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OK, I have a bunch of thoughts on the recent events, but I won't write them until a later date.
Suffice to say we all figured it had been going on, (at least in small amounts) but I think what is really bothering most people is its at a MUCH BIGGER scale than what most imagined. Forwarding past all that, think about this scenario. Suppose you go to the National, and are in search for a bigger ticket item. You have saved your hard earned cash, and plotted buying something for a good while, and the time came to finally pull the trigger on card X.(insert your own sought after card here) Let's face it, the National is the one time a year where you can get damn near anything. Just as an example, lets say we are in search of a '52 Topps Mickey Mantle. Again, pick your pre-war poison if you like, say a mid grade T206 Cobb, or literally whatever you choose. At this point, it really doesn't matter what card you choose, as long as its something that is A - highly desirable, and B - possibly "doctored". Let's also suppose we are going to spend $2,500 - $10,000.... so its not exactly pocket change, and we also know there is a "great chance???" this card may have been touched up over the years. My question is this, for all you guys that have a ton of experience at the Nationals. If you were truly looking to make a sizeable purchase of this nature, exactly how diligent would you be in examining the card you were considering? Further -, it appears as though using a small black light, might be one of the cheapest, handy and easiest to carry and use "items" at the Nationals to examine any purchase you were thinking about making. True, it isn't fool proof, but at least some alterations can be picked up via black light. For those that didn't necessarily know this, have a look here. ~~~~~> https://sabrbaseballcards.blog/2017/...uthentication/ (I'm sure there are many sites on this, that is just the fastest one I could find relating to black lights and card alterations.) I guess what I am asking, is did you ever do this "black light examination" when looking at a card at the National? Even if you did, or did NOT, how much more inclined are you to do this very thing at the upcoming National? I was thinking about this tonight. I can envision a scenario where bunches of people keep asking dealers to see cards. THEN everybody and their brother pulls out a black light and proceeds to go over said card they are considering purchasing.....all the while the dealer is rolling his eyes and telling himself "here we go again", as customer after customer is thoroughly examining and scrutinizing cards they are thinking about purchasing. Also note - This doesn't have to be about a '52 Topps Mantle, it could be said about a slew of cards now. Personally, any purchase of this nature, I would have wanted to give it at least a cursory once over. But now I'm betting this is going to be a very common scene this year. This has been something I considered, and it has been going through my head a bit lately. FWIW - I have never been to a National, and I am not in a position as to where I will be going this year either. I am just curious as to how much this is actually seen, and how much more frequent this may be happening from this year on at all the bigger shows. I would think for any "bigger" purchase like this, it was already fairly common for the cards to be examined very thoroughly. I can't help but think its going to be widespread this year in light of all the recent events. Even though this is the pre-war side of the board, this should be something interesting to all vintage collectors as well, say everything up until the 70's and even newer. EDIT - Leon, I figured this would be the better spot to originally post this, but if you want to re-post it over in the post-war section....feel free.
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COLLECTING MICKEY MANTLE, ROBERTO CLEMENTE, JACKIE ROBINSON, WILLIE MAYS, HANK AARON and VINTAGE Successful deals with - "HCV123"/Howard Chasser, "ejstel" , "mzljapan" , "aronbenabe" , "Santo10Fan" , " Robextend", "rjackson44", "Wanaselja", "eliminator", "Dboneesq" , "Oneofthree67", "Lucas00", "ccre" , "D. Bergin" "wawazat", "rugbymarine" and several others. ![]() Last edited by DJCollector1; 06-24-2019 at 04:32 AM. |
#2
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Who buys a raw 52 Mantle or mid-grade T206 Cobb?
Edited to add: or any expensive card that common sense dictates should be in a holder. If an expensive common issue card (T206, 50s Topps) is being sold raw or in a non-PSA or SGC holder you can be certain it’s altered. And yes even in a PSA or SGC holder we have learned it can be altered. But if it’s raw you can be certain it is no matter how vociferously the seller tries to convince you it isn’t.
