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  #1  
Old 03-03-2020, 02:21 PM
packs packs is offline
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Originally Posted by iwantitiwinit View Post
I disagree. We are trying to deal with a non-economic root problem here using economic remedies. Too many unknowns to jump in just yet. Better off waiting until the virus wanes a bit then slowly work back in. Don't be a hero trying to pick the bottom, better off losing 10% on the upside getting in a bit later than to lose 50% more on the down side.

Timing the market is largely a myth. It's a fool's errand for 99 percent of the people who try it. If you've got the expendable cash, buy now. If you've got money in the market, let it ride. I think you'll find that opinion being the predominant one from any financial adviser. Pulling your money will only mean you reap no benefit when the market turns (which it inevitably will). And in almost every scenario you'll be buying new stocks with old money at higher costs than what you previously owned. Which means you end up spending more money to own less stock.

Last edited by packs; 03-03-2020 at 02:26 PM.
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  #2  
Old 03-03-2020, 02:31 PM
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iwantitiwinit iwantitiwinit is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by packs View Post
Timing the market is largely a myth. It's a fool's errand for 99 percent of the people who try it. If you've got the expendable cash, buy now. If you've got money in the market, let it ride. I think you'll find that opinion being the predominant one from any financial adviser. Pulling your money will only mean you reap no benefit when the market turns (which it inevitably will). And in almost every scenario you'll be buying new stocks with old money at higher costs than what you previously owned. Which means you end up spending more money to own less stock.
I didn't say anything about pulling your money I only mentioned my opinion about buying now. Good luck to you.
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  #3  
Old 03-07-2020, 09:36 AM
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Leon Leon is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by packs View Post
Timing the market is largely a myth. It's a fool's errand for 99 percent of the people who try it. If you've got the expendable cash, buy now. If you've got money in the market, let it ride. I think you'll find that opinion being the predominant one from any financial adviser. Pulling your money will only mean you reap no benefit when the market turns (which it inevitably will). And in almost every scenario you'll be buying new stocks with old money at higher costs than what you previously owned. Which means you end up spending more money to own less stock.
My seat of the pants opinion is .....I agree that except for extraordinary circumstances, where cash is needed for something else, this isn't the time to sell. It is too volatile. Pick a good company/stock/fund to invest in, with good long term fundamentals in place and stick to the course. At least that is my philosophy at this juncture .

and yes, I do think it effects card prices, at least somewhat.
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Last edited by Leon; 03-07-2020 at 09:37 AM.
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  #4  
Old 03-07-2020, 10:16 AM
Hankphenom Hankphenom is offline
Hank Thomas
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Default If we're assuming history repeats itself...

...then everyone should sell now at the relative top of the market and put every dollar into the best old baseball cards and memorabilia they can find. Disclaimer: I am probably the worst investment advisor on the planet, never owned a stock or bond, always preferred to have cash and other things I could see and touch. I have also never lost a minute's sleep over it and lived quite comfortably.
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  #5  
Old 03-07-2020, 10:42 AM
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Goudey77 Goudey77 is offline
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Hank you must be from the pre war era. I don’t blame you for your philosophy. Stick to your beliefs and live your best life.
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  #6  
Old 03-07-2020, 12:41 PM
Hankphenom Hankphenom is offline
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Originally Posted by Goudey77 View Post
Hank you must be from the pre war era. I don’t blame you for your philosophy. Stick to your beliefs and live your best life.
Which war? I've lived through far too many of them. Born in April '46, leading edge Boomer. Dad was discharged from the Army Air Corps at the end of WWII, you do the math. Thanks, Martin, and all good wishes to you, too. I've just always done what I felt was right for me and those in my circle, no philosophy, really. Not long ago I mentioned at a party that I'd never owned a cell phone and had a young guy literally implore me not to go there. I realize most people can't do without one, and it's not like I'm anti-tech, I love things like FB and Net54, I just don't want them around and beckoning to me everywhere I go.
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  #7  
Old 03-09-2020, 07:54 AM
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ullmandds ullmandds is offline
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Don’t know many people buying high dollar baseball cards this morning?
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  #8  
Old 03-09-2020, 09:35 AM
Brian Van Horn Brian Van Horn is offline
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The official reply from Smart Alecks Anonymous:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdbpmeUODME
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Last edited by Brian Van Horn; 03-09-2020 at 10:32 AM.
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  #9  
Old 03-09-2020, 09:55 AM
Republicaninmass Republicaninmass is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ullmandds View Post
Don’t know many people buying high dollar baseball cards this morning?

