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#1
10-03-2021, 09:30 AM
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Your math is not correct
 1 game can only have 2 different outcomes, hence 4 games can only have 8 different outcomes? Only 1 scenario can have a four team playoff: Both Boston & NY would have to lose, and both Seattle & Toronto would have to win The only way a 3 team playoff can occur is if again both Seattle & Toronto win, and either Boston or NY lose Go Mariners !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I’ve been following this Cinderella all season Quote:
Last edited by nineunder71; 10-03-2021 at 02:51 PM. 
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#2
10-03-2021, 09:40 AM
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And if NY and BOS both lose and TOR and SEA both win, there is a 1/16 chance of a four team playoff.
__________________
FRANK:BUR:KETT - RAUCOUS SPORTS CARD FORUM MEMBER AND MONSTER NUMBER FATHER. GOOD FOR THE HOBBY AND THE FORUM WITH A VAULT IN AN UNDISCLOSED LOCATION FILLED WITH NON-FUNGIBLES 274/1000 Monster Number Nearly*1000* successful B/S/T transactions completed in 2012-24. Over 680 sales with satisfied Board members served. If you want fries with your order, just speak up. Thank you all. Now nearly PQ.
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#4
10-03-2021, 09:44 AM
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You're also wrong about 3 team playoff scenarios. Suppose Seattle wins and the rest lose. Seattle, Boston, and NY are then tied. Same if only Toronto wins.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 10-03-2021 at 09:49 AM.
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#5
10-03-2021, 09:52 AM
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If Boston and NY both win, the rest is irrelevant, two team playoff. I think that happens 1 in 4 times. Plus, if all 4 teams lose, two team playoff. 1 in 16 odds of that. So 5 in 16 of a two team Boston NY playoff.
1 in 16 of a 4 way tie. But now it gets more complicated. Suppose NY OR Boston wins but not both, and both Seattle and Toronto win. All four teams get in, one clear winner and three way tie for the second wild card spot, and you now need TWO play in games just to get to the wild card game LOL. Or, if NY OR Boston wins but not both, and Seattle OR Toronto wins but not both, you have one clear winner and a two way tie for the second wild card spot. Or, if NY and Boston both lose, and Seattle OR Toronto wins but not both, you have a three way tie for first. This is insane.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 10-03-2021 at 10:13 AM.
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#6
10-03-2021, 09:57 AM
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Yes, you are right in the 3 way, I forgot the both lose, one win scenario
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#7
10-03-2021, 10:03 AM
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__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#8
10-03-2021, 10:04 AM
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Giants win today and they break the single season win record for any SF/NY team beating John McGraws 1904 106 win season.
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#9
10-03-2021, 10:15 AM
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__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#10
10-03-2021, 10:18 AM
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So to recap (I think)
There could be a four way tie for the top wild card spot. There could be a four team playoff with three teams tied for the second wild card spot, requiring a total of three games to sort out. How awesome would this be. There could be a three team playoff with two teams tied for the second wild card spot. There could be a simple wild card game.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 10-03-2021 at 10:19 AM.
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#11
10-03-2021, 10:26 AM
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Even more wild is that all 4 teams play at 3pm et today. If ever there was a reason for a split tv, today would be it. If MLB was smart they’d broadcast all 4 for free to suck fans into the post season. While a Boston fan, I’d love to see Seattle pull through.
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Items for sale or trade here UPDATED 3-16-18
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#12
10-03-2021, 10:30 AM
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Yes, us National Leaguers need to just stay quiet, but on this note:
Go Giants!!!! I’m a Rockies fan and really just hate the Doodies (Dodgers) Quote:
Last edited by nineunder71; 10-03-2021 at 10:31 AM.
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#13
10-03-2021, 10:59 AM
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From one of the math geniuses on Blowout.
Probability of any sort of play-in game: 56.25% Two-way tie for the second WC spots: 25% Three-way tie for the two WC spots: 12.5% Three-way tie for the second WC spot: 12.5% Four way tie for the two WC spots: 6.25% This gives no consideration to today's matchups. New York -155 Seattle -180 Boston -210 Toronto -420
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#14
10-03-2021, 01:04 PM
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#15
10-03-2021, 01:06 PM
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__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#16
10-03-2021, 02:09 PM
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__________________
Bought from: orioles93, JK, Chstrite, lug-nut, Bartholomew_Bump_Bailey, IgnatiusJReilly, jb67, dbfirstman, DeanH3, wrm, Beck6 Sold to: Sean1125, sayitaintso, IgnatiusJReilly, hockeyhockey, mocean, wondo, Casey2296, Belfast1933, Yoda, Peter_Spaeth, hxcmilkshake, kaddyshack, OhioCardCollector, Gorditadogg, Jay Wolt, ClementeFanOh, JollyElm, EddieZ, 4reals, uyu906 Last edited by rugbymarine; 10-03-2021 at 06:44 PM.
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#17
10-03-2021, 02:15 PM
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Quick story about my experience in a season finale. I played for Venice High School. In the last regular-season game of my senior year, we needed to beat Palisades to get into the playoffs. We were losing by three going into the bottom of the seventh (the games were seven Innings). We loaded the bases, and Pali brought their third baseman to the mound to relieve. First batter he faced hit a walk-off grand slam for the win and postseason berth. Who was that Pali player who served it up? Some guy named Steve Kerr. Wonder whatever became of him.
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#18
10-03-2021, 10:05 AM
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This is fun, but I’m getting confused, haha
I’m now counting 17 different combinations that could happen. That doesn’t seem like a logical # to me, but please tell me where I am mis-counting All could win All could lose There are 4 combos were 1 team wins, the other 3 lose There are 4 combos were 1 team loses, the other 3 win That’s 10 different combos so far I’m getting confused trying to add the 2 win 2 lose combos: I’m counting 7 different ways that could happen as follows: Tor & Sea Win Tor & NY Win Tor & Bos Win Sea & NY Win Sea & Bos Win NY & Bos Win HAHA, never mind, thats only six, YES HEAD SPINNING Last edited by nineunder71; 10-03-2021 at 10:10 AM.
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#19
10-03-2021, 10:13 AM
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Two other possibilities exist for 2022.
1. Just have the AL East start the season with a four team wild card playoff and go directly into the wild games. Why play 162 games to get into a one game playoff. or 2. Just have the AL East play their entire schedule as double headers. With a 324 game season the chances of wild card ties would be reduced, not eliminated but less likely. I don't know how to resolve the inevitable law suit between Seattle and Baltimore though.
__________________
FRANK:BUR:KETT - RAUCOUS SPORTS CARD FORUM MEMBER AND MONSTER NUMBER FATHER. GOOD FOR THE HOBBY AND THE FORUM WITH A VAULT IN AN UNDISCLOSED LOCATION FILLED WITH NON-FUNGIBLES 274/1000 Monster Number Nearly*1000* successful B/S/T transactions completed in 2012-24. Over 680 sales with satisfied Board members served. If you want fries with your order, just speak up. Thank you all. Now nearly PQ.
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