Goldschmidt -- HOF chances?

[3-2-count]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Huge year for him. Previously I would have said hall of very good, but now I'm wondering if he has a shot, especially as he's "only" 34. Thoughts?

I still have him in the "hall of very good" at the moment, but if he remains healthy and has another productive 5 years or so, possibly!!

I'll tell you this though, I sure do miss him in Arizona. Goldy was a fan favorite.

[Seven]

I think he's trending in the right direction. His career batting average is hovering around .300. There's no reason why he won't eclipse 400 homers and 400 doubles as well, barring an absolutely massive drop off. His "Black Ink" score is a 24, for those of you familiar with the Bill James term. The average Hall of Fame first baseman, has a "Black Ink" score of 27. I think it's certainly possible he makes the Hall of Fame. He's only 34. I don't think he's going to have another season like this one, for the rest of his career. But Could I see him averaging at least 25 Homers and 25 Double over the next three to four seasons? Absolutely. Which would probably give him enough of a push to get into the Hall.

[Econteachert205]

3-4 more good seasons and I’d say yes. That trade did not work out for az.

[G1911]

A serious candidate, but not likely. He’s about to turn 35, and the Hall has been tough for 1B in the modern era. Outside of this year, he led the league in some major categories in 2013 in a season which would not normally lead the league (36 homers to win a HR crown is very low these days). Leading the league in walks in 2016 is his only other league lead. His similarity scores are bad. His homer totals are not very high for a 1B candidate. He has 1,700 hits as an on base and contact guy. This year will help a lot but he needs to perform very well through his age 38 season to measure up.

[Peter_Spaeth]

On my thread a few months back I had rated him unlikely but I think I would now say possible.
https://www.net54baseball.com/showth...ht=goldschmidt

[JustinD]

I would say that the hall of fame jumped the shark to the hall of very good years ago. He most certainly has a shot.

[packs]

If he does manage to grind out a triple crown I’d say he moves into lock territory. But if he doesn’t I think he’s still on the fence even with the MVP.