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  #1  
Old 07-10-2021, 05:11 AM
brunswickreeves brunswickreeves is offline
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Default Commerce Comet's 1952 Topps #311 meteoric rise in value

In 2018 I was on the home stretch of my MBA at Babson. To brain break, I began analyzing the prior 3 years of available sales trend data on the beloved 1952 Topps #311 Mickey Mantle card. I put that analysis away until recently. Wondering what if instead, I dropped out and invested my tuition dollars into a '52 Mantle. Analysis is attached. I could have bought 2 PSA 5.5s at $43K each, which has recently sold in that grade for $124K, each. That's an unrealized PROFIT of $162K. Anyone leave money on the table, or get in at the right time? What's the future hold for this card?!
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File Type: pdf 1952 Topps #311 Price Analysis.pdf (15.8 KB, 85 views)
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  #2  
Old 07-10-2021, 05:45 AM
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MattyC MattyC is offline
Matt
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Will always be a classic baseball card that endures the test of time. The prettiest copies regardless of grade will always be sought after by collectors.
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  #3  
Old 07-10-2021, 07:01 AM
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swarmee swarmee is offline
J0hn Raff3rty
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In one year the PSA 10 Michael Jordan '86 Fleer went from $45K to $750K, if you want to talk unrealized profits. And PSA 10 base Kobe and LeBron 2012 Prizm cards went up tens of thousands of percents.

Ergo, the '52 Topps Mantle must still be a bargain. ;-)
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  #4  
Old 07-10-2021, 07:15 AM
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ullmandds ullmandds is offline
pete ullman
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I sold my 51 bowman mantle...at the worst possible time...shortly before the run up...I transferred the 20K+ gain to another board member!
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  #5  
Old 07-10-2021, 12:34 PM
Yoda Yoda is offline
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I auctioned off a 1915 Sporting News Ruth RC in a Mastro auction about 20 yrs ago. It was graded personally by Derek Grady when he was with SGC and received a grade of 5.5. The nightmares continue.
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  #6  
Old 07-11-2021, 03:34 AM
russkcpa russkcpa is offline
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Hi Brunswick,
Smartest move I ever made:
I paid $60K for my PSA 6 and $120K for my PSA 7. Those prices include BP. PSA had to retire my original PSA 7 SN and re holder with new SN due to a counterfeit example that was being circulated.
I am a big fan of eye appeal in all my cards. This iconic card will always continue to appreciate. This is not a 96 Kobe with 10 million Pop 10's There are millions of card investors who want a piece of the 52 Mantle and will always be looking to buy one. I turned down $185K for my 6 back in March.
Check out the PSA 8 in Memory Lane auction...... https://memorylaneinc.com/site/bids/...e?itemid=60642 Chart buster
BTW....I graduated from Babson in 1976 with a BS in Accounting. Tuition was $950 a semester. Unfortunately I had to commute and lost so much of the college experience. But I did get to drive "Thunder Road" every day. I worked at an insurance agency as a bookkeeper on the corner of Beaver and Washington that later became a Bertucci's.
Dumbest move I ever made:
Investing a great deal into stem cell biotech stock back in 2010 called
Athersys (symbol ATHX). Had I put that money into AMZN and AAPL I would be retired instead of celebrating my 43rd anniversary as a CPA. I guess we all do stupid things.
Best of luck to you
Russ
Attached Images
File Type: jpg 14-1952 Topps Mantle-PSA 6 (Front).jpg (77.7 KB, 279 views)
File Type: jpg 15-1952 Topps Mantle-PSA 7 (Front) (2).jpg (63.1 KB, 276 views)

