Fantasy baseball talk - how to value keepers

[Belfast1933]

I am guessing there are quite a few Net54 members who also play fantasy baseball…

If so, I wonder if anyone has ever come across a calculator or methodology to help “value” keeper options in baseball? In our league, your “cost” for a keeper is their draft round the year before.

For instance, my keeper options and round drafted last year are:

Kyle Tucker - 2nd round
Manny Machado - 2nd round
Emmanuel Clase - 20th round
Spencer Strider - 20th round
Zach Gallen - 13th round

Has anyone come across or developed a calculator to help estimate the best value vs a players expected ADP? I’ve seen these in fantasy football but not yet in baseball.

Thx for any links of programs you’ve seen. (By the way… I’ve narrowed it to 3
To pick 2 final keepers. Finalists are Tucker, Strider and Clase)

Thx

Jeff

[BobbyStrawberry]

Hey Jeff,

I recommend checking out the Fangraphs auction calculator:

https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy-to...ion-calculator

You have to translate the dollar values into rounds, but I find it super helpful.

And I think you're on the right track - Strider is a lock, Clase is elite but Tucker is very tempting as a 2nd. I think he's going to have a great year.

Matthew

[Belfast1933]

Originally Posted by BobbyStrawberry

Hey Jeff,

I recommend checking out the Fangraphs auction calculator:

https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy-to...ion-calculator

You have to translate the dollar values into rounds, but I find it super helpful.

And I think you're on the right track - Strider is a lock, Clase is elite but Tucker is very tempting as a 2nd. I think he's going to have a great year.

Matthew

Thx Matthew… I’ll check that out!

I am starting to think about keeping Tucker (costs my 2nd round) since we have a snake draft and my 2nd pick would be 2nd to last in 2nd round (Tucker there is super tempting)

[Seven]

Hi Jeff,

I think the value of Keepers depends on the duration of how long you can keep them. If we are talking Dynasty style, where they are kept for life, more or less, I think that changes the conversation significantly.

If they are kept for a certain amount of years, and then put back into the pool, that's a different story.

[Belfast1933]

Originally Posted by Seven

Hi Jeff,

I think the value of Keepers depends on the duration of how long you can keep them. If we are talking Dynasty style, where they are kept for life, more or less, I think that changes the conversation significantly.

If they are kept for a certain amount of years, and then put back into the pool, that's a different story.

Hey James - our league rule is that the “cost” of the keeper is the round in which the player was drafted the year before… but if they were a keeper the year before, they cost your 1st round pick the next year (which prevents year over year hoarding of the best players!)

[philliesfan]

I have a different view on this. If you keep Tucker, then that is your round 2 pick, so you keep him and your second choice.....Strider.
If you elect to keep Strider and Clase you can still get a excellent player in the second round in place of Tucker.
So would you prefer Tucker, Strider and a 20th round pick? Or would you prefer Strider, Clase and a secoond round pick....Austin Riley, or Lindor, or??? depending when your second pick is. If an early round pick, maybe Y Alvarez, B Witt, B Bichette? Or later pick and get Riley or Lindor or...??
I would prefer Clase, Strider and a second rounder.
Please let us know what you decide.
Good Luck!

I am in 2 leagues where we meet in person and do the auction. We do not have keepers as everyone likes the option of getting any one player in a given year. I also need to say......I won one of the leagues last year!