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Old 06-24-2011, 10:48 AM
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aljurgela aljurgela is offline
Al Jurgela
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: South Carolina
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Default Now the tough part...

I think that most of the names on the list are solid and I would not have many to add. I think that it is clear that Buck O'Neil will get in for contributions to the game, not as a player, which I think is right. Wish it would have happened while he could enjoy it.

Anyway, the next question is how to handicap the possibilities of the players who are "on the edge". For instance, John Donaldson will have a much higher probability than Nip Winters, in my opinion. Dick Lundy will have a better shot than Dobie Moore.

Maybe an interesting analysis would be to try and measure who is outside of the HOF in a quantitative way... Courrier poll, E/W all star games, other opinions and see what show up. Sounds like a fun project for a raining day. I will take a look at this and maybe post something in a couple of weeks.

Does anyone know if the data from the Negro League Committee was released to SABR as rumored? I have not seen that data.
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