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  #1  
Old 11-27-2021, 12:30 AM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
So you admit you just want to focus on the best years, and you're dropping your "learning curve" excuse now for Koufax. That's fine, I understand the theory although I don't agree with it, just don't justify it with a bogus justification. By the way I bet you have not put any analysis into your "most don't" assertion. Just like you asserted Maddux's BABIP against was precisely in line with the average before you even looked it up to see it wasn't. It seems almost every great pitcher I look up was very good very young.
Really? You sure about that? As young as Koufax was? How many teenagers have you seen pitching in the MLB? I'll wait...
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2021, 01:07 AM
G1911 G1911 is online now
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Really? You sure about that? As young as Koufax was? How many teenagers have you seen pitching in the MLB? I'll wait...
Koufax threw 41 innings as a teen. It is not his teen years limiting his good years, it’s his arm going at 30 and that he only got productive at 25, a couple years after most all time greats but not really late.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:15 AM
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Koufax threw 41 innings as a teen. It is not his teen years limiting his good years, it’s his arm going at 30 and that he only got productive at 25, a couple years after most all time greats but not really late.
What does that have to do with what we're arguing about? I made the claim that most pitchers don't come into the league as teenagers and just start kicking ass right out of the gate and that it usually takes them a few years to figure things out in the minors first. Peter seems to think that statement is false. He asserts that I must not have done my homework, because surely if I had, I would have come to a different conclusion.

Care to place a wager on this one Peter? Or Mr. Data Analyst perhaps? Mr Snow PaTroll perhaps? Anyone?

... No? Didn't think so.
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  #4  
Old 11-27-2021, 01:36 AM
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Originally Posted by Snowman View Post
What does that have to do with what we're arguing about? I made the claim that most pitchers don't come into the league as teenagers and just start kicking ass right out of the gate and that it usually takes them a few years to figure things out in the minors first. Peter seems to think that statement is false. He asserts that I must not have done my homework, because surely if I had, I would have come to a different conclusion.

Care to place a wager on this one Peter? Or Mr. Data Analyst perhaps? Mr Snow PaTroll perhaps? Anyone?

... No? Didn't think so.
He cited examples of pitchers putting it together at 22, 23, 24. Not in their teens. Nobody is holding Koufax’s 1955 season at 19 against him. The problem is he put it together a couple years later than most great pitchers and was done at 30. He loses a couple years of effectiveness to his somewhat but not overly late bloom. He loses a decade to the fact he was done at 30. It’s fairly obvious which is the bigger problem for his careers value. One can discern it from a cursory look at his career. There’s nothing to wager on here.

Last edited by G1911; 11-27-2021 at 01:37 AM.
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  #5  
Old 11-27-2021, 07:42 AM
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Really? You sure about that? As young as Koufax was? How many teenagers have you seen pitching in the MLB? I'll wait...
Straw man. Other than Doc, I pointed to examples of pitchers achieving greatness in their early 20s, when Koufax was mediocre. And I am sure I could cite many more. You have zero support for your assertion that "most" pitchers take 5 years to figure it out. Randy Johnson, to be sure, was a slow starter, and there may be others, but "most" you just made up.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 11-27-2021 at 07:45 AM.
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  #6  
Old 11-27-2021, 08:44 AM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Straw man. Other than Doc, I pointed to examples of pitchers achieving greatness in their early 20s, when Koufax was mediocre. And I am sure I could cite many more. You have zero support for your assertion that "most" pitchers take 5 years to figure it out. Randy Johnson, to be sure, was a slow starter, and there may be others, but "most" you just made up.
If you need some ammunition to help quiet someone down (this one's for you also G1911), here's a quick list of some MLB pitchers who started in the majors while still teens. Don't want to make people wait for accurate and verifiable answers to their questions, now do we? And of course, we can always expect someone asking such questions of us to be just as courteous and responsive in similar type questions we may pose to them, and can count on them answering us back with accurate and verifiable responses as well, right? And some of the pitchers on this list aren't too shabby to boot........

