Autograph Value Trends

[djson1]

I think the trend of autograph prices for new rookies is absolutely ridiculous. I'm not sure what goes on in the mentality of collectors all the time, but the logic isn't there. There are some rookies like Mike Trout, who is no doubt one of the top players in the game. In fact, he's probably my personal top 5 favorite right now. But his signed cards and balls can easily go over $200-$300....I've even seen a few of his signed rookie cards go for over $500! He's only played 2 seasons, but already his autographs are well over Ted Williams and Joe DiMaggio (I realize Williams and Joe signed a ton during their life..but still). One needs to step back and think: Ok, so years after Trout retires, and he posts those 3000/4000+ hits we all want him to achieve...do you think his signature would still be much more than $300? He's a very willing signer and I'm sure there will be no shortages of his stuff later on. So, why do we all want to pay so much for it now when he's only finished 2 seasons (it was expensive even during his rookie season). Worst case scenario (which I hope doesn't happen): he ends up being a mediocre star, and we've all seen it happen. But collectors always seem to jump on a rookie and pay top dollar...even more than what it would be worth after that player retires...so, why not just wait to pay those big bucks? Ah, the dynamics of supply and demand.