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/calvindog/sets Last edited by calvindog; 06-24-2019 at 05:32 AM. |
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Nobody does that I know of.
Not raw, I'm speaking of already graded. Everyone is of course going the graded route.....but you can still examine the card in detail, and use a black light on it. (actually, I have never used a black light on a card that is already slabbed, but I'm sure you can do it) I didn't spell it out specifically, but I am sure there are many that use black lights, or whatever it is they can to help examine a higher end card like that as best they can....... even though it is already slabbed.
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COLLECTING MICKEY MANTLE, ROBERTO CLEMENTE, JACKIE ROBINSON, WILLIE MAYS, HANK AARON and VINTAGE Successful deals with - "HCV123"/Howard Chasser, "ejstel" , "mzljapan" , "aronbenabe" , "Santo10Fan" , " Robextend", "rjackson44", "Wanaselja", "eliminator", "Dboneesq" , "Oneofthree67", "Lucas00", "ccre" , "D. Bergin" "wawazat", "rugbymarine" and several others. ![]() Last edited by DJCollector1; 06-24-2019 at 05:32 AM. |
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Don’t buy any big ticket items at the National. Save your money and wait for
the hobby to get hit considerably before you buy a big item. If the card market doesn’t go down you missed it so what you’ll have cash and right now I’d rather be cash heavy and card light then card heavy and cash light. I will never bring a black light to a show a 10x coin Loupe will be my only weapon along with 20/20. In my opinion for anything positive to happen a considerable downtrend and amount of money loss has to occur for everyone involved kinda like a take your lumps and bumps get hit then grow. If the collector/investor keeps fueling money to tpg’s ,auction houses, and dealers things will never change for the better. It happens to the US stock market ever so often then it always pops back stronger then ever...it will be healthy in the long run to the hobby. To many people are addicted to cards. I just hope they lay off them and can control themselves for a couple of years until the smoke clears. Last edited by Johnny630; 06-24-2019 at 06:05 AM. |
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Seeing as the national tends to have notoriously high prices this would be a foolish endeavor...But to answer your question every time I go to a card show I bring a black light and a loop as part of my arsenal.
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#6
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But you can bet there can and will be plenty of bigger items swapping hands, through outright purchase, and or trades at the National I'm sure. I didn't even mention a loupe, although I know thats another one of the "go-to's" that many use in those cases. I figure people using "whatever they can" to scrutinize cards this year will be far more common than in years past. But as I alluded to , I would have wanted to give it a "cursory once over" even in the past. I'm guessing there will be a tremendous amount of card scrutiny this year. FAR MORE than ever before. Not that THAT is a bad thing. It's just too bad all of this had to happen. Short term this is really a bad spot for the hobby. But long term, hopefully it will be a good thing for us all.
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COLLECTING MICKEY MANTLE, ROBERTO CLEMENTE, JACKIE ROBINSON, WILLIE MAYS, HANK AARON and VINTAGE Successful deals with - "HCV123"/Howard Chasser, "ejstel" , "mzljapan" , "aronbenabe" , "Santo10Fan" , " Robextend", "rjackson44", "Wanaselja", "eliminator", "Dboneesq" , "Oneofthree67", "Lucas00", "ccre" , "D. Bergin" "wawazat", "rugbymarine" and several others. ![]() |
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To actually answer your question I have had people use black lights at some of the large East Coast shows I am set up at. Doesn't insult me in the slightest. Even before all this went down I couldn't blame them.
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Check out https://www.thecollectorconnection.com Always looking for consignments 717.327.8915 We sell your less expensive pre-war cards individually instead of in bulk lots to make YOU the most money possible! and Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thecollectorconnectionauctions |
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#9
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"I was a 3 bird a day pusstycat before I found BA". BA can help you. Last edited by Fuddjcal; 07-20-2019 at 09:58 AM. |
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You can shine light through plastic.
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#12
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You'd probably need 80% less money to buy a raw 52 Mantle. And then you'd lose the 20% you paid when it turned out to be a reprint.
