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Aren't you the guy who bought a 52 Mantle on forgivin PPP money? You're welcome btw.
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#95
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I have no problem with taxes as I realize what they mean to our civilization. What irks me to no end is Government spending and wasting money like a drunken sailor. If our Government could manage the tax revenue they do collect better, maybe they wouldn't be squeezing the blood from my turnip every turn of the corner.
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#96
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In defense of drunken sailors, at least when I wasted money on port visits, I was only wasting my own.
__________________
Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %) |
#97
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#98
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While I'm not a "blue collar" guy per the definition, I'm unionized, and thus on a pay scale with few opportunities for OT. The exchange is the time off.
All that being said, I do have to plan out my card purchases, well the big ones at least. Putting a little bit aside for any card over $1000 is what I have to do. Expenses are as minimal as they can be right now, but I'm also trying to save for a house, which in this market seems nigh impossible. Too bad I can't live in my cards.
__________________
Successful Deals With: charlietheexterminator, todeen, tonyo, Santo10fan Bocabirdman (5x), 8thEastVB, JCMTiger, Rjackson44 Republicaninmass, 73toppsmann, quinnsryche (2x), Donscards. |
#99
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No. I am the guy who spent the PPP money on payroll and rent as mandated. I then saved up for two years before I felt I had enough of a cushion to buy it. And I would bet I pay far more in taxes than you do, including use tax on my buys, so spare me the ignorant self-righteousness.
__________________
Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 01-29-2022 at 09:40 PM. |
#100
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You are 100% correct. I say the same thing all the time when people start complaining about these changes to tax compliance and reporting rules. It is just like all the people who complain about the alleged "tax loopholes" that supposedly only benefit the rich and well-to-do in our country. These complainers/protesters in reality are mostly those who are pissed because they themselves can't take advantage of such tax-saving laws, rules, and nuances in place. What many people don't seem to realize is that most of these tax laws that are often viewed as giving special treatment or favor to some are likely in place to push people and the economy to go and move in a particular direction, not to just give "rich" people a break. Our government is not supposed to be telling all the people and businesses exactly what and how to do things, yet when the economy goes bad, inflation hits, and so on, everyone still seems to look at our government and blame them, and expect them to somehow fix it overnight. Writing favorable tax laws/rules to sort of steer people and businesses in a particular direction is a direct example of our government directing and leading by offering a carrot, as opposed to using a stick to get everyone to do what they want. And for those that don't like that way of doing things, maybe just move someplace else like North Korea. I believe they fully embrace the "stick method" over there. Nearly half the people in this this country end up paying no income taxes every year, and many actually get money/credits from the government. Yet no one calls those people out on the "tax loopholes" they are able to use and take advantage of. Truth is, there really are no such things as "tax loopholes". The tax law simply is what it is. If you don't like it, contact your congressperson and work to change things. Or figure out how to change your situation and circumstances so you can also supposedly take advantage of these so-called loopholes yourself, and quit your bitchin'. ![]() |
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