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#1
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Good article on comps to Bryant's rookie year:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/compi...rookie-season/ Spoiler: his comps don't exactly jump off the page (but he's young, so its ok). |
#2
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In terms of the cards, it amazes me how much people spend on rookie cards of these guys, and not just in baseball. I don't know how many hold their initial value over time, but my guess would be around 5% or less. I think only a couple of guys in a given era will truly live up to the hype, and the 10-50k people are spending on these 1/1s and superfractor type cards.
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#3
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Kris Bryant is a freaking stud. Add to that he plays in Chicago. His cards are never going to cool off. Same with Trouty, Harper, and Correa. The Mount Rushmore of the new era
Last edited by Canofcorn; 02-04-2016 at 08:03 PM. |
#4
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he's probably overhyped, but i don't know if he's overrated. yes his babip is very high, and with someone like trout with his speed you say that could be sustainable...but i just checked and bryant line drive rate and hard hit ball rate is nothing to write home about, so i'd say he was extremely lucky last year. not saying he's not already a productive player, but he'd have to change his approach to reach that superstardom level.
and he's nowhere the level of trout/harper/correa presently. those guys are generational players who've put up multiple all stars/mvp seasons by them time they're at bryant's age...and correa just beasted thru the league at his age 20 season. if lindor can show his offense is not a mirage i'd take him over bryant also. as for prospecting these guys my one rule is when in doubt, go with the white guy in the big market. so load up on your giolitos over urias. edit: just read over the thread. at no point was harper considered a bust, he was injury-prone and missed games but always productive while he was in the lineup. mixing babip with strikeout rate is not good...since the modern game kind of digs the 3 true outcome guys. if you want to know if babip is sustainable just look at their line drive rate and exit ball velocity...which bryant ranked near the 200s of all players, while his babip was 5th (so big red flag). Last edited by chaddurbin; 02-06-2016 at 12:36 AM. |
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