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  #151  
Old 02-03-2022, 07:05 AM
Orioles1954 Orioles1954 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim65 View Post
Its not only about hitting home runs, Papi raised his OPS 100 points, then 150 points, then 200 points and it started the exact year he failed a drug test.
Nah...it's just pure coincidence this all happened when he teamed up with Man-Ram.
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  #152  
Old 02-03-2022, 10:29 AM
steve B steve B is offline
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Originally Posted by Tabe View Post
Ortiz says result got leaked because he was from Boston. He has never once said the result was NOT a positive.

Manfred admits it was a positive when he says it may have been a false positive.
Are you really stupid enough to claim a false positive is a positive?
Hey, lets do an experiment! Eat a poppy seed bagel, then take an opioid test like Olympic athletes take. Let me know how that goes for you. (It WILL test positive)

A claim of a leaked faulty test result that nobody has been able to provide details on in nearly 20 years is about as weak as it gets.

MLB never released details of what they tested for, or what was found and at what levels.
Neither did the Times.
Neither did Congress.
And supposedly they all had the data on the tests.

Any reliable testing program
A) Anonymizes the samples, after the person who collected the sample, it's just a number, no names. That limits any potential for lab corruption. Did MLB do that? Nobody knows.
B) Uses an A and B sample to mostly eliminate lab error. A positive A sample is then checked using the B sample.
c) Releases the information about what was found, and sometimes at what level. MLB did NOT do this with the 2003 testing. The info wasn't even given to the players who of all people would have a right to know. They didn't even give them that info when specifically asked for it by a player.
This is important, a couple examples.

Bicyclist tests positive for Testosterone, duh, he's a guy. Bicyclist tests positive for testosterone, nearly 3x the limit? Yeah, that's a problem. (Actually the testosterone/epitestosterone ratio, 4:1 is the limit, Landis was closer to 11:1.)

Snowboarder tests positive for Marijuana, loses gold medal. Appeals, says He doesn't smoke because he competes, but friends do and he's not giving up on his friends. Appeal shows that pot is not actually on the WADA list of banned substances despite being punishable by death in some countries. The ammount he had was close enough to the limit that it was possible that just being at a heavy enough party would put him there.
Guy doesn't end up losing his medal.
https://www.thespec.com/opinion/colu...e-hair.html?rf

MLBs 2003 testing program was just barely adequate to show more than 5% so they could start a real program in 2004 without the union getting in the way. It's not impossible that the lab found what they were paid to find. It was a joke of a program.
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  #153  
Old 02-03-2022, 10:46 AM
steve B steve B is offline
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Originally Posted by Jim65 View Post
I'm not saying that all. But when a player spikes the exact same year that he fails a drug test, do we think it was due to technical changes? I don't.

My original response was to a poster that claimed Ortiz never went through any transformation at all. Then claimed it was because of a hitting coach.
The hitting coach claim was not mine, it's from Ortiz book. And it wasn't a hitting coach, it was supposedly Francona. (Which yes, makes it shaky, because the timeline is a year off. )

The AB/HR stats are what they are. I didn't bother with going to thousandths or beyond.

An OPS difference somewhat early in a career is probably not at all unusual for a star player. I believe because OPS is affected by many things besides what the player can do naturally.
Ted Williams, Lou Gehrig, Reggie Jackson, Willie Mays, and to a lesser degree Mantle, All had 100-200 point jumps right about between their second and third full seasons. A couple others I checked didn't, Ott and Musial.
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  #154  
Old 02-03-2022, 11:26 AM
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Jim65 Jim65 is offline
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Manfred never said Ortiz was a false positive. He said at least 10 of the 104 positives MAY have been false positives and Ortiz POSSIBLY could have been in the 10, as could have any player. No one knows who the 10 were since the records were destroyed. Those 10 were not re-tested because they easily reached the 5% failure threshold which triggered future testing according to the agreement with the Union.
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  #155  
Old 02-03-2022, 05:12 PM
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Tabe Tabe is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by steve B View Post
Are you really stupid enough to claim a false positive is a positive?
A positive is a positive. The result of the test was positive. Was it a valid positive? Dunno. But the result of the test was positive. That was confirmed by Ortiz and Rob Manfred.

No amount of your immature name-calling will change that.

