Posted By:
T206Collector<<I do not think there is much high grade pre-war material that has not been graded.>>
Many would disagree, and I am sure will make their voices known below.
<<To the extent that there is more than I am estimating, the sample size is large enough for most of the popular pre war sets(and all of the popular post-war sets) that the distribution of newly graded 8s and better is likely to be similar to the distribution of those already graded.>>
The sample sizes you were talking about were 1 of 1's or 1 of 2's or 1 of 8's. That's not a very large sample size. You're likely talking about the sample size of, e.g., all Lajoies that have been graded. And I just do not think the verdict is out yet. You're looking at the exit polls to see who is going to win the election. I'm saying there are way too many that are too close to call.
<<the cards that are condition rarities today are likely to be the condition rarities tomorrow.>>
Again, who knows.
But I don't dabble in PSA 8 or higher T206 cards, because I believe, notwithstanding what PSA or SGC or GAI think, that most of those cards have been altered in some way. Call me a skeptic, but I'll take light fuzz on my corners any day over the sharp in my pre-war collection. Plus, it's easier on the wallet!