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#10

01-27-2017, 09:32 PM

frankbmd

Fr@nk Burke++

Member

Join Date: Nov 2011

Location: Between the 1st tee and the 19th hole

Posts: 7,504

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikemb

Frank is correct. It is month and day, not year. The chance rises to 99.9% with about 70 people! I have not determined how many people have to be in a room to have a 50% chance that one of them is in HOF!

Mike

Mike is correct as well. If there are 70 people in the bar, you will win the bet with near certainty. This is a problem often seen in statistics and probability courses. A reference is provided below for you doubters, no matter what you are drinking.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

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Last edited by frankbmd; 01-27-2017 at 09:54 PM.

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