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#1
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In the “greatest lefty of all time” thread, I suggested a poll where we can "vote" for retroactive Cy Young Award winners pre-1956 (1st year of the award).
Actually running a poll over multiple years/threads is way too chaotic, but who are your top candidates from any year of choice? Let's focus on 1912-1945 (the year after Cy retired through the end of WWII). For an added challenge: - Try to pick a year in which a pitcher did not win an MVP - Try to pick a winner from the AL and NL (like it has been since 1967) Last edited by cjedmonton; 11-19-2021 at 07:50 AM. |
#2
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Walter Johnson. If he would've played on a good team he would have more wins than Cy himself.
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#3
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His Career Shutout total is one of the most impressive records in baseball history. Even without a good team behind him, WaJo was superb.
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Eric Perry Currently collecting: T206 (135/524) 1956 Topps Baseball (195/342) "You can observe a lot by just watching." - Yogi Berra |
#4
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I believe Johnson also holds the record for most 1-0 losses. On a decent team, Johnson could very well have been the wins leader. Or come extremely close.
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#5
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To get Walter to the wins lead he’d need 95 wins. If we give him 95 wins, and deduct 95 losses, he’d be 512-184. That’s a winning percentage that seems unlikely even for Walter on the best teams. Young just pitched so many innings that I don’t think any team change would take his title away and give it to any other pitcher.
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#6
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#7
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1930: Lefty Grove
1931: Lefty Grove 1934: Dizzy Dean 1945: Hal Newhouser 1946: Hal Newhouser with a very strong argument for Bob Feller |
#8
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1912 Joe Wood
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#9
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Yes, holds the record. He lost 26 1-0 games
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#10
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And interesting his cards seems to be under appreciated also. Perhaps also because not playing on good teams.
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Thanks all Jeff Kuhr https://www.flickr.com/photos/144250058@N05/ Looking for 1920 Heading Home Ruth Cards 1920s Advertising Card Babe Ruth/Carl Mays All Stars Throwing Pose 1917-20 Felix Mendelssohn Babe Ruth 1921 Frederick Foto Ruth Rare early Ruth Cards and Postcards Rare early Joe Jackson Cards and Postcards 1910 Old Mills Joe Jackson 1914 Boston Garter Joe Jackson 1911 Pinkerton Joe Jackson Last edited by mrreality68; 11-19-2021 at 06:19 AM. |
#11
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1912 - Walter Johnson
1913 - Babe Adams (I would pick Walter Johnson, but he won the 1913 MVP) 1914 - Walter Johnson 1915 - Walter Johnson 1916 - Pete Alexander 1917 - Ed Cicotte 1918 - Walter Johnson 1919 - Walter Johnson 1920 - Pete Alexander 1921 - Red Faber 1922 - Red Faber 1923 - Dolf Luque 1924 - Howard Ehmke (I would pick Dazzy Vance, but he won the 1924 MVP) 1925 - Bullet Rogan (what a year! he was 15-2 with a 1.74 ERA) 1926 - George Uhle 1927 - Ted Lyons 1928 - Dazzy Vance 1929 - Lefty Grove 1930 - Lefty Grove 1931 - Wes Ferrell (I would pick Lefty Grove, but he won the 1931 MVP) 1932 - Lefty Grove 1933 - Lon Warneke (I would pick Carl Hubbell, but he won the 1933 MVP) 1934 - Slim Jones (I would pick Dizzy Dean, but he won the 1934 MVP) 1935 - Wes Ferrell 1936 - Lefty Grove 1937 - Lefty Grove 1938 - Bill Lee 1939 - Bob Feller (I would pick Bucky Walters, but he won the 1939 MVP) 1940 - Bob Feller 1941 - Thornton Lee 1942 - Tex Hughson (I would pick Mort Cooper, but he won the 1942 MVP) Walter Johnson and Lefty Grove really stand out. |
#12
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https://stathead.com/baseball/player...om=1937&type=p |
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#14
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Yeah, not like Kid Nichols is ever in the mix of greatest pitcher discussions, but he started the same year as Cy and I believe had more wins in the 1890s.
