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#1
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As we all know, we are well into year two now of insane price increases worldwide as never before seen inflation rates continue to soar. Every single thing from restaurant food to supermarket groceries (meats/dairy/grains/fruits/vegetables/paper goods) to every single item in retail stores (Walmart/Target/etc) to new and used vehicle prices to gas prices and on and on and on. Everything up roughly 30-40% from early 2022 prices. Of course, the supermarkets, retail stores, oil companies, etc. are not eating the losses as their expenses continued to increase, the cost just continues to be passed on to the end consumer to absorb everything.
At the same time, just about everything in every collectibles market that I am familiar with (sports cards, non-sports cards, comic books, vintage toys, etc) continues to see prices drop and drop across the board. If you rely on income from these sources to live on, it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that this is a recipe for disaster of epic proportions. Why does the public have to just sit back and continue to tolerate price increases of everything and just keep paying up? Collectors are certainly not doing that by any means. If our income was increasing at a similar rate, it would be sustainable but income is falling, going in the opposite direction. Can people stop buying long enough to force an economic correction as we hobbyists have seen all to well happening to us over the past couple of years? Last edited by bcbgcbrcb; 11-14-2023 at 01:01 AM. |
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Discretionary vs non-discretionary spending. Pretty simple.
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When money is tight, people should be limiting spending across the board, shouldn’t matter.
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#4
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Target inflation is 2%.
Monthly inflation has been between 3 and 4% for a few months. http://www.usinflationcalculator.com...nflation-rates Not ideal, but not disastrous either. High interest rates are taking a toll and slowing the economy, possibly to recession. Hopefully, inflation gets under 3% soon and interest rates go back down to a sustainable level. Until that happens, there may be more pain. Quote:
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Gas, on average, is 40-45˘ less than one year ago. I have not noticed large increases on the prices of items I buy on a regular basis. Some items have even gone down. This is mainly groceries. Fortunately, I have 13 grocery stores (including Target and Walmart) within a 3 mile radius. It makes it easy to keep track of prices. I mainly shop at Aldi (1 mile away) and Target (across the street) with a few items from Lidl, Giant and Wegman's. The one place I have noticed the increase is restaurants, sit down and fast casual.
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'Integrity is what you do when no one is looking' "The man who can keep a secret may be wise, but he is not half as wise as the man with no secrets to keep” Last edited by Michael B; 11-14-2023 at 03:29 AM. |
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Phil--what are you talking about? EVERYTHING is up roughly 30-40% from 2022? I believe that US inflation peaked at roughly 9% and now is in the 4% range. What are you seeing that is up 40% in the last year?
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#7
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Speaking personally, I do cut spending across the board when money is tight. I cut the old cardboard budget much more deeply I do the food/clothing/shelter budgets though. I suspect that's true for most people. If things get really tough, I can cut the card budget entirely. Not really an option with food.
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#8
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Ground beef was $7.99 two years ago, now $11.99. Bag of chips was $3.49 two years ago, today $5.29. 2L bottle of Coke was $2.75 two years ago, today $3.75. Box of cereal was $4.99, today $6.79. I could keep going on and on and on. EVERYTHING is indeed up 30-40% over the past two years. Where in history have we seen price increases at this rate? Of course, let's blame it all on COVID like everything else. While sports cards are average DOWN 30-40% over the past two years. At the start of 2021, gas was $1.99/gal., been over $3.00/gl. since the start of 2022.
Last edited by bcbgcbrcb; 11-14-2023 at 06:05 AM. |
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Annual inflation was almost 10% during the start of WW2, and over 10% at the start of the Cold War a few years later. Inflation was over 12% in 1974 and over 13% in 1979. The highest annual inflation we have seen in the last few years was 7% in 2021. https://www.investopedia.com/inflati...y-year-7253832 Last edited by cgjackson222; 11-14-2023 at 06:13 AM. |
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I can't add anything to this conversation without someone making it political. So I won't say anything. However, something HAS to change.
