What kind of budget or money do you spend

[Bpm0014]

On my life, not ONLY have i won 33 out of last 35 weeks, I've only technically had to pay ONE week. The other two weeks were (fairly) insignificant amounts in which I just carried over. Not only that, coming into Saturday's bowl games I had won 36 out of my last 41 games, which is documented (I went 3-2 yesterday however). I'm on my 4th bookie in 7 years which is a complete badge of honor. Oh, and 4-0 today (Steelers, Colts, Seahawks, under Rams).

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by Bpm0014

On my life, not ONLY have i won 33 out of last 35 weeks, I've only technically had to pay ONE week. The other two weeks were (fairly) insignificant amounts in which I just carried over. Not only that, coming into Saturday's bowl games I had won 36 out of my last 41 games, which is documented (I went 3-2 yesterday however). I'm on my 4th bookie in 7 years which is a complete badge of honor. Oh, and 4-0 today (Steelers, Colts, Seahawks, under Rams).

Let's hear your picks BEFORE the fact. Then we'll see just how well you do.

[Bpm0014]

Typically college bowl games and NFL playoffs are a very difficult time for bettors. College football season is my bread and butter though. If you remind me when college football rolls around again later this year, I'll be happy to provide my picks immediately AFTER kickoff. Anything PRIOR to kickoff will cost you haha. I'm at 73% documented over the last 6 seasons between college football/NFL. (This is in no way a sales pitch as I strictly bet for fun/T206 cards/baseball memorabilia)

[Peter_Spaeth]

Vs. point spread? Or just picking the winners?

[Bwarren92989]

Originally Posted by Bpm0014

Typically college bowl games and NFL playoffs are a very difficult time for bettors. College football season is my bread and butter though. If you remind me when college football rolls around again later this year, I'll be happy to provide my picks immediately AFTER kickoff. Anything PRIOR to kickoff will cost you haha. I'm at 73% documented over the last 6 seasons between college football/NFL. (This is in no way a sales pitch as I strictly bet for fun/T206 cards/baseball memorabilia)

Who do you have for the cfb championship ? I'm a diehard Ohio State fan so it doesnt matter to me who wins but id prefer Clemson 😅

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[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by Bpm0014

Typically college bowl games and NFL playoffs are a very difficult time for bettors. College football season is my bread and butter though. If you remind me when college football rolls around again later this year, I'll be happy to provide my picks immediately AFTER kickoff. Anything PRIOR to kickoff will cost you haha. I'm at 73% documented over the last 6 seasons between college football/NFL. (This is in no way a sales pitch as I strictly bet for fun/T206 cards/baseball memorabilia)

Guess this article didn't know about you.


Big Myth #4 Pie in the Sky Win Rates As NFL betting has grown, so has the tout business. A tout is someone who gets paid to help a bettor make money betting the NFL. Some are legitimate handicappers. An overwhelming majority are not. The first way to protect yourself from one who is not is to rule out anyone who claims to win 75 or 80 percent against the point spread. Just remember this: Anyone who reasonably expected to win 80 of his next 100 bets could turn $1,000 into $15 billion by proper proportional betting—all in one season! A realistic long-term win percentage for a skilled handicapper will be in the 55–60 percent range. I know of no service that has done better than about 60 percent over a number of seasons. And those that consistently reach 60 percent are very few.

[Luke]

Yeah, not to mention that no bookie would allow themselves to get beat up so badly over a long period of time. If you win at that high of a clip, you have to find people with a good credit line to place wagers for you. You don't just stick with one bookie who is happy to pay you out every single week of the season.

It is possible that someone could win at a 73% clip over 6 seasons, but it would be in the 99.95% (or some similar large number) percentile of winners. A huge outlier in other words. I can imagine that it is possible because I've seen some crazy runs in gambling, but without any proof you have to take stuff like that with a grain of salt.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by LukeLyon

Yeah, not to mention that no bookie would allow themselves to get beat up so badly over a long period of time. If you win at that high of a clip, you have to find people with a good credit line to place wagers for you. You don't just stick with one bookie who is happy to pay you out every single week of the season.

It is possible that someone could win at a 73% clip over 6 seasons, but it would be in the 99.95% (or some similar large number) percentile of winners. A huge outlier in other words. I can imagine that it is possible because I've seen some crazy runs in gambling, but without any proof you have to take stuff like that with a grain of salt.

Let's see him post his picks in real time.

[Bpm0014]

As stated earlier, I have gone through numerous bookies in the last couple of years. Look, I have nothing to prove. I do not own a website, I'm not trying to start a website, I'm not trying to start a business, nor am I touting my service. I simply stated that I spend my gambling winnings on cards/memorabilia/etc. I have a family, a nursing degree, I played college baseball, I now play ultra competitive softball, and work for a health insurance company. I'm a normal regular guy who happens to fly under the radar and make a couple bucks betting NCAA/NFL football. For the record I bet $100-$500 a game with an occasional $1000/$2000 here and there. Again, if you do not believe me I'm completely 100% fine with that.