Last edited by russkcpa; 07-11-2021 at 05:37 AM.
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  #7  
Old 07-22-2021, 08:13 PM
investinrookies investinrookies is offline
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amazing cards.
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  #8  
Old 07-22-2021, 08:21 PM
JimC JimC is offline
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Yes those two Mantles are beasts.
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  #9  
Old 07-23-2021, 06:19 AM
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mrreality68 mrreality68 is offline
Jeffrey Kuhr
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JimC View Post
Yes those two Mantles are beasts.
Agreed 2 Great Cards from Eye Appeal to Centering
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Looking for Babe Ruth Cards (Pre 1925) Especially The Ruth Throwing Pose, Joe Jackson Cards (With emphasis on 1916 Advertising Backs), 1910 Old Mills Joe Jackson, 1917 Boston Store Joe Jackson, 1914 Boston Garter Joe Jackson and other playing day cards
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  #10  
Old 07-23-2021, 07:31 AM
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James
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brunswickreeves View Post
In 2018 I was on the home stretch of my MBA at Babson. To brain break, I began analyzing the prior 3 years of available sales trend data on the beloved 1952 Topps #311 Mickey Mantle card. I put that analysis away until recently. Wondering what if instead, I dropped out and invested my tuition dollars into a '52 Mantle. Analysis is attached. I could have bought 2 PSA 5.5s at $43K each, which has recently sold in that grade for $124K, each. That's an unrealized PROFIT of $162K. Anyone leave money on the table, or get in at the right time? What's the future hold for this card?!
I have no clue what the future holds for this Card.

I remember getting back into collecting roughly a year and a half before the Pandemic. I was looking at Prices on the 52 Mantle. I believe A's and 1's were going anywhere between 8-12 thousand. Not that I could afford that at that time, but I said to myself "Well even if it doubles in Value over the next decade, I should still be able to swing it by the time I'm in my early 40s, as long as I save properly"

It's gone insane, to the point where I question how much I want one. Sure I would love to eventually complete my Mantle run but now 1's are selling for 30K. I would have to sell a kidney to purchase that. And even then It poses the question of "Would I rather have the one Mantle or a Cobb, Gehrig, Ruth, Mathewson, and Mays?"

I understand the card is iconic, and a staple of the vintage hobby, but I don't understand it. Yes the high numbers are more rare, Yes it is Mickey Mantle but there are thousands of 1952 Mantles out there, hell I'd wager there is more than we think in the hands of older collectors who never got theirs graded. Just doesn't make sense to me.
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  #11  
Old 07-23-2021, 11:48 PM
Jdoggs Jdoggs is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by russkcpa View Post
Hi Brunswick,
Smartest move I ever made:
I paid $60K for my PSA 6 and $120K for my PSA 7. Those prices include BP. PSA had to retire my original PSA 7 SN and re holder with new SN due to a counterfeit example that was being circulated.
I am a big fan of eye appeal in all my cards. This iconic card will always continue to appreciate. This is not a 96 Kobe with 10 million Pop 10's There are millions of card investors who want a piece of the 52 Mantle and will always be looking to buy one. I turned down $185K for my 6 back in March.
Check out the PSA 8 in Memory Lane auction...... https://memorylaneinc.com/site/bids/...e?itemid=60642 Chart buster
BTW....I graduated from Babson in 1976 with a BS in Accounting. Tuition was $950 a semester. Unfortunately I had to commute and lost so much of the college experience. But I did get to drive "Thunder Road" every day. I worked at an insurance agency as a bookkeeper on the corner of Beaver and Washington that later became a Bertucci's.
Dumbest move I ever made:
Investing a great deal into stem cell biotech stock back in 2010 called
Athersys (symbol ATHX). Had I put that money into AMZN and AAPL I would be retired instead of celebrating my 43rd anniversary as a CPA. I guess we all do stupid things.
Best of luck to you
Russ
$185k for your psa 6 52 mantle last March is a great offer considering a nice 52 mantle psa 6.5 just sold for $132k in heritage auctions last night.

Last edited by Jdoggs; 07-23-2021 at 11:49 PM.
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  #12  
Old Yesterday, 06:28 AM
Johnny630 Johnny630 is offline
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I think its do for a 20-30% correction short term end of 23-25 especially in lower grades below 1-6. In the long run its only going up.
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