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  #1  
Old 02-12-2013, 07:19 PM
T205 GB's Avatar
T205 GB T205 GB is offline
@ndrew woo.dfin
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thehoodedcoder View Post
there was a thread no more than 2 weeks ago about this. id append to that thread. it may get more attention.

http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=160673

kevin
I am well aware of that one and all the ones from a while back as well. This pertains to keeping him on the front line as an issue and bad seller
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  #2  
Old 02-12-2013, 08:28 PM
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scooter729 scooter729 is offline
Scott S
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Quote:
Originally Posted by T205 GB View Post
I am well aware of that one and all the ones from a while back as well. This pertains to keeping him on the front line as an issue and bad seller
If you want people to see "him" as a bad seller, you might want to put his name in the subject line. For many folks who simply read thread titles or don't click on the links (or check this thread months from now when the eBay links are dead), you'd never know what seller you're talking about.
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  #3  
Old 02-12-2013, 10:58 PM
bubblebathgirl
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The only reason you can even complain about this is because of the semi-transparent bidding system that ebay employs.

With AHs you can't see anything ... you think this would be more or less attractive to shills?
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  #4  
Old 02-12-2013, 11:08 PM
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chaddurbin chaddurbin is offline
qu@n nguy3n
 
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i was following a '48 signed musial a couple weeks ago, last day bidding it got up to around $320...a pretty good price as prior ones sold for $200-$220. seller cancelled the auction early, next week it was in a probstein auction and ended a couple days ago for $580 . now suddenly 3 more musials has popped up because of this artificially inflated auction. lots more examples like this i've stopped bidding with this guy.

Quan Nguyen

Last edited by chaddurbin; 02-13-2013 at 08:09 AM.
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  #5  
Old 02-13-2013, 12:32 AM
pepis pepis is offline
Jose Vazquez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chaddurbin View Post
i was following a '48 signed musial a couple weeks ago, last day bidding it got up to around $320...a pretty good price as prior ones sold for $200-$220. seller cancelled the auction early, next week it was in a probstein auction and ended a couple days ago for $580 . now suddenly 3 more musials has popped up because of this artificially inflated auction. lots more examples like this i've stopped bidding with this guy.
What that really means is that he has a strong customer following and they
dont mind spending extra dealing with him instead of venturing with some
unknown source.
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  #6  
Old 02-13-2013, 01:30 AM
Matthew H Matthew H is offline
Matt Hall
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pepis View Post
What that really means is that he has a strong customer following and they
dont mind spending extra dealing with him instead of venturing with some
unknown source.
Buying from Rick is buying from an unknown source. Most of his items are consignments. Items that aren't consignments may be the only ones not being shilled at this point.

I would like to be proven wrong. Can any board member own up to a recent consignment with Rick to which they can provide a testimonial? I'd like to see one higher then usual price that can be proven an honest sale... Anyone?

Last edited by Matthew H; 02-13-2013 at 01:32 AM.
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  #7  
Old 02-13-2013, 06:07 AM
Qcards Qcards is offline
Mi.ke Que.vill.on
 
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Default Rick Probstein is a good seller

I have consigned many items with Rick and he gets good results almost every time.

I had a vintage non sport set sitting in my eBay store for over a year at $999 with lots of low ball offers.

I pulled it and sent it to Rick and in a 7 day auction he got over $1,000 for it. I have no interest in shilling my items, I want them sold.

Not sure why this guy keeps getting bashed, he has been nothing but straight with me.

Last edited by Qcards; 02-13-2013 at 06:18 AM.
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  #8  
Old 02-13-2013, 11:15 AM
Sean1125 Sean1125 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matthew H View Post
Buying from Rick is buying from an unknown source. Most of his items are consignments. Items that aren't consignments may be the only ones not being shilled at this point.

I would like to be proven wrong. Can any board member own up to a recent consignment with Rick to which they can provide a testimonial? I'd like to see one higher then usual price that can be proven an honest sale... Anyone?
I will sort through my previous listings and see what I can come up with.

I DO NOT and WILL NOT EVER bid on my own auctions. I had 2 Dan Marinos and 2 Elway Rookies end for $160... I was only asking $60 for the 4 cards locally. I also have had some partial sets that I estimate in the 1500-1800 range end 2500-3200
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  #9  
Old 02-13-2013, 07:26 AM
ngrow9 ngrow9 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bubblebathgirl View Post
The only reason you can even complain about this is because of the semi-transparent bidding system that ebay employs.

With AHs you can't see anything ... you think this would be more or less attractive to shills?
I realize this is probably a fruitless response, but one of the greatest downside risks of shilling in any auction system is that you outbid the field and get stuck with your own item. Should that happen on eBay, the actual out of pocket loss is rather minimal, basically just the listing fees (if any) and portion of the final price kept by eBay (around 9%). However, the odds of winning your own lot on eBay are quite low, because you can always retract a bid. So despite any transparency, there is little risk to shilling on eBay.

