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#1
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Some people's collections are pretty focused and they spend a lot of time finding just what they want. Others have collecting habits that are a little more random or all-encompassing, and are apt to chase down rabbit holes from time to time.
One way to measure this is to take the total value of your collection and divide it by your most expensive card. Let's call this your Scatter Factor, because the higher the number, the more "unconcentrated" or scattered your collecting habits are. For example if your collection is worth $10,000 and your most expensive card is $2000, then your Scatter Factor is 5, meaning you have a pretty focused collection. My Scatter Factor is 30, which I am thinking is a little on the high side, but I am interested to see how that compares to others. Last edited by Gorditadogg; 11-04-2021 at 04:42 PM. |
#2
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I'm in the process of tidying things up. I have a bunch of random cards and partial sets I have accumulated from packs over the years that I'm selling. The core of my collection is two complete sets, and a handful of very nice singles.
Moving forward I plan to focus on a dozen high end key cards, and building a new set (year TBD) for the down periods when my desired key cards can't be found. I'm not there yet, but my goal is to have an entire collection that will fit in a single shoebox. |
#3
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I no longer have a good idea what my collection is worth. I have become too diluted and the market has gone up a bunch quickly. But I’m a collector more than a seller. I sell sometimes but rarely do I know market value of my cards. I look up VCP occasionally if I have something to sell. This is probably my most valuable card. My guess is I have 350000 cards. But no idea the total value. It’s a problem. I am working to liquidate a lot of this stuff.
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I have counted the stitches on a baseball more than once.[/B] My PM box might be full. Email: jcfowler6@zoominternet.net Want list: Prewar Pirates items 1909 Pirates BF2 Wagner Cracker Jack Wagner and Clarke Love the hobby. |
#4
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As a set collector of all Topps ( including variations, and test and insert issues), Bowman, Fleer sets, and some others as well, my collection is more splattered than scattered per your definition, even if divided by the two 52 Mantle variations. I know there are a lot of other set collectors here and would guess they would also have high "scatter" numbers. But I do not think personally that set collecting is an indication of an unfocused collection
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#5
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Going for every Topps card is a pretty wide focus I would say. A clear focus no doubt but still an ambitious one.
I think set collectors will have have higher factors in general because you need to have a lot of lower priced cards. But let's say someone has a nice 52 Topps set, it might be worth $200k overall, with the Mantle $50k of it. So if that is all they had it would be a really focused collection with a Scatter Factor of 4. |
#6
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When you look at collection concentration, I would be inclined to consider a complete set as a single item. There's a clear focus on a pre-defined list of cards, and they are often organized/stored together. Not a lot of scatter, at least in my opinion.
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#7
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There's also a bunch of stuff with a much less defined value, like the 76 Hostess yellow and greens. |
#8
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I was thinking the same thing. Then I wondered about the sets I’m currently building. About 8 different sets. It’s been a few years like that with slow adds. I think the same way that a set is one item. But what about 2/3 complete in a binder that’s in progress? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I have counted the stitches on a baseball more than once.[/B] My PM box might be full. Email: jcfowler6@zoominternet.net Want list: Prewar Pirates items 1909 Pirates BF2 Wagner Cracker Jack Wagner and Clarke Love the hobby. |
#9
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I've gotten quite organized and far less scattershot in my collecting (and around the house even) since the pandemic began. 18 months of working from home gave me back about 15 hours a week of commuting time and I took advantage. I'm now down to two remote days of work per week before I retire and that's helped even more. I look at what I had at the beginning of 2020 vs. now and am amazed I could even find anything in my collection out side of large sets!
Last edited by toppcat; 11-04-2021 at 05:04 PM. |
#10
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I am like a carton of BBs that has spilled onto the floor! I have several fairly focused collections (Dodgers-more general all around & Steve Garvey-ultra focused), but then I might just be picking up anything randomly if the desire presents itself. Non-sport, other sport, vintage, new, oddball, odd sized, non-flat...you name it.
I could not come up with a solid value of my stuff if I had to, but I believe my most expensive card is probably still a Leaf Robinson RC, which shot up pretty high there for a while, but has settled back down.