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#11
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While some may try to politicize it, it's not really a partisan issue. It wouldn't matter which party is in charge. This is a global issue. Nearly every country is experiencing significant inflation right now. We're actually doing much better than the entire western world with respect to inflation.
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If it's not perfectly centered, I probably don't want it. |
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#13
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Without specifically being political, many problems we are confronting today stem, at least in part, from political action. Inflation itself (which has been debated many times in my lifetime) IS a function of government. Price increases (or decreases) are generally reflections of a free market responding to a distorted money supply which, again, is a function of government or approved agencies (such as the FED). Our elected officials have distanced themselves (to varying degrees for decades) from the U.S. Constitution to the point that today's dollar (quite literally) buys what pennies purchased when T206's were issued. A mere 2% inflation rate devalues our dollars considerably within just a few years and given that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) no longer includes such fundamentals as food and energy, what can such government figures truly mean? If CPI were calculated as it was during an earlier great inflation (the 1970s), the official government numbers would be, as has been mentioned by others, 4X to 5X today's "official" figures.
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#14
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This economy was caused by the self-inflicted pain caused by this inept president and his administration the people voted for. Sure, there were supply issues due to covid but that was now 2 years ago. And even some of that was self-inflicted by keeping ships out of harbor in NY, LA and Baltimore...that's why prices increased because people aren't quite sure when the shoe will drop us straight into a recession/depression...or a war...
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#16
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The economy worldwide is a mess for a variety of reasons and the US’s problems would be the envy of most of Europe and the world. But sure it was caused by one guy and some boats.
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#17
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One really needs to look at oil prices as oil is used to make virtually everything we use day to day and then ship it to its end destination. When it costs more to manufacture and ship, costs for end products are going to rise...
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#18
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No politics please.
On the subject of price increases, look no further than WalMart gallon water. It's up about 65% over the last year or two. It was .80 and now it's $1.34.....Small item but indicative of the economy. I never understood where some were saying things were going up less than 10%. It seems everything has gone up a lot further than that. Quote:
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Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com Last edited by Leon; 11-14-2023 at 07:41 AM. |
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I'm not an economist, but it might be worth trying to distinguish between the effects of inflation and straight-up price gouging. It seems to me that for food (and water jugs), companies keep raising prices knowing that people have to eat (and drink). And few people in this country grow/raise enough food on their own to be able to sidestep that.
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#20
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Trumps replica across the pond, Liz Truss, tried to pass tax deductions in 2022 (while already mired in deep inflation) and lost her job after just 6 weeks. The US is going to see a lot of belts tighten significantly after Christmas due to college loan payments restarting. Mine are $450/month, and I have fewer loans than the average college graduate. I also have an advanced degree. It's probably a good thing. Not sure if it will cause a recession. Sent from my SM-G9900 using Tapatalk
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Barry Larkin, Joey Votto, Tris Speaker, 1930-45 Cincinnati Reds, T206 Cincinnati Successful deals with: Banksfan14, Brianp-beme, Bumpus Jones, Dacubfan (x5), Dstrawberryfan39, Ed_Hutchinson, Fballguy, fusorcruiser (x2), GoCalBears, Gorditadog, Luke, MikeKam, Moosedog, Nineunder71, Powdered H20, PSU, Ronniehatesjazz, Roarfrom34, Sebie43, Seven, and Wondo Last edited by todeen; 11-16-2023 at 08:01 AM. |
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#22
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No comment or political objective here. I just want to point out that everyone around the world is experiencing inflation and the US is actually doing better than most countries. The picture below is one of many out there showing global inflation.
I understand that inflation rates may not always reflect actual price increases - inflation may be 4% (since last year) but the cost of dog food could be up 40% (since last year). But I am willing to bet that actual price increases are higher in countries with high inflation than lower inflation. Again, we are lucky to live in this country for many reasons, one of which is that we are likely feeling it less than most other countries. |
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194/240 1933 Goudeys (Ruth #144, #149, Gehrig #92) 131/208 T205s 42/108? Diamond Stars Last edited by jsfriedm; 11-14-2023 at 08:27 AM. |
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
#25
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Ok, this is my last post here regarding this subject. You guys can continue to have at it if you want. Nothing positive is going to come out of this for me. This is really just my social media outlet as I don't participate on FB, IG or anything else. Everybody has to get their frustrations out to the world somewhere, I guess. My apologies, starting this thread was not the best way of handling my anger.
