Aaron Judge -- how many will he hit, prediction thread

[Peter_Spaeth]

Get your number in before the start of the next Yankee game tomorrow at 7 EST. Winners get bragging rights.

I will say 58.

[D. Bergin]

57

[butchie_t]

I am the optimist, 63.

[D. Bergin]

It's going to be a tough road ahead for him with the rest of the team hitting the way they are. No reason for opposing pitchers to not pitch around him.

Last 28 days Yankees are hitting .215 with a .619 OPS.

That includes Judges .286/.450/.607/1.057OPS line during that same time span, so how wretched are those numbers without Judge?

[D. Bergin]

I thought things would start to get better once Stanton got back from his injury, but I forgot that Stanton needs about a month and a half to warm back up whenever he misses any time.

[packs]

56

[bnorth]

64

[Shoeless Moe]

61.....and on the last day of the season.

[ullmandds]

59

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by D. Bergin

I thought things would start to get better once Stanton got back from his injury, but I forgot that Stanton needs about a month and a half to warm back up whenever he misses any time.

I think it will be hard for Judge to resist overswinging, but we'll see. He's certainly been locked in all year.

[clydepepper]

I'm hoping for 60...I just finished reading a Roger Maris biography and would like him to remain the 'Natural Home Run King' for a little longer.


I do not think that Aaron Judge has used any PED's, but I'd like for Roger to stay on top.


I'm not going to get ugly about it, like the old Babe Ruth fans did..just would prefer it to turn out as I described.

.

[Pjere]

62


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[JimmyC]

Originally Posted by clydepepper

I'm hoping for 60...I just finished reading a Roger Maris biography and would like him to remain the 'Natural Home Run King' for a little longer.


I do not think that Aaron Judge has used any PED's, but I'd like for Roger to stay on top.


I'm not going to get ugly about it, like the old Babe Ruth fans did..just would prefer it to turn out as I described.

.

Agree on your comment....."Natural Home Run King".....

[1952boyntoncollector]

59

[egri]

63

[cgjackson222]

58

[mcgwirecom]

64

[mrreality68]

60

[Peter_Spaeth]

Get in your predictions before the start of tonight's game.

[frankbmd]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Get in your predictions before the start of tonight's game.

He will not hit a home run tonight. I'm not bragging.

[mikemb]

64

Mike

[RCMcKenzie]

I'll go with 53, which would leave him only 20 short of Bonds' record of 73.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Game is on, guesses closed.

[NiceDocter]

55 it’s the law

[D. Bergin]

Well, the Yankees moved him to the lead-off spot and he hit number 52 and got two hits. Rest of the team got 1 hit and dropped another game while potentially being in the midst of what I can only guess has to be one of the greatest 2nd half collapses in baseball history.

[Shoeless Moe]

I don't follow the Yankees, but I am intrigued by how much their lead has shrunk on the Rays.

Are they really gonna to choke it away? They were up like 15 games at the All Star break.

What is the reason?

They'll still get in as a Wild Card, but momentum going into the Playoffs is the key to winning it all in the PostSeason. You go in flat, you won't last.........unless you have fairly dominant #1-2 SP's. Do they?

Overall Dodgers probably taking it again, but injuries could change that.

[D. Bergin]

Originally Posted by Shoeless Moe

I don't follow the Yankees, but I am intrigued by how much their lead has shrunk on the Rays.

Are they really gonna to choke it away? They were up like 15 games at the All Star break.

What is the reason?

They'll still get in as a Wild Card, but momentum going into the Playoffs is the key to winning it all in the PostSeason. You go in flat, you won't last.........unless you have fairly dominant #1-2 SP's. Do they?

Overall Dodgers probably taking it again, but injuries could change that.

Not to be a cynical Yankees fan...but it's looking ugly, and almost inevitable. It's not likely, but it probably wouldn't surprise me if they even blew a Wildcard spot.

They have a bunch of all or nothing guys in their lineup...who, outside of Judge, has been mostly nothing since the All-Star break. Take Judge out, and they're hitting about .200 as a team for the last month and a half or so.

Severino suffered another big injury, Nestor Cortes got hurt, and the Yankees traded one of their most reliable starters to the Cardinals, for an injured, glove first, little power, high strikeout 4th or 5th outfielder.

Jordan Montgomery by the way, since being sent to the Cardinals for a guy who might eventually be a slight upgrade over Aaron Hicks: 5-0, 1.47 ERA, 0.927 WHIP

BTW, they traded Montgomery after they already knew Severino was hurt and Cortes was going to run into innings restrictions very soon. They replaced him AND Severino in the pitching lineup by giving up a bunch of prospects to the A's, for a guy who had a 5+ ERA, pitching outside of Oakland.

