2025 National: a Buyer's or Seller's National?

[ajjohnsonsoxfan]

Regional card show attendance (at least in Socal where I live) seems to be very robust in 2025. Couple months back, at a new promoter's show in Inglewood I showed up without buying early bird tickets and found a 3 hour line and was turned away once they reached capacity. I got the sense there were still very active buyers for modern and pokemon. And vintage where you could find it.

What do you think this year's Chicago National looks like? Will there be more buyer's or sellers?

[BillyCoxDodgers3B]

Is it ever in the buyer's favor? Personally, only for really bottom of the barrel stuff or the odd needle in a haystack. With anything that's in demand and familiar to the seller, it's never been a "buyer's National". Again, just my personal, yet unwavering experience.

[Jewish-collector]

Just like the local and regional shows, most of the attendees nowadays going to the National are looking for the shiny stuff.

[Exhibitman]

Originally Posted by ajjohnsonsoxfan

Regional card show attendance (at least in Socal where I live) seems to be very robust in 2025. Couple months back, at a new promoter's show in Inglewood I showed up without buying early bird tickets and found a 3 hour line and was turned away once they reached capacity. I got the sense there were still very active buyers for modern and pokemon. And vintage where you could find it.

What do you think this year's Chicago National looks like? Will there be more buyer's or sellers?

Yes. I predict that most tables will be sagging with tonnage of shiny crap and game cards, and a fortune will change hands. Among the vintage minority, people with great or unique stuff are going to kill; people with commodity type stuff (mainstream slabs) are going to do just fine too. They will get a ton of YOLO action from collectors who traveled a long way to be there and are not going home empty-handed. I am going with the expectation of finding nothing great but armed with a big want list for filling out and upgrading my sets in person. If I can close out a few sets and flesh out some others, great.

As far as the mechanics of attending a show goes, the 1991 Anaheim National is the new normal unless you buy a VIP admission in advance and get there early. VIP means earlier in line, not necessarily earlier into the show. Walk-up and general admission means you may not get in for hours. Or at all.

I think that for the younger collectors, shows have become cultural phenomena rather than simply card shows. For example, it used to be that the announcements were an annoyance. Now they are MC-ing, exhorting the crowd to give more energy. They run music all day and contests. What we think of as noise and distraction, they find entertaining. It seemed to me that this show had more of a vibe, similar to Fanatics Fest, of making the scene itself the event rather than the acquisition of actual material on sale inside. Even without purchasing items, I believe most of the (younger) people there were actually having a lot of fun just being at the event. Since many of these attendees are obviously Gen Z members and they generally prize experience over stuff, being there may be what it’s all about. Personally, I don’t see it, but maybe I’m just getting too fucking old for this.

FWIW, you did not miss a thing at the Los Angeles Card Show. 250 tables meant a handful with older cards, mostly overpriced slabs of mainstream postwar issues. I bought just two minor cards for my PC, a Dale Earnhardt Sr. PSA slabbed rookie card and a Jacques Villeneuve F1 relic card.

[JollyElm]

Come on, you painter
You piper, you vintage collector, and (start chasing the) shine...

[rand1com]

There will be plenty of vintage card and memorabilia deals at the National especially if looking for raw cards.

Of course, graded cards have a fairly consistent value range as reflected in VCP so there will likely be no great bargains on graded cards. You will not find any graded T206 Cobbs for less than market value so if that is what you expect to find you will be disappointed.

However, most vintage dealers do well at the National because they are there to sell but it is true that the shiny cards will occupy a lot of the space and a high % of the customers will be at those tables.

I recently went to a mall show near my home and was shocked to see the number of customers. It literally looked like the National and there were over a hundred tables so it was not a tiny show. There were probably 5% of the tables with vintage and the rest were all shiny with Pokemon probably taking 25% of the space.

It is pretty easy to walk by those tables and concentrate on searching for items you are interested in at the National as there are still plenty of vintage dealers to pick from.

Good luck in the search!!

[Brent G.]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

Walk-up and general admission means you may not get in for hours. Or at all.

So if I have General Admission and get there say 90 minutes before open, what type of wait should I expect?

[rand1com]

If you have a ticket, you will not have to wait that long. A fairly high % will have the VIP passes and they get in 30 minutes before the show opens at 10:00.

If you have to purchase the ticket at the show, then that may be a different story.

[jingram058]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

Yes. I predict that most tables will be sagging with tonnage of shiny crap and game cards, and a fortune will change hands. Among the vintage minority, people with great or unique stuff are going to kill; people with commodity type stuff (mainstream slabs) are going to do just fine too. They will get a ton of YOLO action from collectors who traveled a long way to be there and are not going home empty-handed. I am going with the expectation of finding nothing great but armed with a big want list for filling out and upgrading my sets in person. If I can close out a few sets and flesh out some others, great.

As far as the mechanics of attending a show goes, the 1991 Anaheim National is the new normal unless you buy a VIP admission in advance and get there early. VIP means earlier in line, not necessarily earlier into the show. Walk-up and general admission means you may not get in for hours. Or at all.

I think that for the younger collectors, shows have become cultural phenomena rather than simply card shows. For example, it used to be that the announcements were an annoyance. Now they are MC-ing, exhorting the crowd to give more energy. They run music all day and contests. What we think of as noise and distraction, they find entertaining. It seemed to me that this show had more of a vibe, similar to Fanatics Fest, of making the scene itself the event rather than the acquisition of actual material on sale inside. Even without purchasing items, I believe most of the (younger) people there were actually having a lot of fun just being at the event. Since many of these attendees are obviously Gen Z members and they generally prize experience over stuff, being there may be what it’s all about. Personally, I don’t see it, but maybe I’m just getting too fucking old for this.

FWIW, you did not miss a thing at the Los Angeles Card Show. 250 tables meant a handful with older cards, mostly overpriced slabs of mainstream postwar issues. I bought just two minor cards for my PC, a Dale Earnhardt Sr. PSA slabbed rookie card and a Jacques Villeneuve F1 relic card.

Well, if that is how it is, you can count me out ever going. I have made it this far missing out on all the "fun".

[UKCardGuy]

I was at the 2023 National and at Chantilly last year. Those are my only data points to go by but I think the answer is "it depends".

At the 2023 National, there was shiny modern but I found lots of vintage cards and memorabilia.

As a set builder, I think it's great. I get lots of commons available in one place to fill my want lists. Dealers were willing to deal if I bundled a lot together.

For Stars and HoFers, I got a couple of deals (in raw) and paid retail for a few. But I got the benefit of being able to inspect each card in person and I without the worry about unseen wrinkles from an online listing.

I'm going again this year so I hope I find this still holds true.