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#51
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Posted By: pas
Suppose the bid is at 3000 and I am willing to go to 3300. If the bidding increment is 10 percent, I have to go to 3300. If the bidding increment is $100, I can win the card for 3100 even though I was willing to pay 200 more. |
#52
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Posted By: leon
I agree...in an auction format we do have to use increments or else folks could bid .01 more and keep going almost forever.....The increment strategy is the way all auctions are run. If we want to get as technical as you are talking then we need to bring in shipping and handling and/or tax into the equation too. As I said...shilling is fraud and artificially raises what would otherwise be a free market price, incrementally speaking. There is no justification for fraud, as hard as you try.....imo... |
#53
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Posted By: davidcycleback
For many people who were shilled, when they turn to resell the item that's when they realize that they didn't pay a fair market price for the item. It's not unlike when someone buys a card at market value, then when he turns to resell he's informed the card's a reprint. These are different ways to cheat someone out of money. The person didn't realize he was cheated at the time-- he may have been pleased with his purchase at the time-- but he later realized he was cheated. In either instance you would be unable to convince the person he was wasn't cheated out of money. |
#54
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Posted By: T206Collector
No one is debating that shilling is fraud. The issue is, to me, one of market efficiency and consumer protection. Notwithstanding its fraudulent nature, shilling could actually lead to healthier free markets, but we choose to protect consumers from the unknown -- similar to insider trading laws (but don't get me started on those). |
#55
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Posted By: davidcycleback
One last point is many collectors raise their bid because they think they are competing against a fellow collector-- a collector who is simultaneously expressing his valuation opinion for the item-- not a phantom pseudo bid. Many people also value a rare item by looking to see what other fellow collectors are bidding, not a made-up pseudo bid from a collector that doesn't exist. Collectors regularly use what other honest collectors bid and are willing to pay to help determine value and pricing. After all, it is these same fellow collectors who will be the potential buyers if one wins and resells the item If a collector wins a an item for $1,000 (shill bid underbidder $950), then finds out the next highest real collector bid was at $490, you bet he will feel cheated. |
#56
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Posted By: jeffdrum
It does not pass the smell test, it is wrong plain and simple. How can it be right when the person engaging in the activity has no intention of completing the transaction or being party to a sale. It is artifical price manipulation. |
#57
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Posted By: T206Collector
"One last point is many collectors raise their bid because they think they are competing against a fellow collector-- a collector who is simultaneously expressing his valuation opinion for the item-- not a phantom pseudo bid." |
#58
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
It's cheating, it's fraud, and I hope people can and will be prosecuted for it. |
#59
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Posted By: davidcycleback
The only intent of shilling is to add fake bids in order to artificially raise the bidding of others. To a seller who finds nothing wrong with this, what would you think if a bidder used computer software to block competing collectors from placing bids, thus allowing him to win the lot at an artificially lower price? The shiller artificially add bids to raise price, the bidder with the software artificially removes bids to lower price. Other than they are working in reverse to each other, tell me they aren't equivalent. Let me guess, a shiller wouldn't be too happy with a bidder removing bids. |
#60
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Posted By: T206Collector
But I think you're missing my fundamental point, which is market efficiency. In your reverse example, the price realized isn't reflective of what the highest voluntary bidder was willing to pay -- what I believe is the closest true market value for the card. |
#61
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
But how do you know how much you are "willing to pay"? For me, it is always either "no more than the current bidder" or "a little bit more than the current bidder" (who becomes the second highest bidder in the latter case). |
#62
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Posted By: Matt
Paul - I'm interested in discussing your point in terms of setting market (although I don't think it has bearing on the correctness of shill bidding). You said: |
#63
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Posted By: Steve
I can't believe that some here are in favor of shilling. |
#64
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Posted By: CoreyRS.hanus
Somehow I have a hard time believing that fraud can produce either true market value or market efficiency. |
#65
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Posted By: T206Collector
...in favor of shill bidding, and please don't confuse argument about the market implications of shill bidding as being in support. It's like that old cross examination joke: "So, T206Collector, how old were you when you decided to become a shiller?" Never have -- I understand that it is illegal, and I |
#66
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Posted By: Chris Nerat
I actually think that shill bidding, on eBay at least, could be partially prevented if its reserve prices weren't so high. |
#67
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Posted By: pas
But isn't market value best defined as the price on which a willing buyer and willing seller agree? So if I am willing to pay 3000 for a card, and I am shilled up to 3000, and I would have won the card for only 2500 absent shilling, why is 2500 a more "accurate" measure of market value? |
#68
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Posted By: davidcycleback
There's no question and can be no serious debate that there's material and concrete deception involved in eBay shilling, in that there is material difference between the way the bidding was run and the way bidding rules were stated (eBay rules stating the auction forbids shilling, plus the seller not stating he would be shilling). There can be no debate that the seller broke the stated rules for the auction, and if the bidders had been told shilling would be allowed they would not have placed bids. At the very least, the bidders would would not have placed the max bid they were shilled up to. |
#69
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Posted By: CoreyRS.hanus
"But isn't market value best defined as the price on which a willing buyer and willing seller agree? So if I am willing to pay 3000 for a card, and I am shilled up to 3000, and I would have won the card for only 2500 absent shilling, why is 2500 a more "accurate" measure of market value?" |
