PSA by the numbers (Jan 2022)

[samosa4u]

My thoughts:

- Basketball card prices have dropped like crazy since last year, and so it's surprising to see the sport still leading by a wide margin.

- Holy freaking Pokemon!

- Where the hell is hockey?

- We are obviously in another "junk wax era." Once this comes to an end, will this order change? Will baseball end up back in first place or will it slip further?

[Dead-Ball-Hitter]

I agree. NBA Basketball (vintage and modern) has dipped, but is still the strongest by a mile in my opinion. Modern Football seems next to me, then vintage baseball. Apart from a few key rookies, I've never seen Hockey even "warm."

[Brian Van Horn]

Anybody wonder how many of these are resubmissions for auction purposes?

[Peter_Spaeth]

I have read their backlog is still …. wait for it... 6 million.

[doug.goodman]

Serious question :

Does anybody have any idea how many opinion givers there are working at everybody's favorite opinion seller?

[Smarti5051]

The backlog is distorting the data IMHO. If you look at the Jan 2022 numbers, the VAST majority of those graded cards were submitted in late-Nov 2020 to January 2021 (I know this, because a Bulk Modern order I sent in early Jan 2021 is still in Grading, and everybody submitted in the same time frame is still waiting). It seems like they are moving faster on Bulk Ultra Modern and Bulk Non-sports (ie more graders dedicated to those categories).

Back in late-2020 and early-2021, NBA was definitely on fire, so when everybody was preparing submissions, I think almost anything BBall looked like a winner for the $12 grading fee.

[chadeast]

Originally Posted by Smarti5051

The backlog is distorting the data IMHO. If you look at the Jan 2022 numbers, the VAST majority of those graded cards were submitted in late-Nov 2020 to January 2021 (I know this, because a Bulk Modern order I sent in early Jan 2021 is still in Grading, and everybody submitted in the same time frame is still waiting). It seems like they are moving faster on Bulk Ultra Modern and Bulk Non-sports (ie more graders dedicated to those categories).

Back in late-2020 and early-2021, NBA was definitely on fire, so when everybody was preparing submissions, I think almost anything BBall looked like a winner for the $12 grading fee.

The backlog IS the data. It is odd that PSA is tracking and reporting month-to-month variations like this, seemingly implying that these numbers mean something, as if there is a correlation to the current market when there is none. If they wanted to actually provide useful data, they'd have to break out the numbers only for cards submitted in the last few months.

[BobbyStrawberry]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

I have read their backlog is still …. wait for it... 6 million.

And they put out charts like this as if to say, "look what a great job we're doing for our customers!" 🤣

[Rich Klein]

I'm not as good as math as I should be nor do I have any way of saying this other than instinct but,...

for those who were hoping for $20-25 submission prices in 2022 think again. With the shows PSA will be setting up at (For example Long Beach this weekend) and the cards which are submitted from members of their club (not even counting group submissions) so.,.

It will be at least till January of 2023 if not later before we see some return to normalcy for PSA. At least we can guesstimate from all the information but that's just my supposition.

Rich

[darwinbulldog]

Originally Posted by samosa4u

My thoughts:

- Basketball card prices have dropped like crazy since last year, and so it's surprising to see the sport still leading by a wide margin.

Until you realize those cards were sent in a year ago. (They have 14 of my cards that I sent in last March, including RCs of Shaq, Steve Nash, Ray Allen, Tim Duncan, and Dwyane Wade. Probably wouldn't have chosen to send any of them in at today's prices.)