Quote:
Originally Posted by jsfriedm
Something I'm curious about and wondering if people here had thoughts: It seems to me that for the 1939 Play Ball Ted Williams, high grades don't bring the premiums they do for other key vintage rookie cards. For example, if I compare it to the 1951 Bowman Mays, both cards I follow pretty closely, I would estimate the typical values about so:
Williams Mays
1 ~3K ~3-4K
2 ~4-5K ~4-6K
3 ~5-6K ~5-8K
4 ~7-9K ~8-12K
5 ~8-11K ~12-18K
6 ~11-16K ~20-30K
7 ~16-25K ~40-60K
8 ~35-50K ~180-250K
So it looks like the prices are pretty even in grades 1-4, and then they start to diverge. Any ideas why Williams rookies in high grade don't command the same kind of premiums as other key vintage rookies?
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I thought for a second the population report might have an answer - and it might help with part of the story as there are more Williams graded than Mays at 8 (88 for Williams, 79 for Mays) 9 (12 for Williams vs 8 for Mays) and 10 (1 for Williams, 0 for Mays). Couple those numbers with the fact that the PSA graded population of 1951 Bowman Mays is about 800 higher than the 1939 Playball Williams, the Williams is just easier to find in high grade. Unfortunately that doesn't explain why the values start diverging at 5.