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#26
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Trying to wrap up my master mays set, with just a few left: 1968 American Oil left side 1971 Bazooka numbered complete panel |
#27
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as is projecting and redirected anger!
Still waiting for some to ADMIT (again) they sent their PPP money ON CARDS!
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
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HA! Amazing isnt it? My bill Only 20% of other similar homes since I am just mindful about usage. The 7 cents on 34 KWH per MONTH wont kill me, but eventually it will hurt others.
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
#30
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And I haven't seen gas prices below $5 per gallon here in over a decade. We were over $7 per gallon last year during the peak. It's still about $6/gal today for premium here.
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If it's not perfectly centered, I probably don't want it. Last edited by Snowman; 11-14-2023 at 04:53 PM. |
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#32
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Maybe I misinterpreted your comment. People in my neighborhood with pool heaters and lights on all day said their bills WERE 600-1k per month, I havent checked in recently
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
#33
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My total average cost of electricity was 16.0 cents per kWh over the last 12 bills ending in November, 2023. Do I think this modest increase is indicative of national inflationary trends? No, I do not. It is a mere localized sample. You can't draw broad conclusions from the cost of an item at your local store. Also, people don't seem to understand how compound interest works. If inflation was 7% annually, the cost of goods would nearly double every ten years. Even moderate amounts of inflation cause the cost of goods to go up significantly (in nominal, not real values). Last edited by cgjackson222; 11-14-2023 at 04:34 PM. |
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Yes, prices are generally up on groceries and other essentials. Yes, the Consumer Price Index fails to account for the whole picture. No, anecdotal references to $11.99/lb. ground beef do not provide a boots-on-the-ground glimpse into the state of the economy. I live in Massachusetts, which is often the butt of jokes about being overpriced. Just last week, I purchased $3.99/lb. ground beef at Roche Bros., a chain that is often the butt of jokes for being overpriced. The most I've paid anywhere since COVID is $5.99/lb. And the last time I saw a $3.75 2L bottle of Coke was at a mom-and-pop convenience store with low inventory and low turnover. Perhaps Massachusetts grocery stores have tapped into some supply-chain mojo that allows them to sell hamburger for 50-67% less than the rest of the country pays. But my takeaway is that we shouldn't use what one person reportedly pays for hamburger or Coke as a barometer for the entire national economy. I'm too young to remember 10% mortgage rates, but I'm old enough to remember mid-2008, when gas prices were over $4.00/gallon after nearly doubling over a three-year span. 15 years later, folks are complaining that gas is over $3.00/gallon and treating it like a sign of the apocalypse. I'm not smart enough to know whether we're headed for economic collapse. But I do know that, if we are, we can't reliably predict it using short-term fluctuations in food and fossil fuel prices. |
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Where the heck are you shopping? I'm going today, I'll make a note of those prices. Gut feeling having done the grocery shopping for a long time now, most will be about half. I haven't been to a whole foods or anything like that those places are probably close to the claimed prices. |
#36
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Fairly big local chain (Market basket) right on the line between a fairly affluent suburb and a not as well off city. Stop and shop across the street, so competition may affect the pricing a little. Ground beef Claim 11.99 Basic 4.49/lb "fancy" angus 4.49/lb 2L Coke Claim 3.75 Coke 3/5.00 = 1.67 each Pepsi 2/4.00 = 2.00 each Store brand .99 which is the same price the store brand was when I was in a convenience store IN 1983! Some places including this grocery store sell he coke 20oz for way more, usually around 2.45. Cereal claim, no particular brand or type or size mentioned 6.79 Raisin Bran 3.99 Special K family size 4.99 Chex 2/6.00 Giant size frosted flakes 5.99 Those were typical by company, so every normal sized box by the same company as Raisin Bran was 3.99 Some of the fancy granola type stuff in smallish bags can get into the $6-7 range, but some of it is less. Chips - here it almost gets interesting Claimed 5.29 cape cod party size 4.99 ruffles 4.99 Lays 2/6.00 Utz 2/5.00 Store brand about like Utz, but much bigger bag. Some are closeish, but the claimed prices seem wildly overpriced for almost everything. Overall, the biggest bargain is the store brand soda, which hasn't increased in 40 years. Either Shop around a little, wherever is charging like that is very expensive. OR Don't get your pricing from Some blog or Fox or whoever that cherry picks from the most insane stores and most expensive format for each item to make some point. I mean, I once saw some sort of ham that was imported and well over $100/lb. I think it was made from unicorns or something. But I know that's not even close to a regular pound of ham, and wouldn't claim that ham is now $129.99/lb |