Last edited by Tabe; 02-03-2022 at 05:16 PM.
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  #156  
Old 02-03-2022, 05:16 PM
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Tabe Tabe is offline
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Originally Posted by Orioles1954 View Post
Nah...it's just pure coincidence this all happened when he teamed up with Man-Ram.
Total coincidence, of course.

To be fair, he no doubt got a bump in performance just being in the same lineup as Ramirez.
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  #157  
Old 02-03-2022, 09:12 PM
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Peter_Spaeth Peter_Spaeth is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tabe View Post
Total coincidence, of course.

To be fair, he no doubt got a bump in performance just being in the same lineup as Ramirez.
And Manny will never get any serious consideration for the Hall. Basically just written off as a dirtbag.
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  #158  
Old 02-04-2022, 06:36 AM
Orioles1954 Orioles1954 is offline
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
And Manny will never get any serious consideration for the Hall. Basically just written off as a dirtbag.
One played the part of the lovable bumbling buffoon and the other was his genuine arsehole self. Ortiz gets a big A+ for using the media to his advantage.
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  #159  
Old 02-06-2022, 08:07 AM
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Gnep31 Gnep31 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GasHouseGang View Post
I'm disappointed in baseball. I'm sure Ortiz is a nice guy, but they applied a different set of standards to “Big Papi” since he is an MLB studio analyst for FOX Sports. He contributes to the network's regular season, All-Star Game and MLB Postseason coverage and I'm sure that helped him get in the hall.
A-Rod is also an analyst but he is universally disliked. I think in part because he is just weird, but also because he blatantly lied for years about his doping. People like Big Papi.

Bonds, Clemens, A-Rod - All cheated and have very disagreeable personalities which, right or wrong, is a factor in voters minds.
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  #160  
Old 11-15-2022, 05:03 PM
etsmith etsmith is offline
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Sammy Sosa should definitely not get in, without the steroid use he was an average player at best.
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  #161  
Old 11-15-2022, 05:38 PM
G1911 G1911 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by etsmith View Post
Sammy Sosa should definitely not get in, without the steroid use he was an average player at best.
His career OPS+ is surprisingly low.
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  #162  
Old 11-16-2022, 07:30 AM
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rats60 rats60 is offline
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Originally Posted by G1911 View Post
His career OPS+ is surprisingly low.
Why should that matter? His SLG is 45th all time (also 31st in RBIs). That is better than Mel Ott, Mike Schmidt and a bunch of other power hitting HOFers. Sosa didn't walk a lot. I don't understand the obsession with middle of the lineup guys allowing themselves to get pitched around so players who aren't as good have to come up with big hits. Your middle of the lineup guys are the ones who should be driving in runs. Sosa shouldn't be in because he took steroids, not because he didn't allow himself to be pitched around.
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  #163  
Old 11-16-2022, 07:43 AM
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Sosa shouldn't be in because he wasn't an especially good baseball player. Being the 19th best rightfielder is a very solid accomplishment, but it doesn't qualify one for the Hall.
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  #164  
Old 11-16-2022, 09:44 AM
ejharrington ejharrington is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rats60 View Post
Why should that matter? His SLG is 45th all time (also 31st in RBIs). That is better than Mel Ott, Mike Schmidt and a bunch of other power hitting HOFers. Sosa didn't walk a lot. I don't understand the obsession with middle of the lineup guys allowing themselves to get pitched around so players who aren't as good have to come up with big hits. Your middle of the lineup guys are the ones who should be driving in runs. Sosa shouldn't be in because he took steroids, not because he didn't allow himself to be pitched around.
100% agree with this.
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  #165  
Old 11-16-2022, 10:41 AM
G1911 G1911 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rats60 View Post
Why should that matter? His SLG is 45th all time (also 31st in RBIs). That is better than Mel Ott, Mike Schmidt and a bunch of other power hitting HOFers. Sosa didn't walk a lot. I don't understand the obsession with middle of the lineup guys allowing themselves to get pitched around so players who aren't as good have to come up with big hits. Your middle of the lineup guys are the ones who should be driving in runs. Sosa shouldn't be in because he took steroids, not because he didn't allow himself to be pitched around.
I don’t think I follow the logic of the objection to me commenting on OPS+. Why would it not be relevant or matter? OPS is the combination of slugging and on base. Slugging is the more heavily weighted component of the two. If you are going to rely on slugging, mustn’t you then believe that OPS has some value? You do not believe getting on base is worth anything and thus OPS is junk?

OPS+ pits OPS in context of time and place. I would think the reason to do that is evident.
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