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Looking for: Unique Steve Garvey items, select Dodgers Postcards & Team Issue photos |
#11
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My scatter factor is 5. I built a very specific list of cards I wanted that covered 100 years of baseball. I'm not a set collector but Leon and his pre-war henchmen inspired me to collect two sets. E98 Master Set, 3 cards short and E94 hi grade set, 4 cards short. All good stuff and a great post.
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#12
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Very interesting question.
My scatter factor is about 15, which I think is is the lower side (but that's just a hunch). In the last 6-7 years, I've worked on being more focused and intentional on what I collect. I used to work on sets, and lose focus, only to sell off the set at 75% complete. My brain is wired such that I like to collect sets, but I'm not great at finishing 200-800 card company sets, so now I typically collect player sets and some HOF RC. That's been a good compromise for me.
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Bought from: orioles93, JK, Chstrite, lug-nut, Bartholomew_Bump_Bailey, IgnatiusJReilly, jb67, dbfirstman, DeanH3, wrm, Beck6 Sold to: Sean1125, sayitaintso, IgnatiusJReilly, hockeyhockey, mocean, wondo, Casey2296, Belfast1933, Yoda, Peter_Spaeth, hxcmilkshake, kaddyshack, OhioCardCollector, Gorditadogg, Jay Wolt, ClementeFanOh, JollyElm, EddieZ, 4reals, uyu906 |
#13
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I can't get you any fancy numbers but I can post one corner of my card room. Yes all those big boxes are full of cards and the rest of the room looks similar.
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#14
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I appreciate this concept, as I have thought for a while it would be cool to have some sort of collecting statistics akin to the on-field statistics for players.
But while this one may work in some scenarios, there is something keeping it from being universal because it doesn't work it my situation. Mine is an easy test case because I am a player collector exclusively and limited to nearly just one, so it would seem I should have a scatter factor near to 1, but the math as is works out to 16, which seems antithetical to the spirit of the initial post. So similar to the conundrum of how to account for company sets (and I agree it seems most sensible to take each together as a 'single' item), it seems the same should apply to a player set. So instead of taking the value of a literally single item I instead take the value of that entire single-player segment of my collection, then divided into the total I get 1.05. That number does seem more representative of the reality in my case and more in keeping with the spirit of the meaning for 'scatter factor' as I interpreted it in the OP. I realize it's much easier in my situation to estimate the $ numbers since my collection is comparatively much smaller by volume than the average, and so also easier to keep track of because it is focused, and that instead, the initial equation was meant to be a quick way for a more complex collection to estimate itself. I'm just suggesting we could trial enhancements to the equation to perhaps make it more meaningfully universal. |
#15
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I have a small collection, I focus on quality not quantity, though there's a bunch of commons scattered around in various boxes, throughout the house. I had a bunch of Junk Wax, got rid of most of it a while back, before the boom of course.
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#16
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If I'm valuing my collection right based off of the crazy runup in the past year and a half, my scatter number is roughly six, which I guess makes sense; my 1953 Topps project gets the bulk of the attention, with the occasional side project that gets pulled out of mothballs when I hit a wall with the Topps.
