Quote:
Originally Posted by Vintageclout
Nick, I am a professional pitching coach and I can promise you that the increase in Tommy John surgery's is due to young arms throwing too hard too fast, that is at too young of an age. Dr James Andrews (the best at what he does), insists that someone throwing 85+ at the age of 16/17 or younger has a 75% risk of eventually blowing their elbow. So many young kids throw 90+ in high school now because of super conditioning programs and...yes...PEDs! Why? Because there is simply too much money at stake in this era via college scholarships or the draft. That is EXACTLY what is gong on right now and it's only going to get worse. Many young elbows were not built to throw that hard that quickly, and if not at the high school level, it eventually catches up to pitchers in their early to mid 20s.
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well, that's kinda what I said (just in less detail) or are you not arguing? (it kinda read like you were arguing).
The evidence isn't clear on EXACTLY the cause, there are many variables, but max effort pitching and year round pitching for young players seems to be the leading candidate right now. (I suspect it will turn out to be a bit of both) Have you read that new book Fastball yet? It's supposed to have a ton of stuff about the rise of TJ surgery.