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 11-19-2021 at 08:51 AM. |
#15
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See for yourself: https://stathead.com/baseball/player...to=1899&type=p If you haven’t read Joe Posnanski’s The Baseball 100, I highly highly recommend it. He addresses this very issue in his profile of Nichols (#82, pages 115-118). FWIW, Posnanski clarifies that a number assigned to each player is not ordinal, so he is not suggesting that Nichols is merely the 82nd greatest player. |
#16
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Wow, what a record he had! I had no idea.
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#17
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How about Babe Ruth in 1916?
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#18
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An AL contender, no doubt, but I think it was Johnson’s to lose. Shawkey, Coveleski, and Dauss were also in the mix.
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#19
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I dunno guys, I guess I'm just contrary, and I agree that Johnson was the greatest pitcher of all time, but . . . I don't see the whole "if he hadn't been on such wretched teams" argument.
I figure the Senators' W/L record while he was on the team (August 2, 1907 through 1927) at 1531-1559 - that's .49546. After that horrible 1907 season, where he was with them for only two months, they had 10 winning and 10 losing seasons during his time there (and 3 of the losing seasons were 76-77, 75-78, and 74-79). From 1908-1927 they finished first twice and last once. They finished 1-4 in the standings 11 times, 5-8 9 times. Also, the 1-0 games: should we give him wins in all 26 that he lost? How many 1-0 games did he win anyway? I'm not saying the Senators teams were great but they weren't horrible - just middle-of-the-road. I don't see you get many more wins for Johnson unless you put him on a team that played .600 ball for 20 years (in other words, the Yankees after 1920). For comparison I looked up the W/L records of Cy Young's teams between 1890-1911 (in partial seasons including the team's record only while he was there) and I got 1582-1426, .526. I figure Pete Alexander's teams at 1470-1314, .528. Definitely better teams but not by a huge margin. How does this translate to wins? If you take the 3090 games (1531-1559) the Nats played when Johnson was with them and give them a .525 Winning PCT instead of the real .49546, that would be 1622 wins instead of 1531. That's a "win shortfall" of 91 wins over the 20+ seasons. During his career Johnson won 27% of the team's wins (417 of 1531). 27% of the 91-win shortfall would be 24 or 25 extra wins, just over one game a year. That's not nothing, but doesn't transform his stature (after all, he's already the best ever). Tim Last edited by timn1; 11-19-2021 at 12:03 PM. |
#20
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#21
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#22
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Interesting info I have posted years ago, but a refresher ...
These are consecutive head-to-head appearances of the two pitchers (as both were in American League and played against each other): August 14, 1915 - Ruth defeats Johnson 4-3 April 17, 1916 - Ruth defeats Johnson 5-1 June 1, 1916 - Ruth defeats Johnson 1-0 August 15, 1916 - Ruth defeats Johnson 1-0 in 13 innings September 9, 1916 - Ruth defeats Johnson 2-1 September 12, 1916 - Johnson defeats Ruth 4-3 During 1916 and 1917, Ruth compiled won-lost records of 23-12 and 24-13 with ERAs of 1.75 and 2.01 In 1916, Ruth led the league in ERA and Shutouts (9) and in 1917, in complete games (35). Johnson put up some eye-popping numbers also. But his stats weren't as good as Ruth's. Over the same two years, Johnson was 25-20 and 23-16 with ERAs of 1.89 and 2.30 |
#23
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For the record, I’m not suggesting that Young was the greatest ever. Can’t imagine any scenario where it’s not comfortably The Big Train.
The thread title was just a cheeky play on words to debate who should have been recognized as each league’s top pitcher if such an award existed then. |
#24
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I'm not seeing a fast way on BBRef to get the team's record in games he pitched without looking at each individual season. However, even if we look at just his pitching decisions, he was 417-279, for a winning percentage of .599. If we take those decisions off the top of the totals you listed, the team is now 1114-1280 for a winning percentage of .465. That's 71 wins a year in a 154-game schedule. 71-83 is pretty terrible, especially over a 20+ year span. |
#25
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I considered Joe Wood for 1912. But Walter Johnson led the league in ERA, K, ERA+, WHIP, H/9, K/9, and K/BB. Joe Wood led in wins (1 ahead of Johnson), CG, and shutouts. Johnson threw 25 more innings AND had a 0.52 lower ERA.