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Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %) |
#17
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Reminds me of my own main card collecting room, only yours is way more organized and less crowded than mine. LOL As for the idea of coming up with some way to measure and quantify what the OP terms as a "scatter-factor", not so sure the proposed methodology will really tell you much of anything important or useful, and it definitely doesn't tell you anything about how focused someone's collection is. The idea of coming up with a "scatter-factor" formular also kind of implies you can then measure and compare one collector's supposed focus to that of another, which I don't see how the OP's formula will ever do. First off, what does the value of cards have to do with one's collecting focus? Different cards can have way different values, yet they can all be part of someone's collection focus. Whether you collect just the '88 Donruss set, or all main Topps base sets from '52 through the current year. Secondly, if you use your single, most valuable card value as the denominator in your "scatter-factor" formula, you are basing everything on a single card, which makes no sense at all. Say I had a collection of 1,000 cards worth $50,000, with my most valuable card worth $2,500. I'd have an average value per card of $50, and per your formula a "scatter-factor" of 20. And lets also say my collecting focus was to collect just the oversized main Topps card sets from '52 to '56, and every one of the 1,000 cards I had collected so far was a card from one of those first five years of Topps sets. So therefore in fact, my collection was at that point 100% focused on my collecting goal. Now lets say I came into some money and suddenly had the chance to acquire a really nice '52 Topps Mantle for $50,000, so I grabbed it. Well now my collection has 1,001 cards, which are all still 100% part of my collecting focus, but now my average value has approximately doubled to about $100 per card, while my "scatter-factor" has dropped to 2. So explain to me how by buying just one single card it can supposedly cause such a dramatic change to my collecting focus, especially when every single card I own is definitely still part of my collecting focus, even after buying the '52 Mantle. And thirdly, take my original situation before buying the '52 Mantle. Lets say I didn't even buy another card, but suddenly the value of my most expensive card increased from $2,500 to $52,500 (which isn't that far fetched with what has happened during this pandemic). Again, my average value per card doubles to about $100, and my "scatter-factor" per the OP's formula again drops to about 2. So explain to me how I don't even buy or sell anything, and yet my collecting focus still dramaticaly changes suddenly. Sorry to say, but for measuring the focus of one's collection, and then being able to compare it to others, the OP's formula is pretty much useless. Maybe a better way to achieve what the OP is looking for is to first determine exactly what your collecting goals/focus actually is/are, be it sets, teams, players, HOFers, rookies, etc., or any or all combinations. And then figure out how many of those cards you have that match and go towards completing/fulfilling those collecting goals/focus. And then divide that number by the total number of all cards you own to determine the percentage of your collection that is truly part of your collecting goals/focus. In my examples above, the 1,000 cards (1,001 when you add the '52 Mantle) owned were all part of the collecting goal/focus, so the focus factor was always at 100%. Though by no means a perfect measure, I think this is much closer to what the OP was trying to come up with, and something that can more meaningfully be compared among collectors. You'll still have questions and issues though, like how do you account for duplicates, or what if you suddenly lose interest in something you formerly focused on, but don't anymore. And of course there's always the person that collects whatever they like and catches their fancy. Even though they are the poster child for, and definition of, a non-focused and ultimate scatter collector, if they truly only collect what they like and have an interest in, then technically they are 100% focused with their collection and its goals. |
#18
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However, I just like too many things. I don't discriminate between vintage or new, singles or sets (smaller sets usually), mainstream or oddball. I collect just about anything/everything Dodgers, but will add a Yankee or Giant just as enthusiastically. Baseball is my primary interest, but have dabbled into other sports and even some non-sport as well. I like autographs & smaller memorabilia (cans, cups, figures, etc - storage factor) as well. Clearly my focus has lead to a collection that is perfect for me, so I imagine someone like me walking into a shop loaded with my stuff, figuring they'd be amazed! The overwhelming feelings I get are mainly coming from imagining how I could dismantle something like this that I've worked many years to assemble. I might open a few boxes and find 100s of items that I bought individually and are now together, but should not be sold as a group! I really don't even know where I would start. I don't want to burden my wife or kids with it, but in reality, I would like to be separated from the process so I can't interfere.
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Looking for: Unique Steve Garvey items, select Dodgers Postcards & Team Issue photos |
#19
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There was a thread a while back about how people planned on this sort of thing, and it was eye-opening.
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Bought from: orioles93, JK, Chstrite, lug-nut, Bartholomew_Bump_Bailey, IgnatiusJReilly, jb67, dbfirstman, DeanH3, wrm, Beck6 Sold to: Sean1125, sayitaintso, IgnatiusJReilly, hockeyhockey, mocean, wondo, Casey2296, Belfast1933, Yoda, Peter_Spaeth, hxcmilkshake, kaddyshack, OhioCardCollector, Gorditadogg, Jay Wolt, ClementeFanOh, JollyElm, EddieZ, 4reals, uyu906 |
#20
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BobC, the Scatter Factor is pretty basic. It measures the relative concentration of high value cards in your collection. Yes, I guess you could plan your purchases to manipulate your Scatter Factor number, but why would anybody do that?
