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Old 06-03-2016, 06:38 PM
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Bill Gregory
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clydepepper View Post
From ESPN.Com - Interesting:

*** My apologies for the sloppy cut and paste job.


2016 NL Cy Young Predictor as of June 3

RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER K SV SHO W-L ERA VB
1 Jake Arrieta CHC 101.9 11 11 75.0 13 75 0 1 9-0 1.56 12
2 Stephen Strasburg WSH 92.4 11 11 73.2 22 90 0 0 9-0 2.69 12
3 Johnny Cueto SF 90.4 11 11 81.2 21 72 0 2 8-1 2.31 12
4 Madison Bumgarner SF 85.3 12 12 80.0 17 94 0 0 7-2 1.91 12
5 Clayton Kershaw LAD 84.9 11 11 86.2 15 105 0 3 7-1 1.56 0
6 Jeff Samardzija SF 71.7 11 11 76.0 24 66 0 0 7-3 2.84 12
7 Jose Fernandez MIA 70.6 11 11 67.2 19 96 0 0 8-2 2.53 0
8 Jon Lester CHC 69.0 11 11 70.2 18 69 0 0 6-3 2.29 12
9 Jason Hammel CHC 68.3 10 10 56.0 13 50 0 0 6-1 2.09 12
10 Jeanmar Gomez PHI 60.7 26 0 28.0 9 20 17 0 2-1 2.89 0


Glossary
• CYP: In The Neyer/James Guide To Pitchers -- co-authored by Bill James and ESPN.com's Rob Neyer presents a method, based on past results, to predict Cy Young balloting. This page provides an in-season snapshot of the Cy Young "race," as figured by the following formula: Cy Young Points (CYP) = ((5*IP/9)-ER) + (SO/12) + (SV*2.5) + Shutouts + ((W*6)-(L*2)) + VB (see below).
• VB: Victory Bonus is a 12-point bonus awarded for leading your team to the division championship
Not a single pitcher on that list is outperforming Kershaw, and it's not even close. They're all having good seasons, but Kershaw is clearly the best.

Cueto leads the league in HR/9 IP, has a 169 ERA + and a 2.43 FIP.
Strasburg has a 155 ERA +, and a 2.60 WHIP. Leads in zero metrics.
Bumgarner has a 205 ERA +, and a 2.77 FIP. Leads in zero metrics.
Arrieta I've already gone over. He leads in wins, ERA + and hits/ 9 IP. He has a 257 ERA + and a 2.73 FIP.
Kershaw has a 244 ERA + and a 1.51 FIP. He leads the league in ERA (tied with Arrieta), shutouts, strikeouts, FIP, WHIP, BB/9 IP and SO:BB ratio.

I would put zero credence in anything the ESPN baseball writers have to say. They're hacks. David Schoenfield just released his All Star team, and he has Andrew McCutchen as a starter in the NL outfield while McCutchen is hitting .251 with a below .800 OPS. He sucks this year. In fact, he's the third best outfielder on his team.
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Last edited by the 'stache; 06-03-2016 at 06:39 PM.
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