Ted,
I have seen that estimate of 3,000 per card tossed around a bit as well. I tend to feel that it is an underestimation. Here is the basis of my reasoning....
Let's assume that our estimates of the O'Hara/Demmitt St. Louis population are relatively accurate and yield roughly 300 copies in each instance.
I would almost certainly conclude that a (pick one) Demmitt-O'hara is more than ten times rarer than a random common....based simply on the fact that Polar Bear T206 pop is likely less than 10% of total T206 pop.
If we assume that Jim R's scarcity order is correct (and it looks mostly right to me) Polar Bears are less common than 9 other back combos.
If we were to now conclude that PB is 5% of the total population this would mean that appx. 6,000 cards per subject remain. Any thoughts?
Last edited by scottglevy; 03-23-2010 at 12:49 PM.
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