#70
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Posted By: pas
the seller is not willing to sell for 2500 |
#71
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Posted By: leon
By definition a fair market value can't be set by fraud. As Corey stated way better than I can, (though I did at least take economics |
#72
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Posted By: davidcycleback
As already noted, if the bidder knew he was going to be shilled he would not have placed the $3,000 max bid. He placed the $3,000 ONLY under the assumption there would be no shilling. Thus, the seller saying there is no shilling in order to trick people into placing max bids that he then shills up makes the final price invalid. The final price was formed through trickery and deception. In fact, if the bidders knew there was going to be shilling, they would not have participated and the final realized price would be $0 due to 0 bids. |
#73
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Posted By: T206Collector
...again that shilling is fraud, it makes my hair scream. Nobody is debating that. Here, I'll say it again -- shilling is fraud. And it is illegal. That is not the point. |
#74
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Posted By: CoreyRS.hanus
"I most certainly disagree with the statement that market value is based on complete information. That's totally ridiculous. Who ever has complete information? Some people have more information than others. Shilling is not bad because of a lack of information. Shilling is bad because of fraudulent/misleading information -- there is a difference." |
#75
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
One does not have to dig very deep into economic theory to see that shill bidding is not 'fair'. |
#76
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Posted By: T206Collector
And I don't really dispute many of these points. For me it comes down to a buyer making a voluntary decision to place a bid for whatever reason he chooses. If I was willing to pay $500 for a card that got shilled from $100 to $495, the only reason I would return the card if I later found out about the shilling was if I thought I must have made an error in my initial evaluation. But even there, the mistake was in the initial evaluation, not the bidding war. |
#77
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Posted By: Peter_Spaeth
Then Paul by that logic straight sales or BINs also don't reflect market value necessarily, because we don't know if the buyer was just the one wacko willing to pay that price or not. Should we exclude all those transactions as well from a determination of market value, whatever that now means? |
#78
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Posted By: Matt
Peter - I would suggest that those sales should not be eliminated from consideration, but they certainly should be weighted less then what a card brings in at an open auction. |
#79
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
Well, open auctions can get pretty wacky too, such as when two or more bidders with virtually unlimited resources are in 'must have' mode. |
#80
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Posted By: Matt
Eric - as you say nothing can completely eliminate the silliness but an open auction would need 2 silly people to be involved which is much less likely then a straight sale which only needs 1. |
#81
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
Matt - good point. I tend to pay more attention to the regular auctions on eBay, than to the BIN results, when assessing values. |
#82
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Posted By: CoreyRS.hanus
Market price reflects what an item would fetch on the "market". The market to me is that universe of buyers or sellers of such an item, who have access to each other and the same information about the item, and who are aware what each is willing to buy or sell the item for. The market is not a private transaction between two people oblivious to what others would buy/sell the item for. To the extent you have such a private transaction, what price the item goes for reflects the particularities of that particular buyer and seller, which can have little relation to how the market would value the item. |
#83
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Posted By: davidcycleback
What are the rules of the game, and are both sides following the rules of the game-- those are two essential questions. If one side is following the rules of the game, and the other side is secretly breaking them for financial game, it's not a fair contest and the result is at the least unreliable. If a boxer taped his hands with plaster, most boxing enthusiasts would say the match result was invalid. If a poker player snuck in a sixth card, most would say his win should be voided. And if a seller is secretly placing shill bids against the stated rules, most would say the final price is invalid. |
#84
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Posted By: Steve
In any game, if one side follows the rules and the other breaks them for material effect, the final score is considered invalid. Most will say the game and score doesn't count, the game is null and void. |
#85
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
Interesting discussion ... the best I've seen at getting to the heart of the matter. I just hope that if it is going on in the sports memorabilia world (and many seem to feel strongly that it is), that someone gets busted for it one of these days; that might serve as a deterrent for others engaging in the practice. |
#86
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Posted By: boxingcardman
It is expressly forbidden in CA by Civil Code 1812.608(h): |
#87
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Posted By: Matt
Adam - I had to take the website's word for it when I quoted above, but is it also covered by the 2006 Fraud Act? |
#88
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Posted By: Peter_Spaeth
The same state that forbids altering cards by statute, if memory serves. |
#89
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Posted By: davidcycleback
I guess if California starts busting people for shilling, the values of our cards will get a retroactive "market adjustment." Or maybe the price guides will simply add asterisks. |
#90
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Posted By: Red
It's a never ending battle. Sellers shilling to keep prices up, and buyers in collusion to keep prices down. Both equally talented at each other's tricks, and the poor auction house in the middle getting blamed for it all. |
#91
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Posted By: Eric Brehm
Well if the auction house itself is the one doing the shill bidding, they certainly are to blame. Especially if they are bidding on items that they themselves own, so they have nothing to lose except perhaps a delay in finding buyers by some other means, if nobody tops their in-house bids. If they are bidding on items consigned to them, they are still potentially in a position to make a reasonable profit, since the 10% or so extra they have to pay the consignor when they raise the highest legitimate bid is less than the 15% to 20% buyer's premium that the high bidder was willing to pay. |
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