Conversely, should you outbid the field in an AH auction, your out-of-pocket loss will be much more significant, as you will owe both the hefty consignment fee as well as the bidder's premium. You could easily end up losing 1/3rd of the value of the item in the end. Moreover, it is much harder (if not impossible) to retract a bid.

Ergo, even though eBay may be a little more transparent, overall I believe the risk of shilling is greater on eBay than at an AH for the simple reasons that the risk of winning your own lot is much lower due to retraction, and the cost of winning your own lot is much lower than at an AH.

Last edited by ngrow9; 02-13-2013 at 08:35 AM.
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  #10  
Old 02-13-2013, 07:28 AM
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ullmandds ullmandds is offline
pete ullman
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I used to buy from him somewhat regularly...but will definitely think twice about doing so these days.
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  #11  
Old 02-13-2013, 07:36 AM
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Mi.ke Masi.nick
 
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The guy takes GREAT pictures in every one of his auctions. Front pics, back pics, high quality.

It's not his job to police his auctions to make sure that the consigners cousin isn't bidding. That's unrealistic.

He's doing a good job and earning his commission - unless there is evidence that he's directly involved leave the guy alone.
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  #12  
Old 02-13-2013, 08:01 AM
tschock tschock is offline
T@yl0r $ch0ck
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ngrow9 View Post
I realize this is probably a fruitless response, but one of the greatest downside risks of shilling in any auction system is that you outbid the field and get stuck with your own item. Should that happen on eBay, the actual out of pocket loss is rather minimal, basically just the listing fees (if any) and portion of the final price kept by eBay (around 9%). However, the odds of winning your own lot on eBay are quite low, because you can always retract a bid. So despite any transparency, there is little risk to shilling on eBay.

Conversely, should you outbid the field in an AH auction, your out-of-pocket loss will be much more significant, as you will owe both the hefty consignment fee as well as the bidder's premium. You could easily end up losing 1/3rd of the value of the item in the end. Moreover, it is much harder (if not impossible) to retract a bid.

Ergo, even though eBay may be a little more transparent, overall you are much more likely to be subjected to shilling on eBay than at an AH for the simple reasons that the risk of winning your own lot is much lower due to retraction, and the cost of winning your own lot is much lower than at an AH.
"I realize this is probably a fruitless response" - It is. Providing valid reasons pro AH and anti-ebay are never considered. Higher prices realized through auctions than on ebay are obvious proof of shill bidding (sarcasm). There can be no other explanation (even though many have been offered).

And again you hit on the obvious question/concern that Paul never has addressed. There is little to no downside to shilling on ebay. If you get caught, you get "banned" until you create a new account or get someone else to do your bidding (pun intended). Beyond the token banning by ebay, has anyone ever been prosecuted for any of these nefarious activities? If so, great, and I stand corrected. But if not, then STFU about ebay's "transparency". It is a law with no teeth. Much like "keep right except to pass".

And regarding ebay's so-called transparency,
http://pages.ebay.com/help/policies/...l-bidding.html - Often what appears to be shill bidding isn't a violation. If there is evidence of shill bidding, we will take action, which may include listing cancellation or referral to law enforcement. However, our privacy policy prevents us from disclosing the details of our investigation to other members, including the person who reported the issue.

So if someone is banned or an auction is taken down, how does anyone actually know it was because of shill bidding? Or how does anyone know shill bidding is even happening? Ebay basically implies in the first statement that y'all are just stupid buyers and couldn't recognize a shill bidder, or shill bidding isn't going on, which makes transparency a moot point then anyway, right?
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  #13  
Old 02-13-2013, 08:06 AM
tcdyess tcdyess is offline
Tim Caravella
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Ok, now I'm thoroughly confused. I am following an auction from him on a card that I want, but now have no clue whether or not I should bid.... meh.....

http://www.ebay.com/itm/360586885146...84.m1423.l2649
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  #14  
Old 02-13-2013, 09:40 AM
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smtjoy smtjoy is offline
Scott Mt. Joy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tcdyess View Post
Ok, now I'm thoroughly confused. I am following an auction from him on a card that I want, but now have no clue whether or not I should bid.... meh.....

http://www.ebay.com/itm/360586885146...84.m1423.l2649
Humm yea I would not be worried bidding on this card..........

Top bidder-
30-Day Summary
Total bids: 136
Items bid on: 92
Bid activity (%) with this seller: 94%

Underbidder-
30-Day Summary
Total bids: 43
Items bid on: 7
Bid activity (%) with this seller: 62%
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