AL Wild Card Scenarios

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by SteveS

Colton, I agree that the division streak is likely over, but in the postseason the Giants will get a one-way ticket back to the Tenderloin. I'm just happy that after all that money-spending and cockiness, the Padres finished out of the money.

Peter, Urias has been the best pitcher all season. He deserves the Cy Young, but most likely won't get it. If wins don't count anymore, just award the World Series to the team with the lowest ERA or highest WAR and we won't have to worry about any of this playoff math.

Isn't Urias allowing half a run per game more than Buehler and Scherzer? IMO that matters more than wins which depend on externalities.

[SteveS]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Isn't Urias allowing half a run per game more than Buehler and Scherzer? IMO that matters more than wins which depend on externalities.

He won the most games, which is what matters most. As I said, they don't award the World Series to the team with the lowest ERA.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by SteveS

He's also winning more games, which is what matters most.

We disagree then on the importance of wins as a statistic for an individual pitcher. Suppose Scherzer loses a 1-0 game and Urias wins a 5-3 game. Would you really say Urias was better? Not I.

[egri]

While the Red Sox have already surpassed my expectations for them this season, if they do get in, it will be a short October for them. The pitching isn't deep enough, and their defense isn't doing them any favors.

[mrreality68]

Let the Race begin

All Teams are out of the starting gate

Let’s see where we end up in a few hours

[bmattioli]

Between Football and the Redsox I have 4 games on watching this all unfold.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by egri

While the Red Sox have already surpassed my expectations for them this season, if they do get in, it will be a short October for them. The pitching isn't deep enough, and their defense isn't doing them any favors.

I agree with your reasoning but I have not lost hope, short series, a few guys get hot and a few opponents get cold, and presto.

[egri]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

I agree with your reasoning but I have not lost hope, short series, a few guys get hot and a few opponents get cold, and presto.

Peter, I hope you're right.

[nineunder71]

Again, Go Fish!!

Originally Posted by egri

Peter, I hope you're right.

[judsonhamlin]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

I agree with your reasoning but I have not lost hope, short series, a few guys get hot and a few opponents get cold, and presto.

I admire your optimism but decades of being a Sox fan tell me otherwise. I would also note that there is way too much math here. I went to law school to avoid maths other that .1 or .25 for billing purposes and have even avoided that for the last twenty four years