Thoughts on Derek Jeter material now vs. after his induction into the HOF

[sbfinley]

- High grade SP RC's will continue to rise over time. It's just too difficult to pull a perfect one right from a pack.

- Rare and Low #'d inserts will rise slightly, but will be hit and miss. I've noticed prices for certain "rare" Jeter cards will be all over the board. $200 one sale - $575 the next - $300 the next. He always be the focus of many player collections and the key is having a card multiple buyers need at the same time.

- I think his auto market will level off and might even drop. Plenty out there and he will continue to do Steiner signings for the foreseeable future.

[bnorth]

I will guess it goes the same as every other HOFer. Around election time prices will spike. Then it will be near impossible to sell one for a year because everybody just unloaded all the cards they have been saving hoping to get in on the short price spike. Then they will slowly start selling again at a lower price.

[ALR-bishop]

I only have whatever Jeter cards appeared in the regular Topps sets and in their Heritage sets, and have never seen the regular Topps cards because they are still in factory boxes. Up to 94 I have all the Topps sets in binders, but gave up after that and just bought sets to keep the run going. I do have all the Heritage sets in binders. I guess I won't be able to increase my retirement income on Jeter cards

[majordanby]

with modern HOF/All Star players, the typical cycle for changes in their card (mainly higher end rookie cards) values goes as follows

-if they are a top prospect, the value of their cards are high as they move up and make their mlb debut
-unless they do what mike trout/harper/strasburg did after their debuts, you should see their cards regress downwards, even if they have initial success in the majors
-card values remain fairly steady throughout their careers - peaking only if they break records/reach milestones.
-lead up to retirement and post retirement, you'll see a spike in their cards
-card values remain steady until a spike leading up to and post HOF induction. the value regresses back down thereafter.

i think jeter rookies might regress downwards a bit in retirement just because there has been so much hype around it, but move back up once he gets in the Hall.

[steve B]

I haven't paid much attention to pricing the last several years, but the traditional pattern for certain HOFers was a surge in prices up to retirement, a dip over the next 4-5 years since they were out of the spotlight, then another surge from election to sometime after induction.

The better stuff of course will stay better, the common stuff will usually fall off for a few years after induction.

Other than the NY market keeping prices high I don't really see it going any differently.

Steve B