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Old 07-26-2019, 04:42 PM
timn1 timn1 is offline
Tim Newcomb
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Join Date: May 2009
Location: Illinois
Posts: 1,184
Default Great points

Luke's comments make a lot of sense to me - I too have bought Naps on occasion just because I could afford to.

The ratio of T206/T207 is a fascinating question also. As of a few months ago, when I added the (PSA/SGC only) pop reports up (all backs), I got these figures, FWIW:

total T206s graded: 320754
T207s: 16004

That's a 20:1 ratio in terms of raw numbers of cards. In terms of copies per card, it's roughly 7:65/1

T206: 612.1 (320754/524)
T207: 80.0 (16004/200)

These types of computations will always be approximate, since the pop numbers are constantly changing, and you can reasonably debate what the divisors should be: (522? 524? 523? 525? etc etc.). (In determining the divisor I would tend to count all variations within a single pose as one card.)

Then there are the uncertainties about whether a given set is for some reason more or less likely to be graded than another. I would assume that GENERALLY SPEAKING, the smaller the set, the larger proportion will be graded, since not that many set collectors are going to want to pay to get 500 cards graded, compared to sets of 30 or 50 cards. But with 524 versus 200, it's harder to estimate... And many other factors, such as the unique and enormous popularity of 6s, may impact this.

Tim

Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke View Post
When Gary asked me I said in terms of proportions, Napoleons feel like AB460 (minus the 12 easy ones). Which is just one notch below Carolina Brights in my opinion.

The correct answer really depends on what ratio of T206 to T207 we use. If it's 20:1 we're going to get a different answer than if it's 10:1.

The difference in price makes it a little tough to compare as well. I have around 40 Napoleon backs, and a big reason for that is I can afford them when I find one for sale. If I'd had the money, would I have been able to buy 400 or 800 Carolina Brights backs in the same time period that I've been buying Napoleons? I'd guess probably not. In that same time period I have probably owned 30 CB backs, the limiting factor being money.

So, I'm leaning more toward Hindu as a decent comparison after thinking about it a little more.

Last edited by timn1; 07-26-2019 at 04:55 PM.
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Old 07-26-2019, 05:11 PM
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RCMcKenzie RCMcKenzie is offline
Rob
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Join Date: Jul 2009
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Default

Again, maybe I misunderstood what the OP was asking. I understand the mathematical ratio aspects, but I thought he meant how rare are Napoleon backs. There are currently 5 T206 Carolina Brights on eBay, 3 T207 Napoleon, and 45+ T206 Hindu...
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