Felix Hernandez
Dwight Gooden
Bert Blyleven
Mike Morgan
David Clyde
Vida Blue
Denny McLain
Dave McNally
Early Wynn
Bob Feller (Who may be the youngest ever, in the modern era at least, at only 17)
Babe Ruth

People really should learn to do a little research before shooting off their mouths when demanding proof of something they think off the top of their head doesn't exist. Gee, I hope if this was something being asked for by a researcher or statistician that it isn't indicative of the usual quality of their work. Would certainly make me a tad bit concerned about believing anything such a person would ever say or suggest, right? Just another one of those - Things that make you go hmmmmm.......

Last edited by BobC; 11-27-2021 at 08:44 AM.
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  #7  
Old 11-27-2021, 08:59 AM
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Default Early Wynn was a late bloomer!

Hold on a sec. WRT Early Wynn: he may have pitched as a teenager, but he was a very ordinary pitcher through his age-28 season. It was only after Washington traded him to Cleveland that he started to pitch above league average -- he made the HoF in his 30's.

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  #8  
Old 11-27-2021, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted by GeoPoto View Post
Hold on a sec. WRT Early Wynn: he may have pitched as a teenager, but he was a very ordinary pitcher through his age-28 season. It was only after Washington traded him to Cleveland that he started to pitch above league average -- he made the HoF in his 30's.

https://www.net54baseball.com/attach...1&d=1638028681
George,

Don't disagree, but I believe the question asked of others was to name pitchers who pitched in the majors as teenagers, not how they fared when they pitched.

And thank you for bringing that up by the way, and I sincerely mean that. It cuts off whoever may have asked the original question from trying to throw it back in someone's face, because now if they still try to do that, they'll really look kind of dumb. Thanks!
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  #9  
Old 11-27-2021, 09:08 AM
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Originally Posted by BobC View Post
Gee, I hope if this was something being asked for by a researcher or statistician that it isn't indicative of the usual quality of their work. Would certainly make me a tad bit concerned about believing anything such a person would ever say or suggest, right? Just another one of those - Things that make you go hmmmmm.......
Bob...come now. He is not just a researcher or statistician. He is a data scientist...with 4 post grad degrees. I dunno if this is indicative of his work but it has been 100% indicative of his posts here. So much nonsense from the snowman. I admit I am a huge fan.
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  #10  
Old 11-27-2021, 09:18 AM
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Gary Nolan, Wally Bunker, Chief Bender, Rube Bressler and Smoky Joe Wood also all had excellent seasons as teens in the 20th century.


Most pitchers are not major league ready or good in their teens. Most aren’t at 20 or 21. Most excellent pitchers ‘put it together’ at 23-25. Koufax bloomed a little late, but not very late like Randy Johnson or Early Wynn. The much bigger issue for his value to his team is that he was completely done by 30. His early years can’t be ignored, nor should they for any pitcher, but his real problem is the age he was useless by. Johnson I have as #2 and he was a true late bloomer.
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  #11  
Old 11-27-2021, 10:52 AM
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Originally Posted by G1911 View Post
Gary Nolan, Wally Bunker, Chief Bender, Rube Bressler and Smoky Joe Wood also all had excellent seasons as teens in the 20th century.


Most pitchers are not major league ready or good in their teens. Most aren’t at 20 or 21. Most excellent pitchers ‘put it together’ at 23-25. Koufax bloomed a little late, but not very late like Randy Johnson or Early Wynn. The much bigger issue for his value to his team is that he was completely done by 30. His early years can’t be ignored, nor should they for any pitcher, but his real problem is the age he was useless by. Johnson I have as #2 and he was a true late bloomer.
Agreed!

The list of names you and I have of those who pitched in their teens is pretty impressive in terms of the ability of others to spot their raw, MLB level talent at such an early age. Of the 15 listed teen pitchers, 5 are in the HOF (including Ruth), and 5 are Cy Young winners (with Wynn being the only CYA winner and HOFer in the group). So 9 of these 15 MLB pitchers turned out to be at least somewhat great. That is an outstanding 60% success rate in predicting who would go on to do well. And that doesn't even include Wood or McNally, who both had excellent careers also.