#37
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I hear unicorn ham tastes like chicken
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... |
#38
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Apparently nobody here does their own food shopping. Our bill is 25-30% higher. I tend not to believe a number that doesnt include what I'm buying or spending. Food /shelter/insurance
Sent from my SM-S918U using Tapatalk Editing this is raw foods picked up a varierty of stores, Shoprite, traders Joes, and small amounts at HMart rarely eat out, as yes those costs have dramatically increased. One restaurant I know said they can no longer off "buffalo"(chicken) wings because they would need to charge 15$ an order and people wont pay that for 6 wings
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors Last edited by Republicaninmass; 11-14-2023 at 01:03 PM. |
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I haven't seen the massive spike in my food costs. It has been in line with the inflation figures. That said, I am a cook and we do not buy much in the way of processed foods (no soda, cereal, chips, prepared meals, etc.), so I don't know how much those have changed relative to raw ingredients. Also helps that I live in one of the best agricultural states and I get a lot of my produce, eggs and meat locally. My utility costs have been pretty steady too, but that is probably more the weather than anything else. We had a very mild summer in SoCal this year so we rarely ran the AC for more than a few hours and we are technically out of drought so there are no premium water charges. The only really vicious cost increase for us is medical: 17% premium increase for 2024.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 11-14-2023 at 12:27 PM. |
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Our food buying is pretty much like yours but our bills are way up.
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ |
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Mine are up, but up in line with the inflation stats. Might be the local aspect. On my last trip to NY, I noticed that produce costs a lot more in the East than it does out here. Moving veggies from Bakersfield to LA is a heck of a lot cheaper than from Bakersfield to MA or NY. But our average pizza sucks, so you have that going for you, which is nice.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 11-14-2023 at 01:34 PM. |
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Do you guys go out to eat at all? I'm paying $8 for a medium coffee and plain croissant every morning in NYC. And that's at Pret A Manger. Not even a fancy independent place.
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#43
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I'm not talking about a 10-pound bag of dried beans (though it's also very cheap), but a variety of field-fresh stuff. You can eat very well on the cheap in most of Cali and Arizona if you're cooking it yourself and you shop to value availability rather than simply whatever your heart desires. I'm uh...staying out of the other parts of this thread. I'm just really impressed by how much fresh produce I can get for next to nothing when I'm around that part of the West Coast and the meat is rather reasonably price, too. |
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I used to work in research agriculture (BASF, Syngenta), but I currently work in a lab environment government position focusing on post-harvest testing. |
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And politicians IMO get too much credit when things are up and too much blame when they are down.
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ |
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Very true
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If it's not perfectly centered, I probably don't want it. |
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Let's try this:
List the manager or Head coach that: " Gets too much credit when things go up and too much blame when they are down" My choice is Bill Belichick Second is Billy Martin
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*********** USAF Veteran 84-94 *********** |
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Andy Reid.
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Net 54-- the discussion board where people resent discussions. ![]() My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ |
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