Auction amounts - how high is high

[Shoeless Moe]

Originally Posted by Rhotchkiss

This ^^ +100%

I am 47, and love the players and cards from the late 1890s-1920s. I never saw any of them. My parents never saw any of them. I am pretty sure my grandparents barely (if at all) saw any of them. Very few people alive today, let alone on net54, ever saw these players. Yet t206s, 1914 CJs, etc are as coveted as ever.

And it’s not just baseball players. George Washington and Abe Lincoln items sell for a lot more than Kennedy and FDR, yet whoever is buying them never even had a chance to meet Washington’s great great niece.

I think the argument that “nobody will be into these guys bc they have never seen them” has been proven wrong time and time again. But you do you and I will do me. Each to their own

I didn't say this, not sure if anyone did. What I'm saying is there will be a dramatic drop in collectors of vintage in 30 years. You being 47 is right on that bubble. You ain't a spring chicken and you ain't an old fart. But you were in the era of the baseball card collecting boom - the 80's. Let's call it the pre-cell phone ERA.

And I'm not say ALL interest will be gone. I'm saying now you have about 75% who collect vintage 50 (maybe 47 and older. 25% who collect vintage 50 and under. So in 20-30 years that 75% will be all but gone, and I just don't see the 25% expanding to 75%. I see it holding steady, and even possibly dropping.....or maybe it does expand, but if so maybe to 35% give or take.

I think there will come a time there will be a lot less people in the swimming pool. Now it's over crowded. But we have already seen some get out from 2021. Still more in then 2019, but through attrition the numbers will change.

Also, in 30 years people might be spending their money on cars that do things we've yet to see, and trips in a rocket ship to outer space and back. Would you trade a '52 Mantle for a trip to into space and back? Would you rather have a material thing or an experience? I think the younger generation will opt for the experience. And for those in 30 years will they want to show off a Lebron Triple Logo do-hickey or a Mordecai Brown? We are still in that group that studied and read about the game even though we didn't see them play. Are the next generation doing much reading on the history of the game?

We are still in the boom, and collecting is still on fire, so somewhat hard to imagine, but I think there is a strong possibility prices could come down if the cards fall as they might.