Last edited by BobC; 11-27-2021 at 10:52 AM.
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  #12  
Old 11-27-2021, 09:33 AM
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Bob...come now. He is not just a researcher or statistician. He is a data scientist...with 4 post grad degrees. I dunno if this is indicative of his work but it has been 100% indicative of his posts here. So much nonsense from the snowman. I admit I am a huge fan.
I don't want to ever sully a scientist like that. They are all very intelligent and dedicated intellectuals who make it a point that when they develop theories, they always test and recheck their data and results to strive for accuracy and verifiability in all that they do. And they never go about publishing or declaring their ideas and theories as factual until they have produced, and are able to share, their data and research supporting and proving those theories. Can't imagine a TRUE scientist ever willingly violating that well known tenet of the scientific community, can you?

Last edited by BobC; 11-27-2021 at 09:34 AM.
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  #13  
Old 11-27-2021, 12:04 PM
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I don't want to ever sully a scientist like that. They are all very intelligent and dedicated intellectuals who make it a point that when they develop theories, they always test and recheck their data and results to strive for accuracy and verifiability in all that they do. And they never go about publishing or declaring their ideas and theories as factual until they have produced, and are able to share, their data and research supporting and proving those theories. Can't imagine a TRUE scientist ever willingly violating that well known tenet of the scientific community, can you?
Since we are nothing more than groupthink or a small gaggle of internet trolls maybe we are not entitled to his true greatness.
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  #14  
Old 11-27-2021, 11:27 AM
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If you need some ammunition to help quiet someone down (this one's for you also G1911), here's a quick list of some MLB pitchers who started in the majors while still teens.

Bob Feller (Who may be the youngest ever, in the modern era at least, at only 17)
Technically, I think that title goes to Joe Nuxhall, though Feller did manage to stick it out longer than 2/3 of an inning.

Another pitcher who started in their teens (a lefty even). went on to a respectable career, and retired young was Johnny Antonelli.
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  #15  
Old 11-27-2021, 12:07 PM
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Originally Posted by carlsonjok View Post
Technically, I think that title goes to Joe Nuxhall, though Feller did manage to stick it out longer than 2/3 of an inning.

Another pitcher who started in their teens (a lefty even). went on to a respectable career, and retired young was Johnny Antonelli.
And a great pitcher in 1954. He played a key role in getting the Giants their last title for decades, but was quickly forgotten by Giants fans. He’s one of those common cards I always target to get, coming from Giants country.
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  #16  
Old 11-27-2021, 12:27 PM
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Originally Posted by BobC View Post
If you need some ammunition to help quiet someone down (this one's for you also G1911), here's a quick list of some MLB pitchers who started in the majors while still teens. Don't want to make people wait for accurate and verifiable answers to their questions, now do we? And of course, we can always expect someone asking such questions of us to be just as courteous and responsive in similar type questions we may pose to them, and can count on them answering us back with accurate and verifiable responses as well, right? And some of the pitchers on this list aren't too shabby to boot........

Felix Hernandez
Dwight Gooden
Bert Blyleven
Mike Morgan
David Clyde
Vida Blue
Denny McLain
Dave McNally
Early Wynn
Bob Feller (Who may be the youngest ever, in the modern era at least, at only 17)
Babe Ruth

People really should learn to do a little research before shooting off their mouths when demanding proof of something they think off the top of their head doesn't exist. Gee, I hope if this was something being asked for by a researcher or statistician that it isn't indicative of the usual quality of their work. Would certainly make me a tad bit concerned about believing anything such a person would ever say or suggest, right? Just another one of those - Things that make you go hmmmmm.......
Holy $#!+. How clueless can you actually be? That's your list? 11 players? This is your argument against the very simple statement that most pitchers don't pitch in the MLB as teenagers and that it takes them a few years in the minors to figure things out before they get called up? Really? It wouldn't matter if you could come up with hundreds of pitchers who were called up as teens. The fact of the matter is that the vast majority of players, hell, the vast majority of top prospects even, all spend multiple years in the minor league system before being called up. Welcome to my ignore list as well. I don't have time for people like you.
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Old 11-27-2021, 12:44 PM
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Holy $#!+. How clueless can you actually be? That's your list? 11 players? This is your argument against the very simple statement that most pitchers don't pitch in the MLB as teenagers and that it takes them a few years in the minors to figure things out before they get called up? Really? It wouldn't matter if you could come up with hundreds of pitchers who were called up as teens. The fact of the matter is that the vast majority of players, hell, the vast majority of top prospects even, all spend multiple years in the minor league system before being called up. Welcome to my ignore list as well. I don't have time for people like you.
Snowman is having a meltdown...again. You are the one who started arguing about teenage pitchers in MLB. Another red herring to go along with many others. Once you get stopped in your tracks you find another angle and twist what others have posted so you can shift your position.
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Old 11-27-2021, 12:52 PM
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So what's the over/under on the number of posts that Snowman makes in a given thread before pissing off (multiple) people?