For example, if you are collecting ’52 Topps, you could start by buying a starter lot off ebay. Or you could instead set aside your funds and get the big four first. Those are two different approaches to set building. The first way is dabbling, much like my collecting habits. I have ’39 Play Ball without Williams and Joe Dimaggio, ’52 Topps without Mantle and Mays, and a 2003 Topps Chrome Refractor set without Lebron. My collecting habits result in a Scatter Factor of 30. In contrast, the 2nd approach of starting with the key cards (or at least buying the key cards along the way instead of waiting until the end) shows a serious commitment to the set. The Scatter Factor would reflect that by showing a much lower number. Another way to look at this is to think about how easy it would be to liquidate your collection. Sure when the time comes I might find someone looking to buy all my 39PB cards in one swoop, but we know that all things being equal, stars are easier to sell and a person with a lower Scatter Factor will have more of those, proportionately. Phil could sell his collection on BST or at auction and get full value. I on the other hand, when the time comes, will be spending my weekends at local card shows for the next ten years to cash out. |
#21
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#22
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Interesting concept. No idea what my collection is truly worth retail, but if you do the scatter factor math on my most valuable card vs. what my collection is insured for, the figure is somewhere between 11 and 12. I will say that some of my most valuable cards got that way by appreciation and not directly through what I paid - and anymore, after the el nutso prices we were all witness to during the bubble - I'm left with a bit of a bad taste in my mouth about the truly pricey cards I'd still like to have. Though I'm mostly a star / HOF singles collector and not a true set collector at least by upbringing, I am working on two vintage sets right now. For singles, I kind of see the days of laying down true serious cash for one card as waning. I don't know what that number is for me, maybe ballpark it around $500 in the recent past? Anymore that's just too difficult for me to do, either in terms of saving for specific cards, or otherwise moving stuff in other areas of my collection to get the job done. I've done a ton of that in the past sure, but just saying I'm getting tired of it, if not totally unwilling to do it based on pure financial reasons. That, plus I'm also likely showing my age at this point in terms of condition preferences, coming full circle with that again: When I got back into the hobby seriously for the first time since my 20's about 6 years ago, I was a stickler of sorts. EX for 50's cards, EX-MT and up for 60's and later. Yeah, yeah. Recently I have found that I'm just as happy with VG cards for 60's and back so long as they retain eye appeal. For the '72 Topps set I am currently building, the aim is to end up with EX quality overall, but I can tell you I already have a lot of VG-EXish commons. The truth is they still look good, at least to the kid who still lives inside my mind's eye - and life is just getting to be too short. I'd rather make hay with quantity over technical quality in many cases in the name of accumulating more cards in the time I have left.
Anyhow, the point there being I would expect my "factor" number to probably go up, and not down - in the coming years of my collecting.
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Postwar stars & HOF'ers. Cubs of all eras. Currently working on 1956, '63 and '72 Topps complete sets. Last edited by jchcollins; 11-09-2021 at 02:11 PM. |
#23
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Scatter factor around 10, I think. I collect singles for certain players, and limited set collecting (48L, 52T and 54T). With the massive run up in prices last year, I pumped the brakes on set progress. I now have more fun chasing specific cards for player PCs, and sometimes creating hordes of said favorite cards. I still have some key cards that I’d love to get, but can’t justify current prices, 52T Mantle being the primary. It’s hard to go from shopping for a copy for years, being too picky at $xxxx, then suddenly that price gets multiplied. Kinda killed the chase for me. Now, with prices the way they are, my collecting is rather focused.
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#24
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Cool thread. My scatter factor is somewhere around 10-12 I’d imagine. I think a collection needs to be constantly evolving, living and breathing. For me that has meant going down rabbit holes from time to time and then selling and moving into something else. I built the 57 set and then sold it and started the 75 set and thought it was a waste and sold it for a loss. Then I started collecting a bunch of 71 slabs and have sold some of them off. The one constant has been my Yastrzemski PSA 7+ topps collection. I started a Ted Williams run and then sold everything except his RC. Most recently I have been expanding my raw collection and building a raw Aaron run. In general I have been trying to expand my raw collection and keep it fitting in one box, so this means I have started migrating the weakest cards to my junk bin and replacing them with better cards. I also just completed the 41 PB set. Soon I’ll be onto something else. As is always the case I try not to overpay for whatever I buy so when my interest changes I can sell without taking a loss.
