With a week to go until the official announcement, 38.5% of the votes have been counted. Right now, Ichiro and C.C. appear to be locks (Ichiro for sure).
Billy Wagner has picked up 8 votes from returning voters and lost none. Last year, he missed by 5 so as long as he doesn't lose any votes from anyone, he should just get in.
Carlos Beltran and Andruw Jones have both picked up a number of votes while only losing a few, but it looks like they are both on pace to miss induction but by a smaller number than last year considering that the unreported voters usually end up bringing down the percentage for most candidates. It's possible either (or both) could just squeak in, but if I had to guess, I'd say neither will. With no real first ballot candidates next year, I think they both get in next year.
|