So my vote goes to Walter Johnson for 1912. |
#26
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#27
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Just shows the greatness of both
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Thanks all Jeff Kuhr https://www.flickr.com/photos/144250058@N05/ Looking for 1920 Heading Home Ruth Cards 1920s Advertising Card Babe Ruth/Carl Mays All Stars Throwing Pose 1917-20 Felix Mendelssohn Babe Ruth 1921 Frederick Foto Ruth Rare early Ruth Cards and Postcards Rare early Joe Jackson Cards and Postcards 1910 Old Mills Joe Jackson 1914 Boston Garter Joe Jackson 1911 Pinkerton Joe Jackson |
#28
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Hank, I see what you mean - 25 games difference would make his W/L PCT 442 - 254 (.635) instead of .599, which would probably be enough to silence silence all the arguments for anyone else as GOAT.
I was mainly reacting against the "he'd 'a won 4.5 more games a year!" stuff, which is just wacky. If we play that 4.5/year out over 20 years, we get a pitcher who goes 517-179 with a .743 W/L. Lefty Grove went .680 and Whitey Ford .690 with some of the greatest teams in history behind them - that's pretty much the upper limit for a pitcher's career W/PCT. Grove's teams were at .578, Ford's teams PCT were at .600. Notice a pattern? The greatest pitchers seem to have a PCT about 90-105 points higher than their teams. Johnson's is right in line with that. If his team was holding him back a whole bunch, we would expect that difference to be larger. PITCHER W/L PCT TEAM W/L PCT Alexander .643 .528 Johnson .599 .495 Grove .680 .578 Young .619 .526 Ford .690 .600 Mathewson .665 .576 This chart suggests that it was Alexander, not Johnson, who outperformed his teams by the greatest amount. (I wonder how that would play out with all the pitchers in the HOF... Here are a few I chose at random: Drysdale .557 .547 (ugly) Mussina .638 .559 (not bad) Maddux .609 .554 Gomez .649 .635 Lyons .530 .458 Thought experiment: swap Lyons for Gomez in 1931. Gomez goes 137-153 for the White Sox (slightly better than the team) and visits the HOF as a paying guest in his later years. Lyons goes 340-150 for the Yankees (about as much better than his teams than he was in real life) and is thought of as one of the GOATs. Quote:
Last edited by timn1; 11-19-2021 at 06:11 PM. |
#29
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 11-19-2021 at 05:26 PM. |
#30
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Hi Chris,
I see what you mean - the Senators were obviously a good bit worse when WJ wasn't pitching than when he was. But that would be true with any great pitcher. He will outpitch the rest of the team by a wide margin, which is what makes him a great pitcher. I figure Cy Young's teams as being under .500 (1071-1111, .491) in games he didn't win or lose. Same with GCA (1097-1106, .498). With all three of these pitchers, it appears that they lifted their team's overall WPCT by about 25-35 points. Also, check my previous post where I look at the difference in WPCT between the pitcher and the team. That might be of interest. To clarify, Washington was somewhat worse than a typical club that has an all-time great pitcher on it. No argument there. But not exponentially worse. The question is how many more hypothetical wins we can imagine the pitcher having with a better club. In my other post I proposed about one extra win a year for Johnson. I'll stick with that for now. Quote:
Last edited by timn1; 11-19-2021 at 05:48 PM. |
#31
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Last edited by BobC; 11-19-2021 at 06:40 PM. |
#32
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I think 512-184 is a mathematically implausible winning percentage for any pitcher. Personally, I think Johnson is probably the greatest ever; but this is not a likely scenario on any team.
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#33
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Every record, almost, is set in a favorable context. Bonds’ record is partially due to his time and place, so is Ruth’s, so is Johnson’s, so is almost everyone’s. The 19th century is not different in this regard; the difference is people tend to like the context of eras they saw or romanticize. But for an all-time argument, I think all times must be included fairly or it’s not all-time. |
#34
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And let's not forget that Ruth won two games in the 1916 WS as Boston defeated Brooklyn.
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#35
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Hey John - I think that Ruth won 1 game in the 1916 Series. He won 2 in the 1918 Series. I wish that Carrigan would have used him in the 1915 Series. He was 18-8 during the regular season Last edited by Baseball Rarities; 11-19-2021 at 10:01 PM. |
#36
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Yeah, I excluded postseason since that's what the awards have always done.
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#37
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Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com |
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