Anyway right now my collection consists of (1) Red Sox cards including Yaz and Ted. (2) The Playball set. (3) The 71 slabs which I store in a cool black box that once housed a bottle of liquor. (4) Mostly 50s slabs of nice stuff but also a nice example of all the great pre war sets. (5) My raw stuff which is increasingly cool but no single card worth more than $200 or so. (6) my non baseball box which has all the Celtic greats and a bunch of football cards highlighted by a Namath rookie. What a mess! Last edited by Kutcher55; 11-09-2021 at 06:51 PM. |
#25
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Ha! I'm like a 20. But I knew I was scattered collecting all 4 sports, sets going back to 1955, UCONN autos, Yankees etc
Sent from my SM-G981U using Tapatalk |
#26
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I took a few moments to think about this. At the end of the process, I pegged my "scatter factor" number at about 50.
I have some decent cards: '56 Mantle; Gretzky Rookie; SP Jeter, etc. What I don't have is the one card, that jaw-dropping centerpiece to my collection. I've spread things out through the years, never getting hyper-focused. In this respect, I've done well (or horribly, depending on your point of view) at putting together a collection.
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Eric Perry Currently collecting: T206 (135/524) 1956 Topps Baseball (195/342) "You can observe a lot by just watching." - Yogi Berra |
#27
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Place a target at 50 yards. Shoot a 12-gauge shotgun with #4 shot and an unmodified choke and examine the shot pattern. That is my scatter pattern for cards…too.
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“Man proposes and God disposes.” U.S. Grant, July 1, 1885 Completed: 1969 - 2000 Topps Baseball Sets and Traded Sets. Senators and Frank Howard fan. I collect Topps baseball variations -- I can quit anytime I want to.....I DON'T WANT TO. |
#28
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In your formula you divide the total value of your collection by the value of the highest valued SINGLE CARD you own, not the highest valued CARDS plural. See the problem yet? I already gave you multiple examples in my earlier post of how your formula doesn't really answer/measure how focused one's collection is under what it sounded like you were asking about in your original post. And as I just pointed out above, your formula will NEVER accurately tell you the relative concentration of high value cards in your collection, unless you own only one, single high valued card. And that points to another problem/issue with your formula, what exactly is a high value card? I'm guessing there is no firm, set dollar amount, and imagine "high value" is going to have totally different meanings to different people. So there goes the comparability factor of your formula out the window as well. I can't tell what your formula is really trying to measure. But after seeing and following more posts and comments, it kind of comes across, to me at least, that maybe you're trying to somehow measure how good a job someone does in keeping their collection to the fewest number of cards, yet at the highest possible value. And in so doing that, if/when they ever decide to sell their collection, or they pass away and leave the burden of selling it to their family, this "factor" is kind of a measure as to how fast and easy it will be for the collection to be sold for its' FMV. And if so, I have no problem with that, but your formula still doesn't really answer and address this question well either. And if that is what someone is truly trying to achieve, they should just focus on collecting the fewest number of cards possible, and use that number as the measure of their "scatter-factor" then. Basically just take all the money you have and spend it all on a single card. And then as time goes by and you come into more disposable income, sell the first card and combine the net proceeds from that sale with the new disposable income to again buy another single (and hopefully more valuable) card. And then just keep repeating the process going forward. That way you'll always have the perfect focused collection (at least according to what sounds like your definition of a focused collection), with just a single card and a "scatter-factor" of 1. But to me, that doesn't really sound like collecting. To each his own though. You also mentioned how in your definition of a focused collection that it actually makes a difference if you start collecting a particular set by acquiring the most valuable cards in that set first, as opposed to acquiring all the more lower valued commons first. But if your goal is to collect that particular set, why should it matter in regards to one's focus what order you acquire the cards in? You make it sound like a collector always has a choice when collecting a particular set to acquire any card in that set whenever they want. That is clearly not always the case, especially when some of the higher valued cards can be so expensive due to rarity, and might take a collector years before finally finding one for sale even. So in the interim, they shouldn't bother picking up any of the less valuable cards in the set because to do so makes them a less focused collector? That is absurd thinking. Now I get your comments and thinking about how not having the most valuable card in a set might cause some collectors to lose interest (focus) in eventually completing the set, and abandon it. But that would just be some, not all, collectors. In fact, some collectors have been known to suffer from a little OCD, in which case for them, having all the commons and just needing the most valuable card or two in the set to complete it would likely make them even more obsessed and focused on finishing the set, not less. This also kind of goes along with the idea that some collectors may just somehow acquire what is the most valuable card in a set, so they start thinking, hey, I've already got the toughest/most valuable card, why not go after this set then. But that is by far not the sole reason that many collectors start to work on a particular set. It seems to me that in devising and coming up with this concept of focus and creating your "scatter-factor" formula that you may have innappropriately based things on just your own collecting point of view, and neglected to consider that of the many others in the hobby. There is absolutely nothing wrong with your collecting point of view, everyone should collect what and how they like. But to use such a single point of view to create a formula that is supposed to apply to the entire hobby as a whole just really doesn't work or have any meaning for those with different views. |
#29
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I didn't know there would be math...
