2011 Topps Mike Trout - where does it go from here?

[Marchillo]

You think the 2011 Topps Update Trout will settle at $100? $50? I disagree. One big thing going for the Trout card is that its in the update series so there aren't factory sets out there etc. Unless his career ended soon I think this card remains significant in the hobby.

There isn't lots of data on print runs but I think print runs were much lower than today's demand. The influx of hobby interest in 2021 is still watching Trout in his prime and people who can't afford it now will want the card when they are in their 30's.

[Marchillo]

Just a quick look at Pop reports - I know the pitfalls of these - regrades etc.

PSA - Trout - between 10-11k
BGS - Trout - between 6-7k

1968 Nolan Ryan

PSA Ryan - between 9-10k
BGS Ryan - between 3-4K

The below all PSA only
2018 Topps Update Acuna - over 28,000
2018 Topps Update Soto - over 26,000
2019 Topps Pete Alonso - over 18,000
2019 Vlad NNO (short print) - almost 9k

I think the print run for 2011 update is low enough where this card holds value versus stuff over the past 5 years. You don't see much unopened 2011 Topps Update floating around either. Even a "sp" vlad is approaching Trout pop numbers. Without the PSA shutdown, price increase, and Vlad's season - I bet you would have seen that card surpass the Trout.