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ScottChris, I think if he has two more years like he did this year and gets around 220 wins or so, I think he has a legitimate shot for some of the reasoning you mention.. Regardless of whether he gets the hall or not I think he goes down as one of the biggest "money" game pitchers in at least the last decade or two. I started thinking of the legend of Willis Reed seeing him gut those seven innings out last night.
Just to throw something else onto the fire for discussion, I checked out Schills stats on baseball reference at http://www.baseball-reference.com/s/schilcu01.shtml and they have him stastically right there as an HOF candidate. The "viability" of their statistical analysis is a whole separate discussion but, based on their numbers, he's right there on the borderline.
Black Ink: Pitching - 40 (35) (Average HOFer ~ 40)
Gray Ink: Pitching - 192 (43) (Average HOFer ~ 185)
HOF Standards: Pitching - 42.0 (59) (Average HOFer ~ 50)
HOF Monitor: Pitching - 145.0 (42) (Likely HOFer > 100)
Overall Rank in parentheses.