How will the impending lockout effect The Hobby?

[Seven]

Originally Posted by Carter08

Gut feeling is I’m not seeing how it would help in any way but also don’t think it will affect much. Interest in Cy, Ty, Ruth, Aaron, etc seems almost completely untethered to today’s game.

I think the Ruth's, Gehrigs, Cobbs, and Mantles of the world stay the way they are for the most part. I think modern would most likely get hit the hardest. I could see the lower tier of Hall of Famers, who did see some moderate increases fall back to earth.

[egri]

My first thought was that modern would be impacted if we lose part of the season, but we lost over 100 games in 2020, and prices still went crazy. I realize we're not as locked down now as back then, but with this new variant, who knows?

[mrreality68]

Unless we lose the entire season I do not believe the collection industry will be hurt
1. Fanatics buying Topps means they believe on the industry and they are investing pretty heavy to get into it
2. So much new money coming into the hobby that it is no longer a true hobby and becoming more of a commodity like stocks and also less impacted
3. Vintage minimal to no impact while modern has more to lose but enough cards and enough activity to cover for an extended period
4. So much no interest, new stories and news about the industry and with each auction when a top level card goes for top dollar more people see it and more get the “investment” bug

[Peter_Spaeth]

I think it will affect people who spend a lot of money gambling on young players with the hope of flipping them if they get hot. I doubt that's a huge portion of the hobby and in any case the impact will be temporary.

I guess too if it looks like a long work stoppage, it could affect Trout's values, as his career prospects have already started to dim a bit missing so many games.

Is there anyone on a milestone quest that would seriously be impacted by loss of a big part of a season, not sure.

[todeen]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

I think it will affect people who spend a lot of money gambling on young players with the hope of flipping them if they get hot. I doubt that's a huge portion of the hobby and in any case the impact will be temporary.

I guess too if it looks like a long work stoppage, it could affect Trout's values, as his career prospects have already started to dim a bit missing so many games.

Is there anyone on a milestone quest that would seriously be impacted by loss of a big part of a season, not sure.

Isn't Miguel Cabrera within striking distance of a new milestone?

Edit: 13 hits from 3k, 3 doubles to 600.

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk

[Seven]

Originally Posted by egri

My first thought was that modern would be impacted if we lose part of the season, but we lost over 100 games in 2020, and prices still went crazy. I realize we're not as locked down now as back then, but with this new variant, who knows?

I think most people are willing to combat the latest variant. I can't speak for other states, but here in NY cases of Omicron are through the roof, yet Restaurants, Schools, Businesses really aren't slowing down for the most part.

Peter I would agree, the prospect flippers, would probably be effected most by this. With our transition from a Hobby to an Asset Class, I think modern has the most to lose.