Which card will sell for more

[A2000]

Trout by a country mile.

[mouschi]

It does feel "icky" that a new shiny card would beat out Cobb, but the fact of the matter is that EVERYONE knows about the 2009 Bowman Trout. Very few know what a W600 Cobb is, or why it would be more than a T206. The Trout is extremely apparent. I think Trout wins this one easily, though, again ... it doesn't feel right saying it out loud.

[midmo]

Originally Posted by mouschi

but the fact of the matter is that EVERYONE knows about the 2009 Bowman Trout.

Not everyone. I had never seen or heard of this card. If you would have told me it's a $200 card I would have believed you. I still watch the game, but I don't know anything about modern cards. I think it's great there's a healthy market for them though (not that I can afford either of these anyway).

[darwinbulldog]

I vote Trout. At this point there's about a 90% chance he retires as the best player of his generation and roughly a 50/50 shot he ends up having a better career than Cobb did. Moreover, W600s were ordered a la carte, so the "common players" are the real rarities, and the stars relatively common. We'll find a few more W600 Cobbs, but the Trout population never goes over 5. Manufactured vs. artificial rarity per se isn't germane to setting the market value. It's just supply and demand either way.

[EvilKing00]

200k omg

[rats60]

There is a 50% chance that Trout becomes the player of his generation and doesn't have a decline like Pujols, Thomas and Griffey. There is a 0% chance that he has a better career than Ty Cobb.

[bobbvc]

I know Cobb is in REA, what auction is Trout in?

[midmo]

Originally Posted by rats60

There is a 50% chance that Trout becomes the player of his generation and doesn't have a decline like Pujols, Thomas and Griffey. There is a 0% chance that he has a better career than Ty Cobb.

I agree with this. Do you think Pujols would be more revered if some of his big years were recent? As a Cardinals fan I watched a ton of his first 11 years, but have rarely seen him since (and haven't seen Trout play more than a handfull of games for that matter). It would make me think twice about putting so much stock in anybody who is still playing when a 650+hr 2000+rbi guy is sometimes thought of more for his decline than what he did. Similar thinking for Griffey.

This year might be a wash for Trout. All it takes is a few little injuries here or there and his projections really slow down.

[Tyruscobb]

Modern’s artificial scarcity and prices do not make sense to me. But, to each his/her own. I’ll take the Cobb which was mass produced, but is scarce due to the attrition of time; Not the card that went straight from a pack to an encased protective holder.

[quinnsryche]

What about the W600 Wagner?

[BeanTown]

The Trout card is 5 of 5. Im not sure on the W600 Cobb pop but my guess is 5 or less. It's crazy to think Trout who is half way through his career would fetch more than one if the all time greats in Ty Cobb. This is almost a generation contest where the young will battle over the Trout and the old (age 40 and up) will battle for Cobb.

[charlietheexterminator]

My son is a huge Trout collector, he said that particular Trout is one of the major modern sports cards of today. I guess I will pick the Trout, but I still don’t see it

[hcv123]

Cobb in the Marathon - I want to check back on this thread in 10-15 years!

[Bram99]

I think the question should be: Which one will sell for more in 5 years. I suspect it will be the Cobb.

[Stampsfan]

Originally Posted by Tyruscobb

Modern’s artificial scarcity and prices do not make sense to me...

Ugh. Artificial scarcity has never made sense to me.

My ex-wife has boxes of limited edition Bradford Exchange plates.

[todeen]

Originally Posted by Stampsfan

Ugh. Artificial scarcity has never made sense to me.

My ex-wife has boxes of limited edition Bradford Exchange plates.

+1
LOL

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk

[BeanTown]

Final call to vote and I updated the current positions of each card.

[MRSPORTSCARDCOLLECTOR]

Originally Posted by BeanTown

Final call to vote and I updated the current positions of each card.

Cobb.

[BeanTown]

The auction is stil going on. Looks like Trout is the winner. Now the question is.... By how much?

[mark evans]

Originally Posted by Tyruscobb

Modern’s artificial scarcity and prices do not make sense to me. But, to each his/her own. I’ll take the Cobb which was mass produced, but is scarce due to the attrition of time; Not the card that went straight from a pack to an encased protective holder.

My sentiments exactly. Down the road, I suspect that the disparity among the values of the various Trout autograph cards will diminish substantially.

[Leon]

Originally Posted by mark evans

My sentiments exactly. Down the road, I suspect that the disparity among the values of the various Trout autograph cards will diminish substantially.

Me too but who knows.
I will take the cobby all day long but the Demand for Trout might be the winner at this time.

[rats60]

Originally Posted by Leon

Me too but who knows.
I will take the cobby all day long but the Demand for Trout might be the winner at this time.

Maybe in the short term. Frank Thomas and Albert Pujols got off the amazing starts to their careers and now they have cooled off. Same thing could happen to Trout. Cobb, Wagner and Ruth will keep going strong.

[BeanTown]

Originally Posted by rats60

Maybe in the short term. Frank Thomas and Albert Pujols got off the amazing starts to their careers and now they have cooled off. Same thing could happen to Trout. Cobb, Wagner and Ruth will keep going strong.

Bingo!!!! Trout has to be elite for at least another 5 years. Plus, not test positive for PEDs or any other performance inhancing drugs. Then to not make news in a negative way after he retires on a routine basis. What a risk dropping 6 figures for a player still playing IMO. As Daniel said, the modern investors know its a big card and I hope they don't educate themselves on Prewar investments.

Update:
Cobb at 205k
Trout at 200k

Trout is leading in the poll over Cobb by a whisker.

[Fred]

I don't follow the new stuff. Can someone tell me what a "10" 89 UD Griffey rookie goes for these days and the price for the same card back in the late 90's?

Also, is that Trout card a one of one or something "special" like that?