Current Market Conditions - Question

hcv123 · #1 12-19-2020, 02:45 PM

1) I believe when we were all locked down at home - many people started "cleaning" closets, attics, basements, etc. This resulted in many people "finding" cards - Some of these people were sparked to dive back into the hobby. Some of these people used it as an opportunity to sell their collections.

Something that I haven't seen posted here yet that I have noticed is there has been a pretty large amount of "fresh" material that has entered the market in the wake of Covid.

2) As mentioned in other posts, I believe the "cream rises to the top" and the top players in top condition will hold their value well and have the greatest possibility of continuing to climb.

3) The larger economics of eventual rising inflation will be a dollar that buys less - That lends itself to values of a hard asset like a baseball card increasing.

cardsagain74 · #2 12-19-2020, 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hcv123

As mentioned in other posts, I believe the "cream rises to the top" and the top players in top condition will hold their value well and have the greatest possibility of continuing to climb.

Yep, other than the "cream" (Mantle, Mays, Aaron, Jackie R, Clemente), most second-tier quality post-war material that's below PSA 8, despite having a great 2020, still isn't worth more than it was during the junk wax era. Especially the '60s - '80s.

Cards (in nr. mt or below) like Bench and Schmidt rookies are worth the same today as they were 30 years ago. Even the best three cards of that era (Rose, Ryan, and Seaver rookies) have only doubled in that time period. Seaver's '68 was $250 in the Beckett back then. You can still get a nice PSA 7 now for 200 after covid.

The perception in the hobby is that just about everything has gone so much higher than ever this year (except for maybe during high-end card market bubble around 2016-17), but the reality is that, as you said, only the cream of post-war vintage has hit crazy new top prices.

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