Current state of the hobby-Vintage Cards

[raulus]

Originally Posted by OlderTheBetter

Vintage (1952-1972 is my focus) is currently holding steady but for the most part not going to experience long-term (20 years out) growth IMHO. As the collectors that remember the players of this era age out they are not being replaced by newer collectors that care about these players. It is my opinion that only the generational-era megastars will retain high value (Mantle, Mays, Aaron, Clemente, etc.).

I base this on conversations with many younger people that seem to generally be blissfully unaware of most of the HOF players of the afore-mentioned era, and as always the laws of supply and demand for many cards that to be honest are plentiful in decent grade will not likely let them retain their current value. Add to that the slow but steady decline of interest in baseball relative to the other major sports, especially for people today under age 30, and I can't paint a rosy future picture.

Definitely plenty of people worried about this sort of a doom loop. If it's coming, the market doesn't seem to be feeling it. But maybe it will sneak up on us when we least expect it.

[OlderTheBetter]

Originally Posted by raulus

Definitely plenty of people worried about this sort of a doom loop. If it's coming, the market doesn't seem to be feeling it. But maybe it will sneak up on us when we least expect it.

Lol. Yes its gonna be a slow decline. I did say 20 years but it took many years for baseball to kill their golden goose to the point that the World Series TV ratings are laughably low. Good things don't generally last forever -- and that applies to collectible markets like anything else in life.