I don't know what the scatter factor is but I call my collection "The Festival of Bric A Brac" so that probably gives you some idea. Physically, which is what I thought when I read the title, my collection is very well curated. Everything ends up in albums or boxes. I can pretty much find anything in a minute or two, except the really good stuff at the SDB.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... |
#30
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It's one, extremely specific way of looking at things. You also have to consider that some from a pure collecting point of view would not consider value or $$ in an equation like this at all. If you are on a budget like most of us, I would assume you have to consider money at some point. But with me and the main goal of my collection being "Buy what I want, when I want it, when I can afford it..." then yeah. It's going to be more "scattered" than not I would think. At least most of the time.
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Postwar stars & HOF'ers. Cubs of all eras. Currently working on 1956, '63 and '72 Topps complete sets. Last edited by jchcollins; 11-11-2021 at 06:47 AM. |
#31
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What I can't figure out is exactly what the OP is really trying to measure though. He mentions different things in different posts, as I noted earlier in this thread, that don't all seem to coincide. It is a nice little exercise though that others in this thread seemed to enjoy, so that is good. I just don't see how it can truly be meaningful in measuring overall collecting focus when his formula is based primarily on the $$ value of a single card. Unless his definition of focus differs greatly from what I believe it would mean to the average person. |
#32
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Neat thread. I like the idea of a scatter factor. I'm at 24.
As I have a bias towards set collecting, I think an alternative scatter factor could be the number of sets with low completion rates.
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Working on the following sets: 1916 and 1917 Zeenut, 1954B, 1955B, 1971T and 1972T |
#33
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#34
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Fairly orderly.
I keep all my 52's in this case, except my Mantle, Mays and Jackie, (which I keep in a safety deposit box), and the rest of my collection, hockey and baseball, in separate shoeboxes sorted by modern and vintage.
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52 Topps cards. https://www.flickr.com/photos/144160280@N05/ http://www.net54baseball.com/album.php?albumid=922 |
#35
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The fact that the scatter factor calculation makes no sense to me is probably a reliable indication that I am way too scattered....
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#36
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I like BobC's idea of taking the cards that are part of your collecting focus and dividing by the total number of cards you have. If you do that, then I'm pretty close to 1. Although considerably lower if you include the junk wax from when I was a kid that's still sitting in a box somewhere in my parents' attic.
As for the OP's definition, I'm at about 10. And Ben, that room is quite impressive. But if Ben's collection is the greater Houston metropolitan area, my collection is a little village in the hills. The whole thing fits on one shelf of a bookshelf. Last edited by nat; 11-17-2021 at 08:13 PM. |
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How many have gone from collecting new cards to collecting vintage? | mouschi | Net54baseball Vintage (WWII & Older) Baseball Cards & New Member Introductions | 28 | 06-04-2019 03:34 PM |
Collecting for profit? We're collecting the wrong stuff! | byrone | Net54baseball Vintage (WWII & Older) Baseball Cards & New Member Introductions | 18 | 02-22-2019 09:43 PM |
Type Collecting vs. Collecting wo/Focus | vintagebaseballcardguy | Net54baseball Vintage (WWII & Older) Baseball Cards & New Member Introductions | 32 | 05-16-2017 07:30 AM |
Books: Collecting Sports Legends & Smithsonian Baseball - Great Collecting P*rn $18 | MooseDog | Baseball Memorabilia B/S/T | 0 | 04-22-2015 04:19 AM |
Retire (stop collecting) or Work ( continue collecting) Dilemma | Archive | Net54baseball Vintage (WWII & Older) Baseball Cards & New Member Introductions | 24 | 10-20-2008 11:34 AM |