What makes a HOF 1st Basemen?
The average career WAR* of the 23 Hall of Fame first basemen is 65.5, although that average includes Lou Gehrig’s 113.7, so the medium is slightly lower.
Goldschmidt is at 57.8 WAR right now, which could bump up a bit by season end.
7.7 WAR in a 2-3 more seasons doesn't sound unreasonable, especially at his current production levels.
He's already got more career WAR than 10 HOF 1B, including Terry, Greenberg, Sisler, Perez, and Cepeda.
* - if it matters, I'm using BB-R WAR here.
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