Funny I dont many people SELLING either. Guess they will post tonight once losses set in.


HA!
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  #10  
Old 03-09-2020, 10:03 AM
Hankphenom Hankphenom is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ullmandds View Post
Don’t know many people buying high dollar baseball cards this morning?
On the other hand, there's going to be a LOT of cash floating around after all the selling and no good place to put it. If a lot of good stuff starts coming out at softer prices, there will be temptation for the actual collectors out there to act on the opportunity to pick stuff up. In general, however, your point is well taken and I do anticipate a freezing up of this market along with many others. I remember setting up at the Reading show in September '08 the weekend of the financial meltdown and there was literally no buying or selling going on, probably the strangest show I ever did from a business standpoint, everyone just sitting on their hands not knowing what was going to happen next.
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  #11  
Old 03-09-2020, 10:07 AM
Huysmans Huysmans is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Goudey77 View Post
Hank you must be from the pre war era. I don’t blame you for your philosophy. Stick to your beliefs and live your best life.
Martin, you sound like you were born five minutes ago, in the modern shiny junk era - which is fitting. I'm sure you don't even have a philosophy yet, how could you? Don't stick to any juvenile beliefs, because as you mature and get wiser, your views will undoubtedly change. This you'll learn. I'd add more youngster, but I'm getting tired and it's starting to get hard to see the monitor, plus your young mind is probably already drifting to video games, taking photos of your food, social media complaining/whining and learning the latest cool slang word to impress your "peeps"
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  #12  
Old 03-09-2020, 10:29 AM
bbcard1 bbcard1 is offline
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It's interesting Gary Vee has been pushing baseball cards as an investment pretty hard. I am happy to report he's bullish on shiny and seems to care little about mid grade reward cards.
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  #13  
Old 03-09-2020, 12:03 PM
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I think baseball cards are just like any other collectible - you have rare items that will always have a bid and you have some "momentum" type cards that will lose a lot of money when the buying pool is trimmed. People that have big money into cards (for the most part) are usually not affected by wild market swings. The real issue will be the over-leveraged collections that need liquidity.

I also think we've been a bit lucky in terms of not seeing that many drawdowns over the years. They happen. You save some cash, deploy what you can, and the collection should grow over time. If you're using discretionary spending wisely any discount in cards should be well received.
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  #14  
Old 03-09-2020, 02:35 PM
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Goudey77 Goudey77 is offline
Martin
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Hi Brent, My words were of support and agreement of doing things with a personal perspective. I'm not about online bullying or pushing my beliefs onto others.

Thanks for the comment.

Martin.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Huysmans View Post
Martin, you sound like you were born five minutes ago, in the modern shiny junk era - which is fitting. I'm sure you don't even have a philosophy yet, how could you? Don't stick to any juvenile beliefs, because as you mature and get wiser, your views will undoubtedly change. This you'll learn. I'd add more youngster, but I'm getting tired and it's starting to get hard to see the monitor, plus your young mind is probably already drifting to video games, taking photos of your food, social media complaining/whining and learning the latest cool slang word to impress your "peeps"
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  #15  
Old 03-09-2020, 07:27 PM
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Touch'EmAll Touch'EmAll is offline
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Thank goodness I have more than just stocks. I have baseball cards...whew! Diversify they say.
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