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Old 08-07-2008, 07:17 AM
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Default Caramel scarcity today? Early E cards.....

Posted By: Matt

I added Leach, Lord and Lajoie to the calculations for additional accuracy and to include a few more issues. The updated list is below with some observations:

E95 (97)

E93 (60)
E90-1 (60)

E96 (43)
E98 (43)
E92 Dockman (43)
E102 (38)

E94 (32)

E103 (19)
E91C (18)
E101 (16)
E91B (16)
E91A (14)
E106 (12)

E92 Candy (8)
E105 (7)
E92 Cocoa (6)

E107 (4)
E104-III (3)
E92 Nadja (non St Louis) (3)


As this analysis is about rarity, I expected it to differ somewhat with the lists of scarcity above. A few differences I noticed, although there are more:
E91s:
Each of the players that have a card in the E91 issue had a population between 13 and 22. That makes them pretty rare - comparable to E106s and E103s, and much more rare then E94s (range of 29-36 instances per player) and E98s (34-48) yet they seem to be much more readily available. I'd guess that is due to their relative unattractiveness.

E101s vs E102s:
E101s seems to be much more rare then the E102s. The range of population per player in E101s is 9-24, compared with between 22 and 50 cards existing for each E102 player. Here's a look at the raw data (E101/E102):
Matty (24/44)
Dooin (16/28)
Evers (18/45)
Donovan (9/22)
Lobert (11/30)
Lajoie (18/50)

E103s:
These were more common then I was expecting. The 6 players who had an E103 issue averaged a population of 19. The raw data:
Matty 29
Dooin 16
Donovan 11
Leach 17
Lajoie 22
Lord 17

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