LOL the graph says it all

[Bigdaddy]

Originally Posted by Smarti5051

I too wonder out about the future market for minor stars/borderline HOFers 15 years from now. In baseball, the rookie cards of Biggio, Randy Johnson, John Smoltz, and even Ken Griffey Jr. still have some interest in the $5-100 range. But, those cards were $1-5/ea back when they were active if you didn't pull them out of a 50 cent pack of cards.

By contrast, I see today players like Soto, Acuna, Vlad with 100s of different cards selling for $1000+ (if not, $10K or $100K) right out of the gate. Once they are done playing, how much of a market will there be to add $1K+ examples of borderline HOFers or minor stars? Do the millions of dollars in 4-digit rare cards of non-HOFers become $25 cards, or is there a continuing high end market for these rare cards of almost great players long after they are done playing?

Only the top-tier HOF players (think Trout and a few others) will come anywhere near holding their value. Too many manufactured rarity cards out there. They will find their way into dealers' $1 and $5 boxes, even in slabs. As opposed to earlier cards ('70s and older), all the modern cards will be in pristine shape 20-30 years from now - no PSA 4 or 5s. All centered 50/50 and with original shine and four sharp corners.

Now get off my lawn, you meddling kids.