Frankie Montas is now 0-2 in 5 starts with a 7.01 ERA and a 1.519 WHIP...since leaving the sweet confines of The Coliseum.

Oh, by the way, one of the "throw-ins" for Montas. JP Sears. He's already got 5 starts, while sporting a 2.63 ERA for the A's.

I could probably go on and on. Not one of Brian Cashman's better seasons as the GM this year.

I'm also saying this fully aware there's not many outside of the Tri-State area who are going to shed any tears for the downfall of the New York Yankees.

[RCMcKenzie]

He's already at 53. I hope he signs with Houston.

[D. Bergin]

Judge hit 53 and they finally got a good 5 innings out of Montas.

Judge got 3 of the Yankees 6 hits, accounted for both runs and had the only extra base hits for the team (HR, Double).

I don't think I've seen as literal a version of a position player carrying a team on their backs, as I've seen from Judge this season. At least not in recent Yankee history.

As the overall results have shown in the 2nd half of the season, it's not really sustainable.

[Shoeless Moe]

54 - he's gonna do it.

[mrreality68]

Originally Posted by Shoeless Moe

54 - he's gonna do it.

it looks like it and he had an amazing day 2 for 3 (homer and a doubl3) and a walk with a slash line on the season of .302/.403/.682.

He has a big payday coming real soon

[Shoeless Moe]

and that's #55


he's gonna hit 61 easily now, will he get to 62 (or more) is the question.

[mrreality68]

Originally Posted by Shoeless Moe

and that's #55


he's gonna hit 61 easily now, will he get to 62 (or more) is the question.

and 4 games in a row with a Homer. He is hot....

[RCMcKenzie]

Judge is only 2 more home runs from 57, which would tie him with Gonzo and A-Rod for 15th best all-time for homers in a single season.

[Shoeless Moe]

26 games to go (6 of those in October)

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by Shoeless Moe

26 games to go (6 of those in October)

Maybe Bonds is in danger lol. This is insane!!

[clydepepper]

Originally Posted by RCMcKenzie

Judge is only 2 more home runs from 57, which would tie him with Gonzo and A-Rod for 15th best all-time for homers in a single season.

Didn't Junior have consecutive 57-homer seasons?




.

[Shoeless Moe]

A shame there was only like 4,000 at the first game to see it.

I know it's a makeup game, but geez, you could have gone out and had a 1 in 50 shot to catch that Judge HR.

You'd have a piece of history or I'm sure you could sell it if you wanted for a cool 10k-20K, maybe more if (when) he goes on to break the record.


I checked the 1961 Yankees attendance, same thing there they had big crowds on the road, small ones at home late in the season.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/t...e-scores.shtml

Why don't the Yankees fans support their team and witness history in the process?????

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by clydepepper

Didn't Junior have consecutive 57-homer seasons?




.

56

[RCMcKenzie]

Robbie, I'm going off of baseball-reference's list. JR hit 56 in 1997 and 1998. Hack Wilson also had 56 in 1930.

[Shoeless Moe]

Actually no one got 55.

If you watch closely 2 Yankee fans bump into each other going for it, what looks to be a man and a kid.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u-e_qXaWgUk

Then it goes back onto the field.

[mrreality68]

I just read and more interesting he has an outside shot of having 400 Total bases in a season which is a rarity (especially outside of the Steroid era).

Regardless of what he still does the rest of the way he has had an amazing season (look at the Lead in all the categories like HR's, RBI, and Runs vs the 2nd place person on each list)

[Shoeless Moe]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Maybe Bonds is in danger lol. This is insane!!

Also insane to think is that as awesome as Judge has been he's still 18 home runs behind Barry's 73 season.

[clydepepper]

I didn't want to start another Aaron Judge Homerun thread, but I will swing slightly off the predictions mode to ask:


When was the last time a player has hit at least 19 more homers than anyone else in the majors- as Judge (55) does over (Schwarber - 36)?

Has it happened since the Babe was doing it with regularity?


.

[Shoeless Moe]

56

[Shoeless Moe]

57

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by shoeless moe

57

+1

[Casey2296]

I wish Bonds wasn't such a self absorbed prick and a steroid user, he really was a great hitter.

[isiahfan]

58

[Shoeless Moe]

Originally Posted by isiahfan

58

What game are you watching??????