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#13
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There will be plenty of nice raw cards at the National with zero problems. Deal with reputable people and you will not have to worry. I will have many nice 52 Topps High #s which are 100% untampered with, the ones I did get graded were mostly 6-7's, a few 5's and a few 8's(I'll also have the PSA graded ones there). I will also have two sets of raw 1955 Topps All-American's, most Nrmt +/- and again all without issue. As an example, for the last two years i have been selling 1958-1963 Topps from the original owner. Several I had graded, again mostly 6-8's, but have sold hundreds of high grade raw cards from the collection. They do still exist! Just a couple of examples, obviously postwar. Provenance will start to mean more and more to collectors, when and where available.
A somewhat contrarian position might be to by raw instead of graded, perhaps the odds of finding untampered with cards might be better. Last edited by sb1; 06-24-2019 at 01:20 PM. |
#14
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Hey how about you send me a fake and real one and I'll send the fake back to you? If you're right, it's a coin toss, better odds than Vegas. (Also applies to commons, and pretty much any set that isn't so uncommon that I've never seen one. |
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My black light is used strictly for listening to Hendrix and Pink Floyd and smoking with hippies.
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I don't think the issue is whether one person can tell the difference. There is no logical reason why it wouldn't be slabbed unless there was something about the card that made it untouchable to TPG. People buy tables at shows to make money. Anyone who wants to make money is going to have a card like that graded, unless there's something wrong with it. |
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"Mike" drop |
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He is basically talking about in the long run. Some are legit but its an unwise gamble. Some people win in vegas, most lose..... Last edited by 1952boyntoncollector; 07-20-2019 at 09:17 AM. |
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yeah the people that put everything on black and if win leave and go home....those about the only winners.. and the people that bet the Nationals to win the NL this year... who will either win bet or have a great hedge..
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#21
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#23
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Wonder if you could make a killing selling black lights and loupes at the show
__________________
Check out https://www.thecollectorconnection.com Always looking for consignments 717.327.8915 We sell your less expensive pre-war cards individually instead of in bulk lots to make YOU the most money possible! and Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thecollectorconnectionauctions |
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If psa graders can’t spot doctored cards in the comfort of their offices, with all the tools and gadgets, I’m not sure that some dude with a black light and pocket magnifying glass is going to be single-handedly uncovering rampant fraud at the National.
Last edited by orly57; 07-20-2019 at 10:34 AM. |
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ |
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I can envision a scenario where bunches of people keep asking dealers to see cards. THEN everybody and their brother pulls out a black light and proceeds to go over said card they are considering purchasing.....all the while the dealer is rolling his eyes and telling himself "here we go again", as customer after customer is thoroughly examining and scrutinizing cards they are thinking about purchasing.
Also note - This doesn't have to be about a '52 Topps Mantle, it could be said about a slew of cards now. Personally, any purchase of this nature, I would have wanted to give it at least a cursory once over. But now I'm betting this is going to be a very common scene this year. I personally bring a black light, loupe and a ruler - both digital and regular when pursuing a large dollar card. I would think any dealer that objects may have something to hide and any dealer that is confident about the quality of his merchandise would welcome it, if they wish to sell stuff...
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Successful B/S/T deals with asoriano, obcbobd, x2dRich2000, eyecollectvintage, RepublicaninMass, Kwikford, Oneofthree67, jfkheat, scottglevy, whitehse, GoldenAge50s, Peter Spaeth, Northviewcats, megalimey, BenitoMcNamara, Edwolf1963, mightyq, sidepocket, darwinbulldog, jasonc, jessejames, sb1, rjackson44, bobbyw8469, quinnsryche, Carter08, philliesfan and ALBB, Buythatcard and JimmyC so far. |
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I think you’ll all be surprised that nothing much will change at the National. Cards will be severely overpriced, the best cards will be at the auction house tables, and fat guys in baseball jerseys will be roaming the aisles. I don’t think an army of blacklights will be present.
