Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth
Well, you're projecting Tatis 25 or so years from now. A lot can change in that many years, and maybe 10. 15, 20 years from now, but before Tatis could be eligible if his career even pans out, things will be different. I think if that happens, ARod is the most likely to break the barrier, as he isn't I don't think as hated as Bonds and Clemens.
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I agree that Tatis is a long way to go to even have a Hall of Fame career and that a lot will change as the composition of writers who vote evolves over time, but I don't think it happens fast enough for ARod to get voted in by the writers in the next 8 years that he has. It will be interesting to see, though. In his first 2 years, he got 34.3% and 35.7% which is right around where Bonds and Clemens started, and they ended in the mid 60% range. While ARod may not be as hated as Bonds and Clemens, he certainly isn't beloved like Ortiz. Maybe his continued presence as a broadcaster helps him some. We'll see.