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Go Back   Net54baseball.com Forums > Net54baseball Postwar Sportscard Forums > Watercooler Talk- ALL sports talk

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  #1  
Old 11-14-2017, 09:23 AM
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rats60 rats60 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bravos4evr View Post
this is absolute nonsense.
the "eye test" HAS BEEN PROVEN to be garbage. confirmation bias (as exhibited by you) recency bias..etc skew reality for people.


Not to mention that a formula applied to everyone will result in an applicable ratio of production even if not an accurate one. so even if WAR didn't nail player's exact win value, it DOES give an accurate measure of production relative to each other.
I would like to see that proof. Perhaps you can give me a link to that PhD dissertation that disproves thousands of years of scientific thought. I am sure the whole Statistics community would be interested, it would be revolutionary. I won't however accept a link to some BS on a website that anyone can post on the internet. It must be from someone with actual credentials and be confirmed by other experts in the field of statistics.

Your second statement is 100% false. If there are errors in the formula, which there obviously are (Do you really believe Johnny Bench and Lou Whitaker were equivalent players?), it is going to going to produce inaccurate results. In science we say garbage in garbage out. As some have commented before, it is the best we have, so I try to use it when I can. In the end it is one person's opinion (fangraphs disagrees with bb reference). In areas where my opinion differs based on 50 years of playing and studying the game and a Master's Degree in Statistics, I am going to trust my professors, not somebody I don't know with unknown credentials.
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Old 11-14-2017, 09:51 AM
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bravos4evr bravos4evr is offline
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appeal to authority logical fallacy.....

and argument from incredulity

try again cupcake
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Old 11-16-2017, 06:22 AM
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rats60 rats60 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bravos4evr View Post
appeal to authority logical fallacy.....

and argument from incredulity

try again cupcake
Just what I thought, you have nothing but your opinion and insults.
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Old 11-14-2017, 09:53 AM
2dueces 2dueces is offline
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My only opinion on this subject is the Hall of Fame has become the Hall of pretty Good too often. I think it should be reserved for the best of the best of the best. It's been watered down so much that these conversations take on a life of their own. Even discussing the 51st best first baseman of all time shows it is true. BTW, I like Steve Garvey, but not a HOFer.
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