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/calvindog/sets |
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#30
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I would think that if someone has a problem with you looking at a card you're going to buy from them you probably don't want to buy cards from them.
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#31
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I have been to around 17 of the last 20 Nationals. IN the first ones I always bought big stuff and had a blast. The last 5-8 yrs I haven't really bought much. A few things here and there. I always bring a loupe but never a black light (that I used). I am way more leery after this scandal, of high grade cards, than before it. I don't see me buying any high grade cards soon at all. This type will be my focus and actually has been anyway. It could be messed with but my experience tells me it probably isn't. There are way too many of these in 8 holders. ![]()
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Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com |
#32
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Delete
Last edited by bigfish; 06-24-2019 at 09:22 AM. |
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To do well at the National, you either have to be a seller or a bottom feeder buyer. I have done very well looking in dime boxes and at lower grade cards at the nationals I have attended, less well when i went on a mission.
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I have bought cards in the 100-5000 range at recent Nationals. I have also attended Nationals and not spent a penny at dealer tables. There are some good guys out there that set up at the National.
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#35
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I've never used a black light before purchasing a card. Is there a good portable unit anyone could recommend that would be good to have in your arsenal?
Last edited by GasHouseGang; 06-24-2019 at 05:22 PM. |
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#37
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You need dark to use a blacklight. The National is an open bright place.
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#38
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The grading services have so influenced this hobby that even if you have a perfectly good unaltered and original raw card, you simply can't sell it without offering a deep discount. You are forced to get it graded whether you want to or not. The perception would be that it is altered and was rejected.
The graders have too much power. Power to the people! Last edited by barrysloate; 06-25-2019 at 12:25 PM. |
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#40
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why not have a second option. Yeah maybe in the end get nothing but at least there are two chances instead of one. PSA has paid people for mistakes in grading. In the situations they have paid, i doubt the seller would of paid on them all if PSA didnt. |
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I bought a raw Kalamazoo Bat card from a dealer at the 2006 National. He garunteed me it would grade as it had a slant cut. PSA turned it down saying it had been trimmed. I took it back to the dealer who promptly walked to the PSA booth and told them that they were all hand cut at the factory. They said, oh ok... bring it back and we will slab it. It recieved a 3 grade and everyone left happy.
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Love Ty Cobb rare items and baseball currency from the 19th Century. Last edited by BeanTown; 07-20-2019 at 08:33 AM. |
#42
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Are MLB players overpaid? Millions to play a game but NOT overpaid because the fans buy the product "Mike" drop |
#43
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They get paid millions because the club owners make even more off of them. The TPGs thrive, regardless of their abilities, because people make money off of them. The answer to seemingly crazy things is usually; money. I am not saying it's necessarily bad as I am a capitalist too.
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Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com |
#44
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I've never bought a graded card nor will I ever. I'm a collector not an investor and this is my hobby, so I have no need for over priced/graded cards to put in my portfolio. In my opinion graded cards have made it more difficult for set builders like myself to complete sets with nice, ungraded cards. How will I ever find a decent condition 52 Mantle, which is ungraded, to finish the set? Not likely to happen and I believe graded cards have had a negative impact on the hobby for collectors.
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Looking for Bo Jackson, Ryan Blaney (Nascar), 86-89 Fleer Basketball and Topps Vintage My site: http://www.freewebs.com/gnep31/ Successful trades/transactions: Mountaineer1999, BlueDevel89, ezez420, Shorttmail66, Northviewcats, Mintacular, Elberson, NATCARD, Oneofthree67, Leerob538, shammus, Hawkfan70, 39special, scmavl, jimtigers65, rocuan |
#45
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except around Gizmo
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#46
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I am surprised to see that name resurface!! Years ago I met him at the waffle bar in a motel while the expressway was closed from snow & Ice. The encounter was in Mendota Illinois. He was very displeased with the treatment he was receiving on Net 54 Baseball Forum. He was the all caps rant guy if I remember correctly.
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