OT - Example of why card collecting is dying re: Topps

[packs]

I think 70s cards will explode too. You might even see people paying decent prices for Mattingly rookies and the like too. I think 30 years from now someone will gladly pay equal money for something like a Mattingly rookie as they will for lower tier HOFers like say Goose Gossage.

[ALR-bishop]

I have been collecting since 1957 and do not have the slightest idea of what is going to happen in regard to baseball card collecting in the future.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by ALR-bishop

I have been collecting since 1957 and do not have the slightest idea of what is going to happen in regard to baseball card collecting in the future.

This is the one good observation on the thread.

[yanks12025]

I can't believe people are paying $175 for a murphy signed bat. That is just too funny. The guy is at best an average player who had two good playoff series, some stupid team will pay him lots of money for average baseball(hopefully not the yankees)

[sbfinley]

Originally Posted by yanks12025

I can't believe people are paying $175 for a murphy signed bat. That is just too funny. The guy is at best an average player who had two good playoff series, some stupid team will pay him lots of money for average baseball(hopefully not the yankees)

He's actually an above average player who has had an exceptional season and a monster postseason. He is one of the best hit to contact batters in the league and led the major in both fewest K's and AB per K this season. While his HR numbers have not been spectacular, he has averaged almost 40 doubles a season the past four years and as a second baseman he would be an upgrade for probably 24-26 of the 30 franchises (Stephen Drew included). That's not exactly average.

[rjackson44]

Steve knows his numbers

[Exhibitman]

Various points:

Let's give the vintage card snobbery a break. Most of the modern collectors out there are not 'day traders' looking only to make money. There are many enthusiastic, committed, passionate collectors who like modern cards every bit as much as some of us like T206s [which I personally find boring, but I digress]. Having a pissy, superior attitude towards them isn't the way to make the vintage side of the hobby attractive.

None of us know what the next 5-10-20 years hold. We don't need to know that in order to make some pretty accurate assumptions about the hobby as a whole. The times will vary, technology will change, but the basic habits of people don't change. Card collecting took off in the 1970s and has been a big hobby activity ever since. It used to be shows and stores and collecting clubs, now it is eBay and internet auctions and chat boards, but the basic activity remains the same: chasing cards, socializing, and slinging $hit with friends.

The doom and gloom always seems to focus on some past peak moment for the hobby: the 1991 National, the insane prices some cards fetched, the billion dollar modern market, etc. The peak of the hobby was a fad, it wasn't sustainable, and it wasn't what any of the experienced hands at the time were into it for, so citing that peak as evidence the hobby is dying isn't realistic. As long as collectors collect stuff and teams play sports there are going to be collectors collecting sports cards. We may not see 100,000 people at a National clogging the aisles for goodie bags--I hope--but 30,000-40,000 hardcore collectors seems to be sustainable.

[Rich Klein]

Originally Posted by packs

I think 70s cards will explode too. You might even see people paying decent prices for Mattingly rookies and the like too. I think 30 years from now someone will gladly pay equal money for something like a Mattingly rookie as they will for lower tier HOFers like say Goose Gossage.

1970-73 lo # cards will have a bump but not explode
Early 1970's high numbers and tough cards may have another run in them.

The mid-late 1970's will have a bump but the supply is sufficient that they will never explode.

Stars will be somewhere in the middle. I will tell you that someone bought out all my 1970's commons and stars (except for the few cards I had over $10) and there is demand for more.

Rich

[Laxcat]

Agreed. With the demand for the 70's. It sells like hot cakes.