Long term trends

[sylbry]

Originally Posted by T206Collector

If you stick with HOFers who died before 1980 on standard issued cards like Topps, Bowman, Goudey, T206, etc., I think you'll be just fine in the long term.

In theory. However all it takes is a skilled forger and an incompetent third party authenticator for that only known t206 Speaker to be one of 10 or one of 20.

We all know many of the signed vintage cards coming to market as of late are fake.

And this is where the seasoned collector will say that they can spot the fakes and wouldn't buy one. True. But the two person bidding war is less likely to happen when one of those people already has purchased a semi convincing fake and is no longer in the market.

The vintage signed card market is on a bubble due to baby boomers with money having fun. And it is going to burst.

[theshleps]

After talking to some very skilled authenticators that many of us know it is scary knowing there are good fake signed t206's and 33 Goudeys out there that could even fool them. That is what they tell me. Almost wants to make me switch to autograph books and signed contracts and checks but I love the cards too much

[T206Collector]

Originally Posted by sylbry

However all it takes is a skilled forger and an incompetent third party authenticator for that only known t206 Speaker to be one of 10 or one of 20.

Five years ago, this signed T206 of Cobb sold for $27,600:

http://www.sportscollectorsdaily.com...lls-for-27600/

If skilled forgers and incompetent third party authenticators are at all common, why hasn't a single signed T206 Cobb been sold at auction since?

(Having said that, Goodwin will have a Cobb Bat On, which comes from the same collector who had the Speaker in an upcoming auction.)