I now have an ignore list of one.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:06 PM
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So what's the over/under on the number of posts that Snowman makes in a given thread before pissing off (multiple) people?

I now have an ignore list of one.
He likes to antagonize and argue. He apparently had two ids on Blowout and he conducted himself the same way there from the posts I read. He just does not play well with others.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:41 PM
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So what's the over/under on the number of posts that Snowman makes in a given thread before pissing off (multiple) people?

I now have an ignore list of one.
LOL

You and me both.

Last edited by BobC; 11-27-2021 at 01:45 PM.
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  #21  
Old 11-27-2021, 01:27 PM
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Snowman is having a meltdown...again. You are the one who started arguing about teenage pitchers in MLB. Another red herring to go along with many others. Once you get stopped in your tracks you find another angle and twist what others have posted so you can shift your position.
It's funny, someone dares you to name or give them examples of something, with the sarcastic implication that you're not going to find anything, so you give them a number of examples to shut them up. And of course their comeback upon seeing the list is typical, feigned shock and disgust that that is all there is.

Just tell the trolls know they can't count as there were other posts with more names than on the one list anyway. And if they want any more names than that, they should get off their lazy butts and go look them up themselves.
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Old 11-27-2021, 12:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Straw man. Other than Doc, I pointed to examples of pitchers achieving greatness in their early 20s, when Koufax was mediocre. And I am sure I could cite many more. You have zero support for your assertion that "most" pitchers take 5 years to figure it out. Randy Johnson, to be sure, was a slow starter, and there may be others, but "most" you just made up.
Strawman? LMFAO. You're so ridiculous. That was literally my exact statement that you argued against. And who said anything about 5 years? Who's the one making straw man arguments now? All I said was it takes most pitchers a few years in the minors to figure things out before getting called up. Pretty simple statement Peter. And not one that's really debatable. But you'll argue against anything.
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Old 11-27-2021, 12:58 PM
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Strawman? LMFAO. You're so ridiculous. That was literally my exact statement that you argued against. And who said anything about 5 years? Who's the one making straw man arguments now? All I said was it takes most pitchers a few years in the minors to figure things out before getting called up. Pretty simple statement Peter. And not one that's really debatable. But you'll argue against anything.
This started with you making excuses for why you ignored half of Koufax' career. When I pointed to Gooden, you switched gears and said you assessed pitchers based on their 4 or 5 peak years. And you admitted a guy who was off the charts for 4 years or so could be your greatest pitcher of all time. My point is that your excuse for Koufax is therefore a pretext, and your real reason for ignoring half his career is that you choose to assess based on 4 or 5 peak years. Which is fine as long as you are consistent about it and why.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:10 PM
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This started with you making excuses for why you ignored half of Koufax' career. When I pointed to Gooden, you switched gears and said you assessed pitchers based on their 4 or 5 peak years. And you admitted a guy who was off the charts for 4 years or so could be your greatest pitcher of all time. My point is that your excuse for Koufax is therefore a pretext, and your real reason for ignoring half his career is that you choose to assess based on 4 or 5 peak years. Which is fine as long as you are consistent about it and why.
I couldn't have possibly been more clear and consistent throughout this entire thread that I've only ever been interested in someone's peak 4 or 5 years when trying to figure out who I think was best. Your bad faith arguments are getting tiresome.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:13 PM
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I couldn't have possibly been more clear and consistent throughout this entire thread that I've only ever been interested in someone's peak 4 or 5 years when trying to figure out who I think was best. Your bad faith arguments are getting tiresome.
Then why did you justify ignoring Koufax' first 5 years on a different basis?
I think it's more than fair to give him a pass while he tried to figure things out. Your words.
Yes. I ignore Koufax's early years. He was a teenager when he entered the league. Your words.

You would have the same exact assessment if his career had gone in reverse. Again, that's fine, but your excuses for him are pretextual.

Bad faith indeed.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 11-27-2021 at 01:19 PM.
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